Csx Corporation Stock Market Outlook
| CSX Stock | USD 41.13 0.41 1.01% |
Slightly above 55% of CSX's investor base is interested to short. The current sentiment of investing in CSX Corporation suggests that many traders are impartial. CSX's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, CSX's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 45
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use CSX's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward CSX Corporation.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CSX Corporation is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell CSX Corporation given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for CSX Corporation, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute CSX Advice
The CSX recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CSX Corporation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CSX Corporation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CSX's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon CSX Corporation has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1408, Jensen Alpha of 0.1315, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0638, Sortino Ratio of 0.0886 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2678CSX advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts analyzing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available now. To make sure CSX is not overpriced, please confirm all CSX Corporation fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that CSX Corporation has a price to earning of 17.03 X, we suggest you to validate CSX Corporation market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
CSX Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of December 2025 CSX paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from fortune.com: Insider Trading |
CSX Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of CSX's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CSX's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CSX daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CSX Corporation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CSX returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for CSX.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -2.04 | Potential Upside | 2.27 | Standard Deviation | 1.20 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CSX historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
CSX Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as CSX, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CSX Corporation back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Norges Bank | 2025-06-30 | 22.9 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 22.6 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2025-06-30 | 21 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 20.1 M | Viking Global Investors Lp | 2025-06-30 | 18.9 M | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2025-06-30 | 17.8 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-06-30 | 17.7 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2025-06-30 | 16.9 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 16.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 174.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 142.8 M |
CSX Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (890M) | (281M) | (605M) | (420M) | (263M) | (249.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.3B | 3.5B | 3.3B | 2.7B | 1.7B | 942.7M | |
| Depreciation | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 888.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 185M | (255M) | (39M) | (7M) | (150M) | (142.5M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 839M | 852M | (882M) | (930M) | (972M) | (923.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.3B | 2.5B | 2.9B | 1.8B | |
| Net Income | 3.8B | 4.2B | 3.7B | 3.5B | 2.9B | 1.7B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.2B | 2.0B | 1.4B | 933M | 670M | 827.0M | |
| Change Receivables | 45M | 83M | (141M) | (101M) | (90.9M) | (86.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (426M) | 1.8B | 447M | (8M) | (9.2M) | (8.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 53M | 113M | (102M) | (138M) | (124.2M) | (130.4M) | |
| Investments | (70M) | (2.1B) | (2.0B) | (2.6B) | (2.3B) | (2.2B) |
CSX Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CSX or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CSX's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CSX stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
CSX Volatility Alert
CSX Corporation has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.04 and kurtosis of 0.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CSX's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CSX's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.CSX Implied Volatility
CSX's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CSX Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CSX's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CSX stock will not fluctuate a lot when CSX's options are near their expiration.
CSX Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing CSX's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CSX's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CSX and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CSX or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CSX's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CSX by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare CSX to competition |
| Fundamentals | CSX | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.23 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0677 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.32 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 93.82 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.86 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 80.43 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 35.1 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 17.03 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.75 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 14.09 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.37 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 5.87 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.89 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.4 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.12 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 18.87 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.40 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.72 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.61 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.71 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.45 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 39.85 | |
| Number Of Employees | 22.93 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.29 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 75.91 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 43.68 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 9.99 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (456 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
CSX Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CSX . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
CSX Target Price Consensus
CSX target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. CSX's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 27 | Buy |
Most CSX analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand CSX stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of CSX Corporation, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationCSX Target Price Projection
CSX's current and average target prices are 41.13 and 39.85, respectively. The current price of CSX is the price at which CSX Corporation is currently trading. On the other hand, CSX's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On CSX Target Price
CSX Analyst Ratings
CSX's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about CSX stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of CSX's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. CSX's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About CSX Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell CSX Corporation? Buying financial instruments such as CSX Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having CSX in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Consumer Staples ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Consumer Staples ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Staples ETFs theme has 15 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Staples ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for CSX Stock Analysis
When running CSX's price analysis, check to measure CSX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CSX is operating at the current time. Most of CSX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CSX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CSX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CSX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.