Choice Hotels International Stock Beneish M Score

CHH Stock  USD 148.84  2.30  1.57%   
This module uses fundamental data of Choice Hotels to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Choice Hotels M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Choice Hotels Piotroski F Score and Choice Hotels Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, Choice Hotels' Short and Long Term Debt is increasing as compared to previous years. The Choice Hotels' current Net Debt To EBITDA is estimated to increase to 3.95, while Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to under 627.2 M. As of now, Choice Hotels' Free Cash Flow Yield is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Choice Hotels' current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 6.19, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 3.50.
At this time, it appears that Choice Hotels Intern is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Choice Hotels' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Choice Hotels executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Choice Hotels' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.28
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.05

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.08

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.21

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.08

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.81

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Choice Hotels Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Choice Hotels' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables205.7 M195.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.6 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.5 B2.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets218.1 M296.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total2.2 B2.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment516 M491.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization101.7 M75.7 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative246 M216.1 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities989.8 M942.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.7 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt528.7 M503.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt627.2 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income207.8 M375 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities173.2 M296.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments153.8 M226.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.540.447
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Choice Hotels Intern Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Choice Hotels' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Choice Hotels in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Choice Hotels' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Choice Hotels Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

1.17 Billion

As of now, Choice Hotels' Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

Choice Hotels Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Choice Hotels. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables141.6M149.9M153.1M216.6M195.9M205.7M
Total Revenue1.1B774.1M1.1B1.4B1.5B1.6B
Total Assets1.4B1.6B1.9B2.1B2.4B2.5B
Total Current Assets236.6M432.9M761.7M347.9M296.5M218.1M
Net Debt839.1M836.7M584.4M1.2B1.7B1.7B
Short Term Debt7.5M10.6M228.3M13.6M503.5M528.7M
Long Term Debt844.1M1.1B844.1M1.2B1.1B627.2M
Operating Income318.6M122.1M428.9M478.6M375.0M207.8M
Investments(15.1M)2.0M(78.9M)(442.4M)(62.0M)(65.1M)
Gross Profit Margin0.490.470.40.560.50.54

Choice Hotels ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Choice Hotels' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Choice Hotels' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Choice Hotels Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Choice Hotels International's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Choice Hotels using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Choice Hotels International based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Choice Hotels Intern offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Choice Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Choice Hotels International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Choice Hotels International Stock:
Check out Choice Hotels Piotroski F Score and Choice Hotels Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Choice Hotels. If investors know Choice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Choice Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.227
Dividend Share
1.15
Earnings Share
5.25
Revenue Per Share
16.114
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.034
The market value of Choice Hotels Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Choice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Choice Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Choice Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Choice Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Choice Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Choice Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Choice Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Choice Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.