Morgan Stanley China Fund Price Prediction
| XCAFX Fund | USD 15.15 0.41 2.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Morgan Stanley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Morgan Stanley China from the perspective of Morgan Stanley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Morgan Stanley to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Morgan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Morgan Stanley after-hype prediction price | USD 15.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Morgan |
Morgan Stanley Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Morgan Stanley at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Morgan Stanley or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Morgan Stanley, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Morgan Stanley Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Morgan Stanley is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Morgan Stanley backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Morgan Stanley, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.82 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.15 | 15.15 | 0.00 |
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Morgan Stanley Hype Timeline
Morgan Stanley China is at this time traded for 15.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Morgan is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Morgan Stanley is about 1956.99%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Morgan Stanley Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Morgan Stanley Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Morgan Stanley's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Morgan Stanley's future price movements. Getting to know how Morgan Stanley's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Morgan Stanley may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTSAX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.52 | 1 per month | 0.64 | (0) | 1.29 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VFIAX | Vanguard 500 Index | (1.77) | 1 per month | 0.65 | (0.02) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.84 | |
| VTSMX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0) | 1.29 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VITSX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0) | 1.30 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VSTSX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0) | 1.29 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VSMPX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0) | 1.29 | (1.30) | 4.11 | |
| VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.02) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.84 | |
| VFFSX | Vanguard 500 Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.02) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.84 | |
| VGTSX | Vanguard Total International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.45 | (1.56) | 4.09 | |
| VTIAX | Vanguard Total International | 0.32 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.44 | (1.59) | 4.11 |
Morgan Stanley Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Morgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Morgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Morgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Morgan Stanley Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Morgan Stanley stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Morgan Stanley China, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley based on analysis of Morgan Stanley hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Morgan Stanley's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Morgan Stanley's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Morgan Stanley
The number of cover stories for Morgan Stanley depends on current market conditions and Morgan Stanley's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Morgan Stanley is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Morgan Stanley's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Morgan Mutual Fund
Morgan Stanley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morgan with respect to the benefits of owning Morgan Stanley security.
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