Cerus Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CERS Stock

USD 1.82 0.03 1.68%

Cerus' odds of distress is over 60% at this time. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship in the next 2 years. Cerus' Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Cerus Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Cerus balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Cerus Piotroski F Score and Cerus Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Cerus Stock please use our How to Invest in Cerus guide.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 500.5 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 485.1 M in 2024

Cerus Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Cerus' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Cerus Probability Of Bankruptcy

Over 69%

Most of Cerus' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Cerus is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Cerus probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Cerus odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Cerus financial health.

Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cerus. If investors know Cerus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cerus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Earnings Share

(0.11)

Revenue Per Share

0.961

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.157

Return On Assets

(0.04)

Return On Equity

(0.38)

The market value of Cerus is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cerus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cerus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cerus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cerus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cerus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Cerus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cerus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cerus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Cerus Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Cerus is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Cerus Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Cerus' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Cerus' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Cerus' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Short Term Investments	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.81	0.57	-0.85	0.76	0.67	0.85	0.99	0.58	0.44	0.83	0.66	0.82	0.38	-0.07	-0.87	0.87	0.72	0.93	0.74	0.33	0.86	0.58	0.72
Total Stockholder Equity	0.81		0.2	-0.61	0.53	0.32	0.55	0.88	0.25	0.37	0.82	0.47	0.57	0.16	0.0	-0.7	0.96	0.64	0.64	0.49	-0.02	0.63	0.63	0.41
Net Debt	0.57	0.2		-0.77	0.48	0.94	0.88	0.49	0.68	0.2	0.48	0.83	0.69	0.74	-0.7	-0.75	0.37	0.44	0.79	0.84	0.49	0.79	0.21	0.89
Retained Earnings	-0.85	-0.61	-0.77		-0.73	-0.83	-0.93	-0.83	-0.66	-0.69	-0.63	-0.8	-0.73	-0.43	0.42	0.95	-0.75	-0.63	-0.91	-0.85	-0.41	-0.81	-0.36	-0.78
Accounts Payable	0.76	0.53	0.48	-0.73		0.46	0.66	0.76	0.52	0.48	0.74	0.43	0.61	0.1	0.06	-0.76	0.58	0.58	0.73	0.7	0.4	0.66	0.46	0.44
Net Receivables	0.67	0.32	0.94	-0.83	0.46		0.94	0.6	0.81	0.29	0.46	0.79	0.71	0.71	-0.67	-0.76	0.48	0.41	0.82	0.79	0.59	0.84	0.16	0.96
Total Liab	0.85	0.55	0.88	-0.93	0.66	0.94		0.81	0.74	0.43	0.66	0.84	0.87	0.58	-0.51	-0.9	0.67	0.65	0.92	0.87	0.47	0.93	0.39	0.92
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.88	0.49	-0.83	0.76	0.6	0.81		0.53	0.47	0.86	0.62	0.77	0.31	-0.04	-0.87	0.92	0.73	0.89	0.72	0.28	0.82	0.61	0.65
Short Term Debt	0.58	0.25	0.68	-0.66	0.52	0.81	0.74	0.53		0.26	0.38	0.34	0.44	0.37	-0.31	-0.59	0.34	0.14	0.66	0.57	0.89	0.63	-0.14	0.76
Common Stock	0.44	0.37	0.2	-0.69	0.48	0.29	0.43	0.47	0.26		0.13	0.34	0.23	-0.15	-0.12	-0.54	0.47	0.3	0.4	0.33	0.11	0.27	0.15	0.23
Short Term Investments	0.83	0.82	0.48	-0.63	0.74	0.46	0.66	0.86	0.38	0.13		0.55	0.68	0.31	-0.03	-0.78	0.8	0.71	0.77	0.72	0.19	0.77	0.7	0.51
Long Term Debt	0.66	0.47	0.83	-0.8	0.43	0.79	0.84	0.62	0.34	0.34	0.55		0.8	0.71	-0.65	-0.81	0.61	0.72	0.79	0.83	0.1	0.76	0.49	0.77
Property Plant Equipment	0.82	0.57	0.69	-0.73	0.61	0.71	0.87	0.77	0.44	0.23	0.68	0.8		0.46	-0.28	-0.75	0.62	0.83	0.78	0.73	0.15	0.89	0.63	0.77
Current Deferred Revenue	0.38	0.16	0.74	-0.43	0.1	0.71	0.58	0.31	0.37	-0.15	0.31	0.71	0.46		-0.7	-0.45	0.34	0.17	0.62	0.56	0.2	0.53	0.11	0.69
Good Will	-0.07	0.0	-0.7	0.42	0.06	-0.67	-0.51	-0.04	-0.31	-0.12	-0.03	-0.65	-0.28	-0.7		0.36	-0.16	-0.04	-0.32	-0.44	-0.11	-0.39	0.09	-0.6
Intangible Assets	-0.87	-0.7	-0.75	0.95	-0.76	-0.76	-0.9	-0.87	-0.59	-0.54	-0.78	-0.81	-0.75	-0.45	0.36		-0.81	-0.73	-0.92	-0.9	-0.35	-0.8	-0.44	-0.7
Net Tangible Assets	0.87	0.96	0.37	-0.75	0.58	0.48	0.67	0.92	0.34	0.47	0.8	0.61	0.62	0.34	-0.16	-0.81		0.63	0.78	0.59	0.04	0.7	0.59	0.54
Long Term Debt Total	0.72	0.64	0.44	-0.63	0.58	0.41	0.65	0.73	0.14	0.3	0.71	0.72	0.83	0.17	-0.04	-0.73	0.63		0.63	0.7	-0.01	0.66	0.73	0.45
Capital Surpluse	0.93	0.64	0.79	-0.91	0.73	0.82	0.92	0.89	0.66	0.4	0.77	0.79	0.78	0.62	-0.32	-0.92	0.78	0.63		0.86	0.43	0.86	0.44	0.82
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.74	0.49	0.84	-0.85	0.7	0.79	0.87	0.72	0.57	0.33	0.72	0.83	0.73	0.56	-0.44	-0.9	0.59	0.7	0.86		0.44	0.82	0.43	0.72
Short Long Term Debt	0.33	-0.02	0.49	-0.41	0.4	0.59	0.47	0.28	0.89	0.11	0.19	0.1	0.15	0.2	-0.11	-0.35	0.04	-0.01	0.43	0.44		0.35	-0.33	0.5
Net Invested Capital	0.86	0.63	0.79	-0.81	0.66	0.84	0.93	0.82	0.63	0.27	0.77	0.76	0.89	0.53	-0.39	-0.8	0.7	0.66	0.86	0.82	0.35		0.62	0.9
Net Working Capital	0.58	0.63	0.21	-0.36	0.46	0.16	0.39	0.61	-0.14	0.15	0.7	0.49	0.63	0.11	0.09	-0.44	0.59	0.73	0.44	0.43	-0.33	0.62		0.31
Capital Stock	0.72	0.41	0.89	-0.78	0.44	0.96	0.92	0.65	0.76	0.23	0.51	0.77	0.77	0.69	-0.6	-0.7	0.54	0.45	0.82	0.72	0.5	0.9	0.31

