Covenant Logistics Group, Stock Beneish M Score

CVLG Stock  USD 57.77  1.03  1.82%   
This module uses fundamental data of Covenant Logistics to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Covenant Logistics M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Covenant Logistics Piotroski F Score and Covenant Logistics Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Covenant Logistics' Debt To Assets are most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Covenant Logistics' current Debt Equity Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.66, while Net Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 147.8 M. At this time, Covenant Logistics' Operating Cash Flow Per Share is most likely to slightly grow in the upcoming years. The Covenant Logistics' current Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is estimated to increase to 0.01, while Days Sales Outstanding is projected to decrease to 38.10.
At this time, it appears that Covenant Logistics Group, is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Covenant Logistics' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Covenant Logistics executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Covenant Logistics' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.11
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.98

Focus
Asset Quality

0.63

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.71

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.95

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.71

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.59

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.64

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.08

Focus

Covenant Logistics Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Covenant Logistics' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables96.9 M153.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue711.6 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets519.8 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets137.6 M185.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total859.4 M818.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment347.8 M367 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative115.4 M104.6 M
Significantly Up
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities110.4 M170.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total199.6 M380.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt147.8 M291.2 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Short Term Debt36.6 M60.4 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt105.5 M196.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities65.2 M84.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments40.7 M66.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.09820.1034
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Covenant Logistics Group, Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Covenant Logistics' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Covenant Logistics in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Covenant Logistics' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Covenant Logistics Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

519.76 Million

At this time, Covenant Logistics' Total Assets are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Covenant Logistics Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Covenant Logistics. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables181.7M109.1M161.3M128.4M153.6M96.9M
Total Revenue894.5M838.6M1.0B1.2B1.1B711.6M
Total Assets881.9M676.7M651.7M796.6M1.0B519.8M
Total Current Assets254.4M147.8M188.5M222.7M185.9M137.6M
Net Debt305.2M103.2M65.8M111.0M291.2M147.8M
Short Term Debt81.7M31.5M28.4M42.4M60.4M36.6M
Long Term Debt200.2M47.9M20.3M90.4M196.9M105.5M
Operating Income(64.5M)(56.7M)24.3M48.0M58.8M61.8M
Investments(1.4M)138.0M1.5M(86.2M)(181.0M)(171.9M)

Covenant Logistics ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Covenant Logistics' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Covenant Logistics' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Covenant Logistics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Covenant Logistics Group,'s financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Covenant Logistics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Covenant Logistics Group, based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Covenant Logistics Group, is a strong investment it is important to analyze Covenant Logistics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Covenant Logistics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Covenant Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Covenant Logistics Piotroski F Score and Covenant Logistics Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Covenant Logistics. If investors know Covenant will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Covenant Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
0.44
Earnings Share
2.97
Revenue Per Share
86.188
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
The market value of Covenant Logistics Group, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Covenant that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Covenant Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Covenant Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Covenant Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Covenant Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Covenant Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Covenant Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Covenant Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.