Smith Ao Stock Technical Analysis
| AOS Stock | USD 80.46 0.24 0.30% |
As of the 13th of February 2026, Smith AO has the Coefficient Of Variation of 465.2, risk adjusted performance of 0.1792, and Semi Deviation of 0.8454. Smith AO technical analysis provides you with a way to harness past market data to determine a pattern that measures the direction of the company's future prices. Please validate Smith AO information ratio, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis to decide if Smith AO is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 80.46 per share. Given that Smith AO has jensen alpha of 0.3131, we advise you to double-check Smith AO's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Smith AO Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Smith, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to SmithSmith AO's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Smith AO Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 79.91 | Buy | 15 | Odds |
Most Smith analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Smith stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Smith AO, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Smith conference calls.
Is there potential for Building Products market expansion? Will Smith introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Smith AO. If investors know Smith will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Smith AO listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.191 | Dividend Share 1.38 | Earnings Share 3.82 | Revenue Per Share | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Smith AO using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Smith AO's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Smith AO's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Smith AO's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Smith AO represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Smith AO's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Smith AO 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Smith AO's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Smith AO.
| 11/15/2025 |
| 02/13/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Smith AO on November 15, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Smith AO or generate 0.0% return on investment in Smith AO over 90 days. Smith AO is related to or competes with Watts Water, Flowserve, Donaldson, Generac Holdings, Regal Beloit, Pool, and SPX Corp. Smith Corporation manufactures and markets residential and commercial gas, heat pump and electric water heaters, boilers... More
Smith AO Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Smith AO's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Smith AO upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1614 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 |
Smith AO Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Smith AO's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Smith AO's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Smith AO historical prices to predict the future Smith AO's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1792 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3131 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1829 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1977 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 19.28 |
Smith AO February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1792 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 19.29 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8454 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 465.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1614 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3131 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1829 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1977 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 19.28 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7147 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8078 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.67 |
Smith AO Backtested Returns
Smith AO appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Smith AO owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.28, which indicates the firm had a 0.28 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Smith AO, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Smith AO's Semi Deviation of 0.8454, coefficient of variation of 465.2, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1792 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Smith AO holds a performance score of 21. The entity has a beta of 0.0163, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Smith AO's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Smith AO is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Smith AO's potential upside, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Smith AO's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.64 |
Good predictability
Smith AO has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Smith AO time series from 15th of November 2025 to 30th of December 2025 and 30th of December 2025 to 13th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Smith AO price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Smith AO price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.7 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 16.47 |
Smith AO technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Smith AO Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Smith AO across different markets.
About Smith AO Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Smith AO on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smith AO based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Smith AO price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Smith AO. By analyzing Smith AO's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Smith AO's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Smith AO specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0148 | 0.0209 | 0.0388 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.21 | 2.44 | 2.57 |
Smith AO February 13, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Smith help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smith from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Smith charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1792 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 19.29 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8454 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 465.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1614 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3131 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1829 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1977 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 19.28 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.53 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.04) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7147 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8078 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.67 |
Smith AO February 13, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Smith stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 18,859 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.17 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 79.89 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 80.08 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.69 |
Additional Tools for Smith Stock Analysis
When running Smith AO's price analysis, check to measure Smith AO's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smith AO is operating at the current time. Most of Smith AO's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smith AO's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smith AO's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smith AO to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.