American Assets Trust Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AAT Stock

USD 27.84 0.17 0.61%

American Assets' odds of distress is under 8% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate American Assets' chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the American balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out American Assets Piotroski F Score and American Assets Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 1.4 B in 2024, whereas Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 2.3 B in 2024.

American Assets Trust Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

American Assets' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current American Assets Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 8%

Most of American Assets' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, American Assets Trust is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of American Assets probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting American Assets odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of American Assets Trust financial health.

Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Assets. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Assets listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.41

Dividend Share

1.335

Earnings Share

0.96

Revenue Per Share

7.506

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.116

The market value of American Assets Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Assets' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Assets' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Assets' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Assets' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between American Assets' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Assets is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Assets' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for American Assets is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of American Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since American Assets' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of American Assets' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of American Assets' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Retained Earnings	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.94	0.95	0.95	0.61	-0.26	0.97	0.57	0.79	0.92	0.72	-0.83	0.88	0.93	0.9	0.42	0.93	0.94	0.91	-0.77	0.62	0.81	0.1	0.79
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.85	0.94	0.87	0.51	-0.26	0.91	0.51	0.82	0.91	0.67	-0.75	0.78	0.91	0.9	0.37	0.92	0.88	0.91	-0.73	0.64	0.76	0.03	0.77
Net Debt	0.94	0.85		0.87	0.99	0.69	-0.33	0.99	0.55	0.63	0.87	0.75	-0.9	0.96	0.9	0.85	0.4	0.89	0.96	0.84	-0.77	0.47	0.81	0.17	0.75
Accounts Payable	0.95	0.94	0.87		0.88	0.53	-0.31	0.92	0.52	0.83	0.86	0.58	-0.77	0.8	0.87	0.89	0.39	0.88	0.87	0.88	-0.77	0.55	0.76	0.03	0.74
Long Term Debt	0.95	0.87	0.99	0.88		0.69	-0.27	0.99	0.63	0.67	0.88	0.74	-0.88	0.97	0.91	0.86	0.46	0.9	0.96	0.85	-0.76	0.52	0.83	0.24	0.77
Net Receivables	0.61	0.51	0.69	0.53	0.69		-0.2	0.69	0.7	0.5	0.72	0.53	-0.88	0.76	0.74	0.56	0.43	0.76	0.75	0.69	-0.74	0.52	0.9	0.35	0.86
Short Term Investments	-0.26	-0.26	-0.33	-0.31	-0.27	-0.2		-0.29	0.05	-0.09	-0.41	-0.28	0.38	-0.31	-0.41	-0.55	-0.06	-0.43	-0.4	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	-0.24	0.21	-0.29
Total Liab	0.97	0.91	0.99	0.92	0.99	0.69	-0.29		0.61	0.72	0.89	0.74	-0.89	0.95	0.92	0.87	0.46	0.91	0.96	0.88	-0.79	0.56	0.83	0.16	0.79
Total Current Assets	0.57	0.51	0.55	0.52	0.63	0.7	0.05	0.61		0.59	0.64	0.31	-0.61	0.67	0.65	0.46	0.61	0.62	0.61	0.59	-0.55	0.57	0.73	0.46	0.67
Intangible Assets	0.79	0.82	0.63	0.83	0.67	0.5	-0.09	0.72	0.59		0.78	0.4	-0.59	0.6	0.76	0.65	0.43	0.77	0.7	0.82	-0.72	0.63	0.77	0.11	0.78
Net Tangible Assets	0.92	0.91	0.87	0.86	0.88	0.72	-0.41	0.89	0.64	0.78		0.69	-0.86	0.88	1.0	0.92	0.36	0.98	0.96	0.96	-0.83	0.65	0.9	0.12	0.89
Total Permanent Equity	0.72	0.67	0.75	0.58	0.74	0.53	-0.28	0.74	0.31	0.4	0.69		-0.74	0.71	0.69	0.67	0.24	0.72	0.73	0.69	-0.67	0.52	0.62	0.0	0.65
Retained Earnings	-0.83	-0.75	-0.9	-0.77	-0.88	-0.88	0.38	-0.89	-0.61	-0.59	-0.86	-0.74		-0.91	-0.89	-0.81	-0.36	-0.91	-0.92	-0.84	0.87	-0.52	-0.92	-0.23	-0.91
Long Term Debt Total	0.88	0.78	0.96	0.8	0.97	0.76	-0.31	0.95	0.67	0.6	0.88	0.71	-0.91		0.91	0.83	0.42	0.88	0.97	0.82	-0.76	0.46	0.85	0.29	0.79
Capital Surpluse	0.93	0.91	0.9	0.87	0.91	0.74	-0.41	0.92	0.65	0.76	1.0	0.69	-0.89	0.91		0.92	0.38	0.98	0.98	0.96	-0.84	0.62	0.9	0.13	0.88
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.9	0.9	0.85	0.89	0.86	0.56	-0.55	0.87	0.46	0.65	0.92	0.67	-0.81	0.83	0.92		0.31	0.93	0.91	0.91	-0.79	0.57	0.75	-0.02	0.75
Short Term Debt	0.42	0.37	0.4	0.39	0.46	0.43	-0.06	0.46	0.61	0.43	0.36	0.24	-0.36	0.42	0.38	0.31		0.41	0.37	0.4	-0.38	0.64	0.46	0.58	0.39
Common Stock	0.93	0.92	0.89	0.88	0.9	0.76	-0.43	0.91	0.62	0.77	0.98	0.72	-0.91	0.88	0.98	0.93	0.41		0.96	0.98	-0.86	0.69	0.91	0.11	0.92
Property Plant Equipment	0.94	0.88	0.96	0.87	0.96	0.75	-0.4	0.96	0.61	0.7	0.96	0.73	-0.92	0.97	0.98	0.91	0.37	0.96		0.91	-0.82	0.55	0.88	0.17	0.85
Current Deferred Revenue	0.91	0.91	0.84	0.88	0.85	0.69	-0.47	0.88	0.59	0.82	0.96	0.69	-0.84	0.82	0.96	0.91	0.4	0.98	0.91		-0.9	0.71	0.87	-0.02	0.89
Short Long Term Debt	-0.77	-0.73	-0.77	-0.77	-0.76	-0.74	0.44	-0.79	-0.55	-0.72	-0.83	-0.67	0.87	-0.76	-0.84	-0.79	-0.38	-0.86	-0.82	-0.9		-0.55	-0.84	0.05	-0.86
Cash And Equivalents	0.62	0.64	0.47	0.55	0.52	0.52	-0.23	0.56	0.57	0.63	0.65	0.52	-0.52	0.46	0.62	0.57	0.64	0.69	0.55	0.71	-0.55		0.63	0.15	0.68
Net Invested Capital	0.81	0.76	0.81	0.76	0.83	0.9	-0.24	0.83	0.73	0.77	0.9	0.62	-0.92	0.85	0.9	0.75	0.46	0.91	0.88	0.87	-0.84	0.63		0.36	0.98
Net Working Capital	0.1	0.03	0.17	0.03	0.24	0.35	0.21	0.16	0.46	0.11	0.12	0.0	-0.23	0.29	0.13	-0.02	0.58	0.11	0.17	-0.02	0.05	0.15	0.36		0.25
Capital Stock	0.79	0.77	0.75	0.74	0.77	0.86	-0.29	0.79	0.67	0.78	0.89	0.65	-0.91	0.79	0.88	0.75	0.39	0.92	0.85	0.89	-0.86	0.68	0.98	0.25