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Cerus

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Cerus has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 69%. This is 59.39% higher than that of the Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector and 67.6% higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 73.24% lower than that of the firm.

Cerus Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Cerus' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Cerus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cerus by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Cerus is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Cerus Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.35)	(0.43)	(0.27)	(0.23)	(0.2)	(0.19)
Net Debt	29.5M	30.3M	38.8M	51.7M	84.4M	88.6M
Total Current Liabilities	50.3M	60.0M	78.6M	117.1M	67.5M	38.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total	58.1M	57.6M	73.3M	32.5M	76.8M	80.6M
Total Assets	165.5M	221.4M	237.5M	218.1M	197.7M	113.8M
Total Current Assets	128.1M	183.4M	187.1M	170.1M	144.4M	99.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(65.8M)	(40.7M)	(33.9M)	(25.6M)	(43.2M)	(45.3M)

Cerus Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.38
	Return On Asset	-0.0373
	Profit Margin	(0.11) %
	Operating Margin	(0.02) %
	Current Valuation	354.76 M
	Shares Outstanding	185.72 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	3.27 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	79.26 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	7.93 M
	Price To Earning	(4.70) X
	Price To Book	6.21 X
	Price To Sales	1.89 X
	Revenue	156.37 M
	Gross Profit	87.09 M
	EBITDA	(26.54 M)
	Net Income	(37.49 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	107.05 M
	Cash Per Share	0.60 X
	Total Debt	96 M
	Debt To Equity	1.15 %
	Current Ratio	2.08 X
	Book Value Per Share	0.29 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	(43.17 M)
	Short Ratio	4.16 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.11) X
	Target Price	3.9
	Number Of Employees	625
	Beta	1.2
	Market Capitalization	332.43 M
	Total Asset	197.75 M
	Retained Earnings	(1.04 B)
	Working Capital	76.92 M
	Current Asset	130.41 M
	Current Liabilities	21.86 M
	Net Asset	197.75 M

About Cerus Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cerus's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cerus using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cerus based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Cerus Stock Analysis

When running Cerus' price analysis, check to measure Cerus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cerus is operating at the current time. Most of Cerus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cerus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cerus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cerus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Cerus Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Cerus Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Cerus Probability Of Bankruptcy

Cerus Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Cerus Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Cerus Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Cerus Fundamentals

About Cerus Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Cerus Stock Analysis

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