Commercial Metals Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CMC Stock

USD 60.44 0.72 1.21%

Commercial Metals' risk of distress is less than 5% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial hardship in the next 24 months. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Commercial balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Commercial Metals Piotroski F Score and Commercial Metals Altman Z Score analysis.

For information on how to trade Commercial Stock refer to our How to Trade Commercial Stock guide.

The current year's Market Cap is expected to grow to about 6.5 B. The current year's Enterprise Value is expected to grow to about 6.9 B

Commercial Metals Company probability of distress Analysis

Commercial Metals' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Commercial Metals Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of Commercial Metals' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Commercial Metals is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Commercial Metals probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Commercial Metals odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Commercial Metals financial health.

Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commercial Metals. If investors know Commercial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commercial Metals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.43)

Dividend Share

0.68

Earnings Share

4.16

Revenue Per Share

68.419

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.1)

The market value of Commercial Metals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commercial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commercial Metals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commercial Metals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commercial Metals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commercial Metals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Short Term Investments	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.97	0.1	0.96	0.7	0.65	0.95	0.24	0.46	-0.59	0.46	-0.73	0.94	-0.44	-0.28	0.9	0.86	0.91	0.61	-0.21	0.69	0.89	-0.76	0.23	0.4	0.86	0.86	-0.59
Total Stockholder Equity	0.97		-0.12	1.0	0.53	0.46	0.85	0.2	0.28	-0.42	0.25	-0.65	0.98	-0.54	-0.14	0.96	0.91	0.98	0.66	-0.3	0.78	0.95	-0.74	0.19	0.41	0.92	0.92	-0.68
Net Debt	0.1	-0.12		-0.15	0.6	0.63	0.32	0.1	0.65	-0.64	0.79	-0.39	-0.16	0.37	-0.46	-0.2	-0.17	-0.26	-0.22	0.44	-0.37	-0.21	-0.02	0.07	-0.32	-0.22	-0.25	0.32
Retained Earnings	0.96	1.0	-0.15		0.5	0.44	0.84	0.2	0.25	-0.4	0.23	-0.65	0.98	-0.54	-0.13	0.97	0.92	0.98	0.66	-0.32	0.8	0.95	-0.73	0.19	0.41	0.92	0.91	-0.7
Net Receivables	0.7	0.53	0.6	0.5		0.98	0.81	0.31	0.7	-0.76	0.77	-0.64	0.46	-0.08	-0.51	0.41	0.44	0.42	0.28	0.17	0.28	0.42	-0.57	0.29	0.23	0.55	0.53	0.09
Total Liab	0.65	0.46	0.63	0.44	0.98		0.79	0.3	0.71	-0.8	0.81	-0.62	0.39	-0.01	-0.55	0.33	0.36	0.34	0.25	0.18	0.21	0.34	-0.52	0.29	0.26	0.47	0.45	0.12
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.85	0.32	0.84	0.81	0.79		0.31	0.65	-0.74	0.64	-0.78	0.79	-0.23	-0.41	0.76	0.73	0.77	0.47	-0.1	0.54	0.73	-0.66	0.28	0.41	0.72	0.72	-0.47
Short Term Debt	0.24	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.31	0.3	0.31		0.05	-0.16	-0.09	-0.41	0.08	0.25	0.1	0.16	0.33	0.22	0.29	-0.36	0.04	0.26	-0.23	1.0	0.31	0.25	0.2	0.07
Accounts Payable	0.46	0.28	0.65	0.25	0.7	0.71	0.65	0.05		-0.63	0.72	-0.48	0.22	0.2	-0.52	0.21	0.2	0.17	-0.16	0.25	0.09	0.1	-0.12	0.01	0.17	0.15	0.13	-0.06
Common Stock	-0.59	-0.42	-0.64	-0.4	-0.76	-0.8	-0.74	-0.16	-0.63		-0.8	0.7	-0.37	-0.07	0.33	-0.27	-0.18	-0.24	-0.38	0.14	-0.02	-0.21	0.44	-0.14	0.01	-0.21	-0.23	0.1
Long Term Debt	0.46	0.25	0.79	0.23	0.77	0.81	0.64	-0.09	0.72	-0.8		-0.53	0.22	0.14	-0.67	0.16	0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.46	0.06	0.1	-0.24	-0.12	0.08	0.15	0.16	0.01
Treasury Stock	-0.73	-0.65	-0.39	-0.65	-0.64	-0.62	-0.78	-0.41	-0.48	0.7	-0.53		-0.54	-0.18	0.21	-0.67	-0.66	-0.54	-0.29	0.19	-0.38	-0.5	0.3	-0.38	-0.28	-0.5	-0.44	0.33
Property Plant Equipment	0.94	0.98	-0.16	0.98	0.46	0.39	0.79	0.08	0.22	-0.37	0.22	-0.54		-0.67	-0.12	0.93	0.86	0.97	0.69	-0.31	0.79	0.95	-0.76	0.07	0.32	0.89	0.9	-0.73
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.44	-0.54	0.37	-0.54	-0.08	-0.01	-0.23	0.25	0.2	-0.07	0.14	-0.18	-0.67		0.01	-0.45	-0.36	-0.58	-0.59	0.18	-0.48	-0.63	0.68	0.22	0.02	-0.58	-0.61	0.41
Short Term Investments	-0.28	-0.14	-0.46	-0.13	-0.51	-0.55	-0.41	0.1	-0.52	0.33	-0.67	0.21	-0.12	0.01		-0.1	-0.09	-0.08	0.24	-0.61	-0.15	-0.07	0.11	0.14	-0.36	-0.16	-0.17	-0.06
Good Will	0.9	0.96	-0.2	0.97	0.41	0.33	0.76	0.16	0.21	-0.27	0.16	-0.67	0.93	-0.45	-0.1		0.96	0.96	0.52	-0.25	0.84	0.92	-0.57	0.15	0.45	0.9	0.87	-0.71
Intangible Assets	0.86	0.91	-0.17	0.92	0.44	0.36	0.73	0.33	0.2	-0.18	0.11	-0.66	0.86	-0.36	-0.09	0.96		0.94	0.48	-0.18	0.78	0.93	-0.57	0.33	0.51	0.92	0.87	-0.59
Net Tangible Assets	0.91	0.98	-0.26	0.98	0.42	0.34	0.77	0.22	0.17	-0.24	0.11	-0.54	0.97	-0.58	-0.08	0.96	0.94		0.64	-0.31	0.83	0.98	-0.72	0.22	0.45	0.94	0.93	-0.72
Total Permanent Equity	0.61	0.66	-0.22	0.66	0.28	0.25	0.47	0.29	-0.16	-0.38	-0.02	-0.29	0.69	-0.59	0.24	0.52	0.48	0.64		-0.63	0.34	0.65	-0.84	0.31	0.02	0.62	0.68	-0.39
Long Term Debt Total	-0.21	-0.3	0.44	-0.32	0.17	0.18	-0.1	-0.36	0.25	0.14	0.46	0.19	-0.31	0.18	-0.61	-0.25	-0.18	-0.31	-0.63		-0.15	-0.25	0.24	-0.37	0.08	-0.17	-0.19	0.37
Capital Surpluse	0.69	0.78	-0.37	0.8	0.28	0.21	0.54	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.06	-0.38	0.79	-0.48	-0.15	0.84	0.78	0.83	0.34	-0.15		0.8	-0.34	0.04	0.52	0.82	0.8	-0.65
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.89	0.95	-0.21	0.95	0.42	0.34	0.73	0.26	0.1	-0.21	0.1	-0.5	0.95	-0.63	-0.07	0.92	0.93	0.98	0.65	-0.25	0.8		-0.75	0.26	0.37	0.93	0.91	-0.67
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.76	-0.74	-0.02	-0.73	-0.57	-0.52	-0.66	-0.23	-0.12	0.44	-0.24	0.3	-0.76	0.68	0.11	-0.57	-0.57	-0.72	-0.84	0.24	-0.34	-0.75		-0.24	-0.09	-0.75	-0.78	0.27
Short Long Term Debt	0.23	0.19	0.07	0.19	0.29	0.29	0.28	1.0	0.01	-0.14	-0.12	-0.38	0.07	0.22	0.14	0.15	0.33	0.22	0.31	-0.37	0.04	0.26	-0.24		0.3	0.26	0.21	0.09
Cash And Equivalents	0.4	0.41	-0.32	0.41	0.23	0.26	0.41	0.31	0.17	0.01	0.08	-0.28	0.32	0.02	-0.36	0.45	0.51	0.45	0.02	0.08	0.52	0.37	-0.09	0.3		0.49	0.51	-0.2
Net Invested Capital	0.86	0.92	-0.22	0.92	0.55	0.47	0.72	0.25	0.15	-0.21	0.15	-0.5	0.89	-0.58	-0.16	0.9	0.92	0.94	0.62	-0.17	0.82	0.93	-0.75	0.26	0.49		0.98	-0.45
Net Working Capital	0.86	0.92	-0.25	0.91	0.53	0.45	0.72	0.2	0.13	-0.23	0.16	-0.44	0.9	-0.61	-0.17	0.87	0.87	0.93	0.68	-0.19	0.8	0.91	-0.78	0.21	0.51	0.98		-0.48
Capital Stock	-0.59	-0.68	0.32	-0.7	0.09	0.12	-0.47	0.07	-0.06	0.1	0.01	0.33	-0.73	0.41	-0.06	-0.71	-0.59	-0.72	-0.39	0.37	-0.65	-0.67	0.27	0.09	-0.2	-0.45	-0.48

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0685	0.089	0.2	0.13	0.0712	0.0401
Asset Turnover	1.34	1.45	1.43	1.33	1.16	1.1
Net Debt	541.6M	572.0M	829.4M	562.5M	331.7M	453.7M
Total Current Liabilities	745.3M	980.5M	1.4B	843.7M	834.9M	667.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.4B	1.4B	1.6B	1.7B	1.7B	1.8B
Total Assets	4.1B	4.6B	6.2B	6.6B	6.8B	7.2B
Total Current Assets	2.2B	2.7B	3.4B	3.1B	3.3B	3.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	791.2M	228.5M	700.3M	1.3B	899.7M	944.7M

	Return On Equity	0.12
	Return On Asset	0.0644
	Profit Margin	0.06 %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	7.1 B
	Shares Outstanding	113.91 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.84 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	90.05 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	3.34 M
	Price To Earning	22.20 X
	Price To Book	1.57 X
	Price To Sales	0.86 X
	Revenue	7.93 B
	Gross Profit	1.81 B
	EBITDA	963.93 M
	Net Income	485.49 M
	Cash And Equivalents	592.33 M
	Cash Per Share	5.73 X
	Total Debt	1.19 B
	Debt To Equity	0.50 %
	Current Ratio	2.54 X
	Book Value Per Share	37.68 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	899.71 M
	Short Ratio	3.80 X
	Earnings Per Share	4.16 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	12.25 X
	Target Price	63.0
	Number Of Employees	13.18 K
	Beta	1.14
	Market Capitalization	6.8 B
	Total Asset	6.82 B
	Retained Earnings	4.5 B
	Working Capital	2.46 B
	Current Asset	2.05 B
	Current Liabilities	821.12 M
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Five Year Return	2.18 %
	Net Asset	6.82 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.68

Commercial Metals Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Commercial Metals Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Commercial Metals Probability Of Bankruptcy

Commercial Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Commercial Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Commercial Metals Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Commercial Metals ESG Sustainability

Commercial Fundamentals

About Commercial Metals Fundamental Analysis

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