Smith Ao Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AOS Stock

USD 75.43 1.99 2.71%

Smith AO's odds of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial distress in the next two years. Smith AO's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Smith Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Smith balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Smith AO Piotroski F Score and Smith AO Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Smith Stock please use our How to Invest in Smith AO guide.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 13 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 12.8 B in 2024

Smith AO Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Smith AO's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Smith AO Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of Smith AO's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Smith AO is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Smith AO probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Smith AO odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Smith AO financial health.

Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith AO. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Smith AO listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.09)

Dividend Share

1.28

Earnings Share

3.79

Revenue Per Share

26.508

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.04)

The market value of Smith AO is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Smith that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Smith AO's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Smith AO's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Smith AO's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Smith AO's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Smith AO's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Smith AO is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Smith AO's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Smith Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Smith AO is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Smith Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Smith AO's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Smith AO's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Smith AO's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Current Deferred Revenue	Common Stock	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Short Term Investments	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.82	-0.34	0.6	0.98	0.97	0.98	-0.57	0.95	-0.65	0.71	0.93	0.66	-0.18	-0.49	0.79	0.67	0.42	0.09	-0.5	-0.58	0.3	-0.32	-0.38	0.28
Total Stockholder Equity	0.82		-0.54	0.88	0.82	0.79	0.77	-0.58	0.81	-0.74	0.87	0.92	0.48	-0.39	-0.71	0.81	0.79	0.18	-0.14	-0.76	-0.73	0.48	-0.41	-0.66	-0.29
Net Debt	-0.34	-0.54		-0.51	-0.34	-0.22	-0.27	0.2	-0.43	0.41	-0.36	-0.44	-0.32	0.8	0.41	-0.41	-0.5	0.36	0.7	0.27	0.31	-0.8	0.2	0.55	0.18
Retained Earnings	0.6	0.88	-0.51		0.59	0.57	0.49	-0.57	0.69	-0.62	0.88	0.78	0.37	-0.4	-0.95	0.87	0.78	-0.17	-0.14	-0.78	-0.77	0.61	-0.58	-0.92	-0.44
Net Receivables	0.98	0.82	-0.34	0.59		0.92	0.97	-0.67	0.94	-0.71	0.72	0.89	0.54	-0.27	-0.46	0.8	0.74	0.46	-0.02	-0.54	-0.61	0.23	-0.25	-0.36	0.29
Total Liab	0.97	0.79	-0.22	0.57	0.92		0.96	-0.48	0.91	-0.57	0.67	0.92	0.71	0.01	-0.46	0.72	0.55	0.45	0.24	-0.48	-0.56	0.22	-0.39	-0.34	0.21
Total Current Assets	0.98	0.77	-0.27	0.49	0.97	0.96		-0.58	0.92	-0.66	0.66	0.87	0.57	-0.1	-0.36	0.71	0.64	0.56	0.12	-0.48	-0.55	0.2	-0.24	-0.23	0.33
Short Term Debt	-0.57	-0.58	0.2	-0.57	-0.67	-0.48	-0.58		-0.67	0.7	-0.82	-0.47	0.06	0.23	0.52	-0.69	-0.86	-0.39	0.18	0.77	0.86	-0.17	0.2	0.41	-0.07
Accounts Payable	0.95	0.81	-0.43	0.69	0.94	0.91	0.92	-0.67		-0.7	0.78	0.9	0.6	-0.29	-0.62	0.88	0.76	0.3	-0.06	-0.56	-0.67	0.42	-0.49	-0.52	0.25
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.65	-0.74	0.41	-0.62	-0.71	-0.57	-0.66	0.7	-0.7		-0.78	-0.6	-0.06	0.39	0.5	-0.7	-0.84	-0.29	0.26	0.69	0.59	-0.26	0.26	0.38	0.07
Common Stock	0.71	0.87	-0.36	0.88	0.72	0.67	0.66	-0.82	0.78	-0.78		0.76	0.24	-0.24	-0.79	0.85	0.88	0.21	-0.06	-0.94	-0.93	0.45	-0.42	-0.68	-0.25
Good Will	0.93	0.92	-0.44	0.78	0.89	0.92	0.87	-0.47	0.9	-0.6	0.76		0.74	-0.27	-0.66	0.83	0.64	0.18	0.05	-0.59	-0.6	0.42	-0.45	-0.6	-0.01
Intangible Assets	0.66	0.48	-0.32	0.37	0.54	0.71	0.57	0.06	0.6	-0.06	0.24	0.74		-0.04	-0.34	0.43	0.05	-0.1	0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.34	-0.45	-0.38	0.19
Long Term Debt	-0.18	-0.39	0.8	-0.4	-0.27	0.01	-0.1	0.23	-0.29	0.39	-0.24	-0.27	-0.04		0.31	-0.39	-0.49	0.34	0.84	0.2	0.17	-0.51	0.04	0.47	0.12
Treasury Stock	-0.49	-0.71	0.41	-0.95	-0.46	-0.46	-0.36	0.52	-0.62	0.5	-0.79	-0.66	-0.34	0.31		-0.85	-0.71	0.33	0.1	0.66	0.68	-0.62	0.7	0.94	0.36
Property Plant Equipment	0.79	0.81	-0.41	0.87	0.8	0.72	0.71	-0.69	0.88	-0.7	0.85	0.83	0.43	-0.39	-0.85		0.85	0.03	-0.05	-0.67	-0.71	0.5	-0.5	-0.77	0.02
Net Tangible Assets	0.67	0.79	-0.5	0.78	0.74	0.55	0.64	-0.86	0.76	-0.84	0.88	0.64	0.05	-0.49	-0.71	0.85		0.19	-0.32	-0.78	-0.81	0.5	-0.28	-0.62	-0.08
Short Term Investments	0.42	0.18	0.36	-0.17	0.46	0.45	0.56	-0.39	0.3	-0.29	0.21	0.18	-0.1	0.34	0.33	0.03	0.19		0.29	-0.23	-0.26	-0.46	0.26	0.49	0.33
Long Term Debt Total	0.09	-0.14	0.7	-0.14	-0.02	0.24	0.12	0.18	-0.06	0.26	-0.06	0.05	0.18	0.84	0.1	-0.05	-0.32	0.29		0.03	0.1	-0.38	0.09	0.23	0.16
Capital Surpluse	-0.5	-0.76	0.27	-0.78	-0.54	-0.48	-0.48	0.77	-0.56	0.69	-0.94	-0.59	-0.03	0.2	0.66	-0.67	-0.78	-0.23	0.03		0.91	-0.34	0.21	0.58	0.41
Short Long Term Debt	-0.58	-0.73	0.31	-0.77	-0.61	-0.56	-0.55	0.86	-0.67	0.59	-0.93	-0.6	-0.15	0.17	0.68	-0.71	-0.81	-0.26	0.1	0.91		-0.43	0.33	0.61	0.24
Cash And Equivalents	0.3	0.48	-0.8	0.61	0.23	0.22	0.2	-0.17	0.42	-0.26	0.45	0.42	0.34	-0.51	-0.62	0.5	0.5	-0.46	-0.38	-0.34	-0.43		-0.34	-0.69	-0.21
Net Invested Capital	-0.32	-0.41	0.2	-0.58	-0.25	-0.39	-0.24	0.2	-0.49	0.26	-0.42	-0.45	-0.45	0.04	0.7	-0.5	-0.28	0.26	0.09	0.21	0.33	-0.34		0.61	0.25
Net Working Capital	-0.38	-0.66	0.55	-0.92	-0.36	-0.34	-0.23	0.41	-0.52	0.38	-0.68	-0.6	-0.38	0.47	0.94	-0.77	-0.62	0.49	0.23	0.58	0.61	-0.69	0.61		0.43
Capital Stock	0.28	-0.29	0.18	-0.44	0.29	0.21	0.33	-0.07	0.25	0.07	-0.25	-0.01	0.19	0.12	0.36	0.02	-0.08	0.33	0.16	0.41	0.24	-0.21	0.25	0.43

