Axalta Coating Systems Stock Beneish M Score

AXTA Stock  USD 41.29  0.77  1.90%   
This module uses fundamental data of Axalta Coating to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Axalta Coating M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Axalta Coating Piotroski F Score and Axalta Coating Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Axalta Coating's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 3 B, whereas Short Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 52.8 M. At present, Axalta Coating's Capex To Depreciation is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to 5.38, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.14.
At this time, it appears that Axalta Coating Systems is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Axalta Coating's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Axalta Coating executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Axalta Coating's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.75
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.84

Focus
Asset Quality

1.07

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.92

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.83

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.92

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.25

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.93

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.02

Focus

Axalta Coating Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Axalta Coating's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables986.1 M1.3 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue4.8 B5.2 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total AssetsB7.3 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets2.5 B2.8 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total4.5 B4.5 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB1.1 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization199 M275.6 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative705.4 M826 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.2 B1.4 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total4.3 B4.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt52.8 M56.9 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term DebtB3.5 B
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Operating Income429.4 M587.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities487.2 M575.3 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments380 K400 K
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.5 M1.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.260.3122
Significantly Down
Very volatile

Axalta Coating Systems Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Axalta Coating's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Axalta Coating in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Axalta Coating's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Axalta Coating Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

199.05 Million

At present, Axalta Coating's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Axalta Coating Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Axalta Coating. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables830.1M869.8M937.5M1.1B1.3B986.1M
Total Revenue4.5B3.7B4.4B4.9B5.2B4.8B
Total Assets6.8B7.2B7.2B7.1B7.3B7.0B
Total Current Assets2.6B2.9B2.6B2.7B2.8B2.5B
Net Debt2.8B2.5B3.0B3.1B2.8B3.0B
Short Term Debt42.2M43.9M83M106.9M56.9M52.8M
Long Term Debt3.8B3.8B3.7B3.7B3.5B4.0B
Operating Income488.2M305.5M462.4M423.2M587.5M429.4M
Investments14.7M18.9M(716M)(106.4M)(103M)(108.2M)

Axalta Coating ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Axalta Coating's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Axalta Coating's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Axalta Coating Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Axalta Coating Systems's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Axalta Coating using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Axalta Coating Systems based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Axalta Coating Systems offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Axalta Coating's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Axalta Coating Systems Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Axalta Coating Systems Stock:
Check out Axalta Coating Piotroski F Score and Axalta Coating Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Axalta Coating. If investors know Axalta will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Axalta Coating listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.412
Earnings Share
1.48
Revenue Per Share
23.932
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.008
Return On Assets
0.0672
The market value of Axalta Coating Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Axalta that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Axalta Coating's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Axalta Coating's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Axalta Coating's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Axalta Coating's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Axalta Coating's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Axalta Coating is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Axalta Coating's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.