Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AGM Stock  USD 190.78  0.68  0.36%   
Federal Agricultural's threat of distress is below 1% at the moment. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial straits in the next two years. Federal Agricultural's Odds of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Federal Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Federal balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Federal Agricultural Piotroski F Score and Federal Agricultural Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of the 14th of March 2025, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 2 B. Also, Enterprise Value is likely to grow to about 17 B

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Company odds of distress Analysis

Federal Agricultural's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Federal Agricultural Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Federal Agricultural's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Federal Agricultural Mortgage is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Federal Agricultural probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Federal Agricultural odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Federal Agricultural Mortgage financial health.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Agricultural. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federal Agricultural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.236
Dividend Share
5.6
Earnings Share
16.45
Revenue Per Share
33.16
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
The market value of Federal Agricultural is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federal Agricultural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federal Agricultural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federal Agricultural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federal Agricultural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Agricultural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Agricultural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal Agricultural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Federal Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Federal Agricultural is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Federal Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Federal Agricultural's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Federal Agricultural's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Federal Agricultural's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Federal Agricultural Mortgage has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 98.0% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and 97.72% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Federal Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Federal Agricultural's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Federal Agricultural could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
1.009.009.009.00100%
Federal Agricultural is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Federal Agricultural Main Bankruptcy Drivers

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0044610.0054120.0065180.0067740.005760.006048
Asset Turnover0.0084950.0094980.01130.01170.01160.00864
Net Debt22.1B22.8B24.8B26.8B26.3B27.7B
Total Current Liabilities121.6M163.4M24.5B8.3B407.6M387.3M
Non Current Liabilities Total23.2B23.7B1.5B27.9B27.4B28.7B
Total Assets24.4B25.1B27.3B29.5B31.3B32.9B
Total Current Assets12.1B11.3B5.5B6.2B7.3B7.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities(94.5M)436.4M809.3M375.8M612.6M643.3M

Federal Agricultural ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Federal Agricultural's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Federal Agricultural's managers, analysts, and investors.
74.2%
Environmental
68.8%
Governance
Social

Federal Fundamentals

Return On Equity0.14
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-350%-300%-250%-200%-150%-100%-50%
Return On Asset0.0068
Profit Margin0.57 %
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-200%-150%-100%-50%
Operating Margin0.70 %
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-80%-60%-40%-20%
Current Valuation30.81 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31500%1,000%1,500%2,000%2,500%3,000%3,500%
Shares Outstanding9.36 M
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Shares Owned By Insiders1.47 %
Shares Owned By Institutions82.45 %
Number Of Shares Shorted169.29 K
Price To Earning9.87 X
Price To Book1.93 X
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31100%200%300%400%
Price To Sales5.57 X
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-3150%100%150%200%250%300%
Revenue361.99 M
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-312,000%4,000%6,000%8,000%10,000%12,000%14,000%
Gross Profit360.58 M
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EBITDA225.49 M
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Net Income207.19 M
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-15,000%-10,000%-5,000%
Cash And Equivalents861 M
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Cash Per Share85.18 X
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-3150,000%100,000%150,000%
Total Debt27.37 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-311,000%2,000%3,000%4,000%5,000%
Current Ratio1.41 X
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-3120,000%40,000%60,000%80,000%100,000%
Book Value Per Share98.97 X
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Cash Flow From Operations612.65 M
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-25,000%-20,000%-15,000%-10,000%-5,000%0%
Short Ratio4.47 X
Earnings Per Share16.45 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.59 X
Target Price227.0
Number Of Employees191
Beta1.13
Market Capitalization2.01 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-3110,000%20,000%30,000%40,000%50,000%
Total Asset31.32 B
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-311,000%2,000%3,000%4,000%5,000%6,000%
Retained Earnings943.24 M
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.152011-12-312012-12-312013-12-312014-12-312015-12-312016-12-312017-12-312018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-312024-12-31-14,000%-12,000%-10,000%-8,000%-6,000%-4,000%-2,000%
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return3.31 %
Net Asset31.32 B
Last Dividend Paid5.6

About Federal Agricultural Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Federal Agricultural Mortgage's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Federal Agricultural using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal Agricultural Mortgage based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Federal Agricultural is a strong investment it is important to analyze Federal Agricultural's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Federal Agricultural's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Federal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Federal Agricultural Piotroski F Score and Federal Agricultural Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Federal Agricultural. If investors know Federal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Federal Agricultural listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.236
Dividend Share
5.6
Earnings Share
16.45
Revenue Per Share
33.16
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.156
The market value of Federal Agricultural is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Federal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Federal Agricultural's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Federal Agricultural's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Federal Agricultural's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Federal Agricultural's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Federal Agricultural's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Federal Agricultural is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Federal Agricultural's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.