Csx Corporation Stock Beneish M Score

CSX Stock  USD 35.78  0.44  1.25%   
This module uses fundamental data of CSX to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. CSX M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out CSX Piotroski F Score and CSX Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, CSX's Short and Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is likely to rise to about 18.6 B in 2024, whereas Short Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 385.2 M in 2024. At this time, CSX's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Net Income Per Share is likely to rise to 1.94 in 2024, whereas Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is likely to drop 0 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that CSX Corporation is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if CSX's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by CSX executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of CSX's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.8
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.03

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.89

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.26

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.8

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.26

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.67

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.75

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.55

Focus

CSX Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if CSX's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.1 B1.4 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue11.1 B14.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets27 B42.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets2.7 B3.4 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total24.3 B39 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment27.2 B39.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization1.7 B1.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative27.6 M29 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current LiabilitiesB3.2 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total15.8 B27.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt18.6 B17.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt385.2 M626 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt11 B18 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income5.8 B5.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities5.8 B5.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments78.8 M83 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.7 B2.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.310.3865
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

CSX Corporation Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between CSX's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards CSX in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find CSX's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About CSX Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

7.68 Billion

At this time, CSX's Other Operating Expenses is fairly stable compared to the past year.

CSX Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as CSX. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables986M912M1.1B1.3B1.4B1.1B
Total Revenue11.9B10.6B12.5B14.9B14.7B11.1B
Total Assets38.3B39.8B40.5B41.9B42.4B27.0B
Total Current Assets3.3B4.4B3.9B3.8B3.4B2.7B
Net Debt15.3B13.6B14.1B16.1B17.7B18.6B
Short Term Debt18M245M446M220M626M385.2M
Long Term Debt16.0B16.3B16.2B17.9B18.0B11.0B
Operating Income5.0B4.4B5.6B6.0B5.6B5.8B
Investments(730M)998M(70M)(2.1B)(2.0B)(1.9B)

CSX ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, CSX's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to CSX's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About CSX Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze CSX Corporation's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CSX using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CSX Corporation based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When running CSX's price analysis, check to measure CSX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSX is operating at the current time. Most of CSX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.