Astrana Health Stock Beneish M Score

ASTH Stock   43.25  0.39  0.91%   
This module uses fundamental data of Astrana Health to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Astrana Health M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Astrana Health Piotroski F Score and Astrana Health Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Astrana Stock please use our How to Invest in Astrana Health guide.
  
As of now, Astrana Health's Long Term Debt is increasing as compared to previous years. The Astrana Health's current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 245.6 M, while Net Debt To EBITDA is projected to decrease to 0.21. As of now, Astrana Health's Free Cash Flow Yield is increasing as compared to previous years. The Astrana Health's current Capex To Depreciation is estimated to increase to 1.69, while Days Sales Outstanding is projected to decrease to 34.21.
At this time, Astrana Health's M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Astrana Health's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Astrana Health executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Astrana Health's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.09
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

0.98

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.29

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.98

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Astrana Health Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Astrana Health's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables155.1 M147.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets980 M933.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets484.6 M461.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total495.4 M471.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment155.7 M148.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization8.9 M17.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative118.2 M112.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities229.6 M218.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total319.1 M303.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt26 M24.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt271.9 M258.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments38.4 M32.2 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.20.155
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Astrana Health Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Astrana Health's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Astrana Health in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Astrana Health's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Astrana Health Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

8.89 Million

As of now, Astrana Health's Depreciation And Amortization is increasing as compared to previous years.

Astrana Health Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Astrana Health. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables99.0M60.6M99.3M119.7M147.8M155.1M
Total Revenue560.6M370.2M773.9M1.1B1.4B1.5B
Total Assets728.7M817.5M867.4M966.2M933.4M980.0M
Total Current Assets329.1M338.6M404.5M428.1M461.5M484.6M
Net Debt153.3M67.1M(32.1M)(58.7M)27.2M28.6M
Short Term Debt12.6M14.2M3.9M4.8M24.8M26.0M
Long Term Debt232.2M230.2M182.9M203.4M258.9M271.9M
Operating Income34.4M6.1M98.2M104.3M84.6M88.8M
Investments(129.7M)108.0M32.4M34.3M(65.5M)(62.2M)
Gross Profit Margin0.130.05860.230.170.160.2

Astrana Health ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Astrana Health's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Astrana Health's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Astrana Health Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Astrana Health's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Astrana Health using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astrana Health based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Astrana Health offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Astrana Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Astrana Health Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Astrana Health Stock:
Check out Astrana Health Piotroski F Score and Astrana Health Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Astrana Stock please use our How to Invest in Astrana Health guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astrana Health. If investors know Astrana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astrana Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.30)
Earnings Share
1.3
Revenue Per Share
36.415
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.375
Return On Assets
0.0449
The market value of Astrana Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astrana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astrana Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astrana Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astrana Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astrana Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astrana Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astrana Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astrana Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.