Ultra Fund R5 Fund Chance Of Distress
| AULGX Fund | USD 102.46 0.77 0.76% |
ULTRA |
Ultra Fund R5 Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis
Ultra Fund's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Ultra Fund Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 18% |
Most of Ultra Fund's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ultra Fund R5 is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Ultra Fund probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ultra Fund odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ultra Fund R5 financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ultra Fund R5 has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 18.0%. This is much higher than that of the American Century Investments family and significantly higher than that of the Large Growth category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.
ULTRA Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ultra Fund's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ultra Fund could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultra Fund by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Ultra Fund is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.
ULTRA Fundamentals
| Total Asset | 15.07 B | |||
| Year To Date Return | 28.47 % | |||
| One Year Return | 34.90 % | |||
| Three Year Return | 7.50 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 19.38 % | |||
| Ten Year Return | 16.32 % | |||
| Net Asset | 12.57 B | |||
| Cash Position Weight | 1.31 % | |||
| Equity Positions Weight | 98.69 % |
About Ultra Fund Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ultra Fund R5's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ultra Fund using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ultra Fund R5 based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Ultra Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether ULTRA Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ULTRA with respect to the benefits of owning Ultra Fund security.
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