Aptose Biosciences Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

APS Stock  CAD 0.25  0.01  3.85%   
Aptose Biosciences' likelihood of distress is above 80% at this time. It has very high risk of going through financial hardship in the upcoming years. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Aptose balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aptose Biosciences. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Aptose Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aptose Biosciences guide.
  

Aptose Biosciences Company odds of distress Analysis

Aptose Biosciences' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Aptose Biosciences Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 88%  
Most of Aptose Biosciences' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Aptose Biosciences is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Aptose Biosciences probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Aptose Biosciences odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Aptose Biosciences financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptose Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptose Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptose Biosciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Aptose Biosciences has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 88%. This is 103.28% higher than that of the Biotechnology sector and 60.47% higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is 120.94% lower than that of the firm.

Aptose Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Aptose Biosciences' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Aptose Biosciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aptose Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Aptose Biosciences is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Aptose Fundamentals

About Aptose Biosciences Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aptose Biosciences's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aptose Biosciences using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aptose Biosciences based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Aptose Biosciences

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Aptose Biosciences position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Aptose Biosciences will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Aptose Biosciences could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Aptose Biosciences when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Aptose Biosciences - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Aptose Biosciences to buy it.
The correlation of Aptose Biosciences is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Aptose Biosciences moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Aptose Biosciences moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Aptose Biosciences can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Aptose Biosciences offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aptose Biosciences' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aptose Biosciences Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aptose Biosciences Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aptose Biosciences. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Aptose Stock, please use our How to Invest in Aptose Biosciences guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aptose Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aptose Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aptose Biosciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.