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict American Assets

Based on the latest financial disclosure, American Assets Trust has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 81.3% lower than that of the Diversified REITs sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses American Assets' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of American Assets could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Assets by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

American Assets is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

American Assets Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0216	0.009818	0.009402	0.0146	0.0169	0.0107
Net Debt	1.3B	1.3B	1.5B	1.6B	1.6B	1.2B
Total Current Liabilities	70.9M	165.0M	72.4M	108.7M	98.1M	75.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.4B	1.4B	1.7B	1.7B	1.7B	1.3B
Total Assets	2.8B	2.8B	3.0B	3.0B	3.0B	2.3B
Total Current Assets	121.5M	146.0M	229.7M	144.6M	190.2M	126.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	153.8M	127.0M	168.3M	179.1M	188.8M	119.5M

American Assets ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, American Assets' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to American Assets' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

American Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0648
	Return On Asset	0.0251
	Profit Margin	0.13 %
	Operating Margin	0.31 %
	Current Valuation	3.28 B
	Shares Outstanding	60.9 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.49 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	93.45 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	810.7 K
	Price To Earning	100.93 X
	Price To Book	1.42 X
	Price To Sales	4.74 X
	Revenue	441.16 M
	Gross Profit	272.59 M
	EBITDA	241.25 M
	Net Income	64.69 M
	Cash And Equivalents	49.57 M
	Cash Per Share	1.05 X
	Total Debt	1.71 B
	Debt To Equity	1.38 %
	Current Ratio	2.22 X
	Book Value Per Share	19.48 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	188.75 M
	Short Ratio	4.31 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.96 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	21.85 X
	Target Price	25.0
	Number Of Employees	228
	Beta	1.31
	Market Capitalization	2.15 B
	Total Asset	2.98 B
	Retained Earnings	(280.24 M)
	Working Capital	92.06 M
	Current Asset	97.49 M
	Current Liabilities	37.78 M
	Annual Yield	0.05 %
	Five Year Return	3.15 %
	Net Asset	2.98 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.34

About American Assets Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze American Assets Trust's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of American Assets using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Assets Trust based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American Assets' price analysis, check to measure American Assets' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Assets is operating at the current time. Most of American Assets' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Assets' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Assets' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Assets to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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American Assets Trust Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

American Assets Trust Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current American Assets Probability Of Bankruptcy

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

American Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

American Assets Main Bankruptcy Drivers

American Assets ESG Sustainability

American Fundamentals

About American Assets Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

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