Core Molding Technologies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CMT Stock

USD 16.61 0.87 4.98%

Core Molding's odds of distress is less than 4% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial trouble in the next 24 months. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Core Molding's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Core balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Core Molding Piotroski F Score and Core Molding Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 64.8 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 87 M in 2024

Core Molding Technologies Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Core Molding's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Core Molding Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 4%

Most of Core Molding's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Core Molding Technologies is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Core Molding probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Core Molding odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Core Molding Technologies financial health.

Is Commodity Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Core Molding. If investors know Core will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Core Molding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.27)

Earnings Share

1.74

Revenue Per Share

36.071

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.16)

Return On Assets

0.0537

The market value of Core Molding Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Core that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Core Molding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Core Molding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Core Molding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Core Molding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Core Molding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Core Molding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Core Molding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Core Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Core Molding is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Core Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Core Molding's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Core Molding's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Core Molding's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.71	0.41	0.71	0.92	0.83	0.84	0.72	0.24	0.16	0.42	0.96	0.79	0.12	-0.06	-0.61	0.52	0.61	0.87	0.09	0.31	0.28	-0.79	0.74	-0.24	0.37
Total Stockholder Equity	0.71		-0.1	0.99	0.59	0.54	0.44	0.96	-0.02	-0.25	0.16	0.74	0.7	0.0	-0.15	-0.41	0.73	0.38	0.81	0.2	0.61	-0.02	-0.65	0.72	-0.01	0.76
Net Debt	0.41	-0.1		-0.14	0.56	0.52	0.8	0.05	0.51	0.3	0.58	0.2	0.58	0.37	0.13	-0.36	-0.45	0.54	0.2	-0.36	-0.18	0.52	-0.63	0.48	-0.56	-0.03
Retained Earnings	0.71	0.99	-0.14		0.55	0.54	0.4	0.93	-0.02	-0.35	0.1	0.77	0.64	0.02	-0.17	-0.44	0.7	0.35	0.75	0.26	0.54	-0.01	-0.59	0.64	-0.01	0.66
Accounts Payable	0.92	0.59	0.56	0.55		0.86	0.89	0.65	0.21	0.31	0.57	0.79	0.82	0.19	-0.03	-0.6	0.44	0.68	0.83	-0.17	0.25	0.23	-0.83	0.79	-0.24	0.44
Net Receivables	0.83	0.54	0.52	0.54	0.86		0.78	0.63	0.09	0.13	0.52	0.77	0.66	0.2	0.14	-0.47	0.4	0.66	0.66	0.12	0.22	0.11	-0.65	0.71	-0.06	0.31
Total Liab	0.84	0.44	0.8	0.4	0.89	0.78		0.55	0.45	0.26	0.61	0.67	0.88	0.18	0.1	-0.59	0.07	0.69	0.68	-0.15	0.15	0.47	-0.9	0.78	-0.5	0.33
Total Current Assets	0.72	0.96	0.05	0.93	0.65	0.63	0.55		0.01	-0.16	0.31	0.69	0.78	-0.02	0.01	-0.33	0.65	0.5	0.81	0.13	0.68	0.0	-0.72	0.83	0.0	0.81
Short Term Debt	0.24	-0.02	0.51	-0.02	0.21	0.09	0.45	0.01		0.04	-0.28	0.2	0.28	0.04	0.11	-0.3	-0.28	-0.26	0.14	-0.1	-0.1	0.99	-0.36	0.15	-0.9	-0.04
Common Stock	0.16	-0.25	0.3	-0.35	0.31	0.13	0.26	-0.16	0.04		0.38	0.01	0.11	-0.13	0.06	0.06	0.11	0.2	0.25	-0.13	0.04	0.05	-0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.05
Long Term Debt	0.42	0.16	0.58	0.1	0.57	0.52	0.61	0.31	-0.28	0.38		0.2	0.58	0.25	-0.06	-0.19	-0.02	0.95	0.33	-0.23	0.12	-0.26	-0.54	0.61	0.18	0.19
Property Plant Equipment	0.96	0.74	0.2	0.77	0.79	0.77	0.67	0.69	0.2	0.01	0.2		0.63	0.1	-0.09	-0.56	0.61	0.44	0.82	0.26	0.32	0.25	-0.63	0.6	-0.17	0.31
Good Will	0.79	0.7	0.58	0.64	0.82	0.66	0.88	0.78	0.28	0.11	0.58	0.63		0.19	0.0	-0.48	0.25	0.69	0.83	-0.23	0.46	0.27	-0.99	0.92	-0.37	0.69
Intangible Assets	0.12	0.0	0.37	0.02	0.19	0.2	0.18	-0.02	0.04	-0.13	0.25	0.1	0.19		-0.3	-0.14	-0.13	0.26	0.03	-0.33	-0.09	0.05	-0.19	0.21	-0.06	-0.1
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.06	-0.15	0.13	-0.17	-0.03	0.14	0.1	0.01	0.11	0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.0	-0.3		0.32	-0.2	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.17	0.06	0.0	0.04	0.0	0.1
Treasury Stock	-0.61	-0.41	-0.36	-0.44	-0.6	-0.47	-0.59	-0.33	-0.3	0.06	-0.19	-0.56	-0.48	-0.14	0.32		-0.11	-0.29	-0.38	-0.15	0.4	-0.34	0.52	-0.24	0.56	-0.06
Net Tangible Assets	0.52	0.73	-0.45	0.7	0.44	0.4	0.07	0.65	-0.28	0.11	-0.02	0.61	0.25	-0.13	-0.2	-0.11		0.13	0.69	0.29	0.59	-0.27	-0.21	0.39	0.38	0.52
Long Term Debt Total	0.61	0.38	0.54	0.35	0.68	0.66	0.69	0.5	-0.26	0.2	0.95	0.44	0.69	0.26	-0.06	-0.29	0.13		0.49	-0.16	0.23	-0.24	-0.64	0.73	0.17	0.28
Capital Surpluse	0.87	0.81	0.2	0.75	0.83	0.66	0.68	0.81	0.14	0.25	0.33	0.82	0.83	0.03	-0.02	-0.38	0.69	0.49		-0.06	0.63	0.14	-0.82	0.81	-0.14	0.71
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.09	0.2	-0.36	0.26	-0.17	0.12	-0.15	0.13	-0.1	-0.13	-0.23	0.26	-0.23	-0.33	-0.05	-0.15	0.29	-0.16	-0.06		-0.09	-0.06	0.28	-0.23	0.13	-0.17
Accumulated Depreciation	0.31	0.61	-0.18	0.54	0.25	0.22	0.15	0.68	-0.1	0.04	0.12	0.32	0.46	-0.09	0.17	0.4	0.59	0.23	0.63	-0.09		-0.14	-0.4	0.65	0.3	0.76
Short Long Term Debt	0.28	-0.02	0.52	-0.01	0.23	0.11	0.47	0.0	0.99	0.05	-0.26	0.25	0.27	0.05	0.06	-0.34	-0.27	-0.24	0.14	-0.06	-0.14		-0.36	0.14	-0.9	-0.09
Cash And Equivalents	-0.79	-0.65	-0.63	-0.59	-0.83	-0.65	-0.9	-0.72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.54	-0.63	-0.99	-0.19	0.0	0.52	-0.21	-0.64	-0.82	0.28	-0.4	-0.36		-0.89	0.46	-0.64
Net Invested Capital	0.74	0.72	0.48	0.64	0.79	0.71	0.78	0.83	0.15	0.11	0.61	0.6	0.92	0.21	0.04	-0.24	0.39	0.73	0.81	-0.23	0.65	0.14	-0.89		-0.1	0.72
Net Working Capital	-0.24	-0.01	-0.56	-0.01	-0.24	-0.06	-0.5	0.0	-0.9	0.02	0.18	-0.17	-0.37	-0.06	0.0	0.56	0.38	0.17	-0.14	0.13	0.3	-0.9	0.46	-0.1		0.0
Capital Stock	0.37	0.76	-0.03	0.66	0.44	0.31	0.33	0.81	-0.04	-0.05	0.19	0.31	0.69	-0.1	0.1	-0.06	0.52	0.28	0.71	-0.17	0.76	-0.09	-0.64	0.72	0.0

