Aurion Resources Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

AU Stock  CAD 0.59  0.01  1.67%   
Aurion Resources' risk of distress is over 60% at this time. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial hardship in the next 2 years. Aurion Resources' Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting Aurion Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Aurion balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Aurion Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Market Cap is likely to climb to about 66.7 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to climb to about 60.2 M in 2024

Aurion Resources Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Aurion Resources' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Aurion Resources Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 67%  
Most of Aurion Resources' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Aurion Resources is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Aurion Resources probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Aurion Resources odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Aurion Resources financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurion Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurion Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurion Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aurion Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Aurion Resources is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Aurion Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Aurion Resources' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Aurion Resources' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Aurion Resources' interrelated accounts and indicators.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Aurion Resources has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 67%. This is 51.11% higher than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 42.89% higher than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Canada stocks is 68.21% lower than that of the firm.

Aurion Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Aurion Resources' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurion Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurion Resources by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Aurion Resources is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Aurion Resources Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(0.11)(0.14)(0.0682)(0.073)(0.0895)(0.0939)
Net Debt(8.6M)(1.6M)(20.3M)(7.0M)(5.9M)(6.2M)
Total Current Liabilities1.3M404.7K803.4K1.6M1.4M1.5M
Non Current Liabilities Total558.4K817.7K1.2M1.1M1.6M1.7M
Total Assets39.7M42.2M65.3M64.6M67.4M70.8M
Total Current Assets17.4M8.2M26.1M15.0M9.0M7.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(1.6M)(1.8M)(2.0M)(2.7M)(2.2M)(2.1M)

Aurion Fundamentals

About Aurion Resources Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Aurion Resources's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Aurion Resources using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurion Resources based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Aurion Stock Analysis

When running Aurion Resources' price analysis, check to measure Aurion Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurion Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Aurion Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurion Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurion Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurion Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.