Almaden Minerals Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| AMM Stock | CAD 0.06 0.01 8.33% |
Almaden | Probability Of Bankruptcy |
Almaden Minerals Company odds of distress Analysis
Almaden Minerals' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Almaden Minerals Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 88% |
Most of Almaden Minerals' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Almaden Minerals is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Almaden Minerals probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Almaden Minerals odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Almaden Minerals financial health.
Almaden Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Almaden Minerals is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Almaden Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Almaden Minerals' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Almaden Minerals' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Almaden Minerals' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Almaden Minerals has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 88%. This is 98.47% higher than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 87.67% higher than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is 120.94% lower than that of the firm.
Almaden Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Almaden Minerals' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Almaden Minerals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Almaden Minerals by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Almaden Minerals is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Almaden Minerals Main Bankruptcy Drivers
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Return On Assets | (0.0542) | (0.0459) | (0.0306) | (0.15) | (5.0) | (4.75) | |
| Net Debt | 1.9M | 478.8K | (6.4M) | (2.3M) | 3.1M | 3.2M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | 900.8K | 582.5K | 590.7K | 428.8K | 951.7K | 695.9K | |
| Non Current Liabilities Total | 4.6M | 4.7M | 6.5M | 7.8M | 4.8M | 2.8M | |
| Total Assets | 74.1M | 76.4M | 87.2M | 78.1M | 12.7M | 12.1M | |
| Total Current Assets | 2.6M | 3.7M | 11.2M | 7.9M | 5.8M | 5.5M | |
| Total Cash From Operating Activities | (1.9M) | (1.3M) | (1.6M) | (1.7M) | (1.5M) | (1.6M) |
Almaden Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -1.77 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.94 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 10 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 137.22 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.82 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.12 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 721 | ||||
| Price To Earning | (31.78) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.77 X | ||||
| EBITDA | (4.44 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (63.62 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.72 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.01 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 4.75 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.90 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.41 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.03 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.48 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.04 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.46) X | ||||
| Target Price | 1.55 | ||||
| Beta | 1.08 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 7.55 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 12.71 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (157.39 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 4.83 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 12.71 M |
About Almaden Minerals Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Almaden Minerals's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Almaden Minerals using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Almaden Minerals based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Almaden Minerals
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Almaden Minerals position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Almaden Minerals will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Almaden Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Almaden Minerals could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Almaden Minerals when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Almaden Minerals - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Almaden Minerals to buy it.
The correlation of Almaden Minerals is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Almaden Minerals moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Almaden Minerals moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Almaden Minerals can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Almaden Stock
Almaden Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Almaden Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Almaden with respect to the benefits of owning Almaden Minerals security.