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Core Molding

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Core Molding Technologies has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 4.0%. This is 90.98% lower than that of the Chemicals sector and 90.43% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 89.96% higher than that of the company.

Core Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Core Molding's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Core Molding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Core Molding by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Core Molding is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Core Molding Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0849)	0.0493	0.0251	0.0614	0.0952	0.1
Net Debt	50.7M	24.0M	23.5M	21.9M	2.7M	2.6M
Total Current Liabilities	82.6M	36.0M	53.1M	50.8M	46.2M	28.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total	12.3M	35.6M	33.0M	31.7M	28.2M	20.7M
Total Assets	179.3M	165.5M	186.1M	198.6M	213.4M	118.9M
Total Current Assets	61.2M	56.5M	75.1M	80.7M	102.9M	108.0M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	16.7M	28.2M	12.5M	19.0M	34.8M	36.6M

Core Molding ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Core Molding's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Core Molding's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Core Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.11
	Return On Asset	0.0537
	Profit Margin	0.05 %
	Operating Margin	0.06 %
	Current Valuation	128.38 M
	Shares Outstanding	8.96 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	11.12 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	63.10 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	183.74 K
	Price To Earning	11.19 X
	Price To Book	1.06 X
	Price To Sales	0.47 X
	Revenue	357.74 M
	Gross Profit	52.4 M
	EBITDA	39.67 M
	Net Income	20.32 M
	Cash And Equivalents	4.18 M
	Cash Per Share	0.01 X
	Total Debt	26.8 M
	Debt To Equity	0.33 %
	Current Ratio	1.42 X
	Book Value Per Share	17.09 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	34.84 M
	Short Ratio	5.84 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.74 X
	Target Price	24.0
	Number Of Employees	1.86 K
	Beta	1.69
	Market Capitalization	148.75 M
	Total Asset	213.38 M
	Retained Earnings	122.07 M
	Working Capital	56.69 M
	Current Asset	62.68 M
	Current Liabilities	31.15 M
	Net Asset	213.38 M

About Core Molding Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Core Molding Technologies's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Core Molding using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Core Molding Technologies based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Core Molding Technologies Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Core Molding Technologies Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Core Molding Probability Of Bankruptcy

Core Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Core Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Core Molding Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Core Molding ESG Sustainability

Core Fundamentals

About Core Molding Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Core Stock Analysis

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