Warner Bros Discovery Stock Price Prediction
| WBD Stock | USD 10.28 0.23 2.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.267 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.39) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.10) | Wall Street Target Price 12.6568 |
Using Warner Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Warner Bros Discovery from the perspective of Warner Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Warner Bros using Warner Bros' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Warner using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Warner Bros' stock price.
Warner Bros Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Warner Bros' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Warner. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Warner Bros stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 8.4784 | Short Percent 0.0367 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 94.8 M | 50 Day MA 10.3004 |
Warner Bros Discovery Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Warner Bros' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Warner. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Warner can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Warner Bros Discovery. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Warner Bros' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Warner Bros.
Warner Bros Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Warner Bros' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Warner Bros Discovery stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Warner Bros' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Warner Bros stock will not fluctuate a lot when Warner Bros' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Warner Bros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Warner because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Warner Bros after-hype prediction price | USD 10.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Warner contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Warner Bros Discovery will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Warner Bros trading at USD 10.28, that is roughly USD 0.005268 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Warner Bros' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Warner Bros Discovery options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Warner |
Warner Bros After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Warner Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Warner Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Warner Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Warner Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Warner Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Warner Bros' historical news coverage. Warner Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.65 and 13.63, respectively. We have considered Warner Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Warner Bros is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Warner Bros Discovery is based on 3 months time horizon.
Warner Bros Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Warner Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Warner Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Warner Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 3.49 | 0.10 | 2.44 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.28 | 10.14 | 0.90 |
|
Warner Bros Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Warner Bros Discovery is traded for 10.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.44. Warner is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Warner Bros is about 80.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.84. The company reported the last year's revenue of 41.32 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.13 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 16.46 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Warner Bros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Warner Bros Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Warner Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Warner Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Warner Bros' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Warner Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIS | Walt Disney | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.60 | 0.12 | 1.87 | (1.46) | 8.05 | |
| ROKU | Roku Inc | (1.65) | 9 per month | 4.05 | 0.02 | 6.42 | (5.88) | 21.38 | |
| NFLX | Netflix | (28.71) | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.20 | 2.80 | (2.25) | 15.35 | |
| PARAA | Paramount Global Class | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.02 | 2.62 | (1.37) | 8.87 | |
| PARA | Paramount Global Class | (0.14) | 12 per month | 2.09 | (0) | 2.64 | (3.54) | 9.18 | |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings | 0.00 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.15 | (6.11) | 15.85 | |
| APE | AMC Preferred Units | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.33 | 0.10 | 4.67 | (3.64) | 11.21 |
Warner Bros Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Warner price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Warner using various technical indicators. When you analyze Warner charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Warner Bros Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Warner Bros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Warner Bros Discovery, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Warner Bros based on analysis of Warner Bros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Warner Bros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Warner Bros's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 7.13E-4 | 6.77E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.77 | 0.73 |
Story Coverage note for Warner Bros
The number of cover stories for Warner Bros depends on current market conditions and Warner Bros' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Warner Bros is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Warner Bros' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Warner Bros Short Properties
Warner Bros' future price predictability will typically decrease when Warner Bros' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Warner Bros Discovery often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Warner Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warner Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 B |
Complementary Tools for Warner Stock analysis
When running Warner Bros' price analysis, check to measure Warner Bros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warner Bros is operating at the current time. Most of Warner Bros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warner Bros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warner Bros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warner Bros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules |