Commercial Metals Stock Technical Analysis
| CMC Stock | USD 82.99 2.43 3.02% |
As of the 9th of February, Commercial Metals shows the Downside Deviation of 1.53, mean deviation of 1.65, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2299. Commercial Metals technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Commercial Metals Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Commercial, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CommercialCommercial | Build AI portfolio with Commercial Stock |
Commercial Metals Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 80.3 | Buy | 11 | Odds |
Most Commercial analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Commercial stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Commercial Metals, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Commercial conference calls.
Will Metals & Mining sector continue expanding? Could Commercial diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commercial Metals. Projected growth potential of Commercial fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Commercial Metals data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.513 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 3.86 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
Commercial Metals's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Commercial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Commercial Metals' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Commercial Metals' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Commercial Metals' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Commercial Metals should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Commercial Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Commercial Metals 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commercial Metals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commercial Metals.
| 11/11/2025 |
| 02/09/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Commercial Metals on November 11, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commercial Metals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commercial Metals over 90 days. Commercial Metals is related to or competes with Gerdau SA, Ternium SA, Cleveland Cliffs, Element Solutions, Osisko Gold, Eagle Materials, and Hudbay Minerals. Commercial Metals Company manufactures, recycles, and fabricates steel and metal products, and related materials and ser... More
Commercial Metals Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commercial Metals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commercial Metals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2332 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.88 |
Commercial Metals Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commercial Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commercial Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commercial Metals historical prices to predict the future Commercial Metals' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2299 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4317 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3488 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3059 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3783 |
Commercial Metals February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2299 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3883 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 359.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4317 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3488 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3059 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3783 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.13) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2491 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.55) |
Commercial Metals Backtested Returns
Commercial Metals appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Commercial Metals secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.29, which signifies that the company had a 0.29 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Commercial Metals' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please makes use of Commercial Metals' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2299, mean deviation of 1.65, and Downside Deviation of 1.53 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Commercial Metals holds a performance score of 23. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.45, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Commercial Metals will likely underperform. Please check Commercial Metals' jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Commercial Metals' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.83 |
Very good predictability
Commercial Metals has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commercial Metals time series from 11th of November 2025 to 26th of December 2025 and 26th of December 2025 to 9th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commercial Metals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Commercial Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.83 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.86 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 15.88 |
Commercial Metals technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Commercial Metals Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Commercial Metals volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Commercial Metals Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Commercial Metals on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commercial Metals based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Commercial Metals price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Commercial Metals. By analyzing Commercial Metals's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Commercial Metals's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Commercial Metals specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0127 | 0.0125 | 0.0162 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.78 | 0.84 | 0.79 |
Commercial Metals February 9, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Commercial help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commercial from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Commercial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2299 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.3883 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 359.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2332 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4317 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3488 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3059 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3783 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.69 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.13) | |||
| Skewness | 0.2491 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.55) |
Commercial Metals February 9, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commercial stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.47 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | ||
| Day Median Price | 82.44 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 82.62 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.77 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.65 |
Complementary Tools for Commercial Stock analysis
When running Commercial Metals' price analysis, check to measure Commercial Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commercial Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Commercial Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commercial Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commercial Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commercial Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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