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Smith AO

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Smith AO has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.65% lower than that of the Building Products sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Smith Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Smith AO's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Smith AO could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith AO by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Smith AO is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Smith AO Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0927	0.14	0.12	0.0707	0.17	0.18
Asset Turnover	1.04	0.98	0.92	1.02	1.13	1.25
Net Debt	(51.3M)	(425.5M)	(224.3M)	(24.3M)	(184.7M)	(175.5M)
Total Current Liabilities	766.5M	886.3M	1.1B	934.2M	945.3M	992.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total	624.7M	426.1M	523.4M	650.4M	424.2M	506.0M
Total Assets	3.1B	3.2B	3.5B	3.3B	3.2B	1.9B
Total Current Assets	1.5B	1.6B	1.8B	1.6B	1.5B	861.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	456.2M	562.1M	641.1M	391.4M	670.3M	703.8M

Smith AO ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Smith AO's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Smith AO's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Smith Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.3
	Return On Asset	0.14
	Profit Margin	0.14 %
	Operating Margin	0.18 %
	Current Valuation	10.54 B
	Shares Outstanding	119.11 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.73 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	96.97 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	3.3 M
	Price To Earning	19.34 X
	Price To Book	5.56 X
	Price To Sales	2.73 X
	Revenue	3.85 B
	Gross Profit	1.33 B
	EBITDA	823.8 M
	Net Income	556.6 M
	Cash And Equivalents	391.2 M
	Cash Per Share	2.73 X
	Total Debt	155.2 M
	Debt To Equity	0.18 %
	Current Ratio	1.74 X
	Book Value Per Share	13.22 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	670.3 M
	Short Ratio	2.89 X
	Earnings Per Share	3.79 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	2.04 X
	Target Price	82.19
	Number Of Employees	12 K
	Beta	1.17
	Market Capitalization	10.65 B
	Total Asset	3.21 B
	Retained Earnings	3.26 B
	Working Capital	555 M
	Current Asset	1.42 B
	Current Liabilities	653.2 M
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.64 %
	Net Asset	3.21 B
	Last Dividend Paid	1.28

About Smith AO Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Smith AO's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Smith AO using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smith AO based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Smith Stock Analysis

When running Smith AO's price analysis, check to measure Smith AO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith AO is operating at the current time. Most of Smith AO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith AO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith AO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith AO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Smith Ao Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Smith AO Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Smith AO Probability Of Bankruptcy

Smith Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Smith Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Smith AO Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Smith AO ESG Sustainability

Smith Fundamentals

About Smith AO Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Smith Stock Analysis

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