Booking Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

BKNG Stock  USD 5,211  194.49  3.88%   
This module uses fundamental data of Booking Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Booking Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Booking Holdings Piotroski F Score and Booking Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Booking Stock please use our How to Invest in Booking Holdings guide.
  
At this time, Booking Holdings' Long Term Debt is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Booking Holdings' current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 14.5 B, while Short and Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 1.3 B. At this time, Booking Holdings' Operating Cash Flow Per Share is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Booking Holdings' current Capex To Depreciation is estimated to increase to 1.03, while PTB Ratio is forecasted to increase to (44.38).
At this time, Booking Holdings' M Score is unavailable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Booking Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Booking Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Booking Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.63
Beneish M Score - Unavailable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.57

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.05

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.57

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Booking Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables3.4 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue22.4 B21.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets25.6 B24.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets17.9 B17 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total5.4 B7.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment807.8 M769.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization698.2 M665 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative1.3 B2.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities14 B13.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total14.4 B13.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt1.1 BB
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt12.8 B12.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments547.2 M576 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments418 M440 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin1.050.9998
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Booking Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Booking Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Booking Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Booking Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Booking Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

698.25 Million

At this time, Booking Holdings' Depreciation And Amortization is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Booking Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Booking Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1.7B529M1.4B2.2B3.3B3.4B
Total Revenue15.1B6.8B11.0B17.1B21.4B22.4B
Total Assets21.4B21.9B23.6B25.4B24.3B25.6B
Total Current Assets9.8B12.2B13.1B15.8B17.0B17.9B
Net Debt2.8B1.8B150M816M2.9B3.0B
Short Term Debt988M985M2.0B500M2.0B1.1B
Long Term Debt7.6B11.0B8.9B12.0B12.2B12.8B
Operating Income5.3B2.1B1.8B5.1B5.8B6.1B
Investments7.4B2.9B491M(518M)2.0B2.1B

Booking Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Booking Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Booking Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Booking Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Booking Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Booking Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Booking Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Booking Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Booking Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Booking Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Booking Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Booking Holdings Piotroski F Score and Booking Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more detail on how to invest in Booking Stock please use our How to Invest in Booking Holdings guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Booking Holdings. If investors know Booking will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Booking Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.065
Dividend Share
26.25
Earnings Share
148.99
Revenue Per Share
677.218
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.089
The market value of Booking Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Booking that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Booking Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Booking Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Booking Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Booking Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Booking Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Booking Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Booking Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.