Exxon Mobil Cdr Stock Price Prediction
| XOM Stock | 22.45 0.38 1.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using Exxon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EXXON MOBIL CDR from the perspective of Exxon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exxon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exxon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exxon after-hype prediction price | CAD 22.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exxon |
Exxon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exxon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exxon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Exxon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exxon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exxon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exxon's historical news coverage. Exxon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.09 and 23.81, respectively. We have considered Exxon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exxon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EXXON MOBIL CDR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exxon Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exxon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exxon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exxon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.45 | 22.45 | 0.00 |
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Exxon Hype Timeline
EXXON MOBIL CDR is at this time traded for 22.45on NEO Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Exxon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Exxon is about 40800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.45. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.93. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. EXXON MOBIL CDR last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be any time. Check out Exxon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exxon Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exxon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exxon's future price movements. Getting to know how Exxon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exxon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENB-PFV | Enbridge Pref 5 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.99 | (0.44) | 2.80 | |
| ENB-PFC | Enbridge Pref 11 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.60 | (0.15) | 0.82 | (0.99) | 2.47 | |
| ENB-PFU | Enbridge Pref L | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | (0.08) | 1.06 | (0.76) | 3.06 | |
| ENS | E Split Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.55 | 0.13 | 1.93 | (1.18) | 4.21 | |
| ENS-PA | E Split Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.04) | 1.09 | (0.90) | 3.40 | |
| SAGE | Sage Potash Corp | 0.01 | 1 per month | 6.57 | 0.06 | 15.00 | (9.09) | 77.99 |
Exxon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exxon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exxon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exxon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exxon Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exxon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as EXXON MOBIL CDR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exxon based on analysis of Exxon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exxon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exxon's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Exxon
The number of cover stories for Exxon depends on current market conditions and Exxon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exxon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exxon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Exxon Short Properties
Exxon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exxon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of EXXON MOBIL CDR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exxon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exxon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0329 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.74 | |
| Shares Float | 4.4 B |
Other Information on Investing in Exxon Stock
Exxon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Exxon Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Exxon with respect to the benefits of owning Exxon security.