Williams Sonoma Stock Price Patterns
| WSM Stock | USD 215.83 0.20 0.09% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.048 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.7106 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.1401 | Wall Street Target Price 202.6842 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.8736 |
Using Williams Sonoma hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Williams Sonoma from the perspective of Williams Sonoma response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Williams Sonoma using Williams Sonoma's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Williams using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Williams Sonoma's stock price.
Williams Sonoma Short Interest
An investor who is long Williams Sonoma may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Williams Sonoma and may potentially protect profits, hedge Williams Sonoma with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 183.0643 | Short Percent 0.104 | Short Ratio 7.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.9 M | 50 Day MA 191.7254 |
Williams Sonoma Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Williams Sonoma's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Williams. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Williams can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Williams Sonoma. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Williams Sonoma's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Williams Sonoma.
Williams Sonoma Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Williams Sonoma's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Williams Sonoma stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Williams Sonoma's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Williams Sonoma stock will not fluctuate a lot when Williams Sonoma's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Williams Sonoma to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Williams because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Williams Sonoma after-hype prediction price | USD 217.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Williams contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Williams Sonoma will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Williams Sonoma trading at USD 215.83, that is roughly USD 0.0674 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Williams Sonoma's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Williams Sonoma options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Williams Sonoma Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Williams Sonoma's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Williams Sonoma After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Williams Sonoma at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Williams Sonoma or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Williams Sonoma, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Williams Sonoma Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Williams Sonoma's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Williams Sonoma's historical news coverage. Williams Sonoma's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 215.65 and 219.77, respectively. We have considered Williams Sonoma's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Williams Sonoma is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Williams Sonoma is based on 3 months time horizon.
Williams Sonoma Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Williams Sonoma is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Williams Sonoma backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Williams Sonoma, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.05 | 1.54 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
215.83 | 217.71 | 0.87 |
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Williams Sonoma Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Williams Sonoma is traded for 215.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Williams is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 217.71 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 24.0%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.87%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Williams Sonoma is about 2135.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 215.81. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.71 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.13 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.66 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Williams Sonoma Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Williams Sonoma Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Williams Sonoma's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Williams Sonoma's future price movements. Getting to know how Williams Sonoma's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Williams Sonoma may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | (1.17) | 8 per month | 1.14 | 0.18 | 2.81 | (2.03) | 16.26 | |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply | 0.31 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0) | 3.03 | (2.17) | 11.90 | |
| BBY | Best Buy Co | (0.33) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.61 | (2.85) | 10.22 | |
| CASY | Caseys General Stores | (3.76) | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.18 | 2.70 | (2.03) | 9.89 | |
| GPC | Genuine Parts Co | 1.58 | 11 per month | 1.17 | 0.12 | 3.24 | (1.80) | 7.35 | |
| GELHY | Geely Automobile Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.40 | (3.05) | 6.49 | |
| DKS | Dicks Sporting Goods | (1.42) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.42 | (3.41) | 14.16 | |
| PHM | PulteGroup | (0.76) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.05 | 5.00 | (2.19) | 9.97 | |
| EXPE | Expedia Group | 4.83 | 5 per month | 3.23 | 0.03 | 4.47 | (3.12) | 25.30 | |
| QSR | Restaurant Brands International | (0.24) | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.01 | 2.23 | (1.84) | 6.22 |
Williams Sonoma Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Williams price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Williams using various technical indicators. When you analyze Williams charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Williams Sonoma Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Williams Sonoma stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Williams Sonoma, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Williams Sonoma based on analysis of Williams Sonoma hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Williams Sonoma's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Williams Sonoma's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0186 | 0.0105 | 0.0121 | 0.0115 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.61 | 3.46 | 3.11 | 3.27 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Williams Sonoma Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Williams Stock, please use our How to Invest in Williams Sonoma guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Will Homefurnishing Retail sector continue expanding? Could Williams diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Williams Sonoma. Anticipated expansion of Williams directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Williams Sonoma data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.048 | Dividend Share 2.545 | Earnings Share 9.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.046 |
Investors evaluate Williams Sonoma using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Williams Sonoma's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Williams Sonoma's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Williams Sonoma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Williams Sonoma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Williams Sonoma's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.