Dollarama Stock Beneish M Score

DOL Stock  CAD 142.95  2.56  1.76%   
This module uses fundamental data of Dollarama to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Dollarama M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dollarama. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
At this time, Dollarama's Debt Equity Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. At this time, Dollarama's Free Cash Flow Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of November 2024, Net Income Per Share is likely to grow to 3.75, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 2.60.
At this time, Dollarama's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Dollarama's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Dollarama executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Dollarama's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.02
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

1.9

Focus
Asset Quality

1.33

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.1

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.79

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.1

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.55

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.97

Focus

Dollarama Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Dollarama's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables62.3 M59.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue3.2 B5.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets6.1 B5.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets710 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total4.8 B4.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant EquipmentB2.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization383.7 M365.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative513.3 M844.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities547.8 M677.8 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities TotalB4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt4.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt299.7 M256 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.4 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.5 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.5 B1.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments246.8 M319.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.310.3924
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Dollarama Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Dollarama's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Dollarama in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Dollarama's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Dollarama Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

383.72 Million

At this time, Dollarama's Depreciation And Amortization is very stable compared to the past year.

Dollarama Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Dollarama. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables35.0M20.5M26.3M56.3M59.4M62.3M
Total Revenue3.8B4.0B4.3B5.1B5.9B3.2B
Total Assets3.7B4.2B4.1B4.8B5.8B6.1B
Total Current Assets764.5M1.1B717.4M1.2B1.3B710.0M
Net Debt3.3B3.0B3.5B4.1B4.0B4.2B
Short Term Debt789.2M1.0B547.9M729.1M256.0M299.7M
Long Term Debt1.3B1.0B1.5B1.7B2.2B1.4B
Operating Income868.1M861M984.6M1.2B1.5B1.5B
Investments(199.3M)(97.3M)(158.7M)(156.5M)(250.9M)(263.4M)

Dollarama ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Dollarama's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Dollarama's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score

About Dollarama Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Dollarama's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Dollarama using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dollarama based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Dollarama

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dollarama position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dollarama will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Dollarama Stock

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Moving against Dollarama Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dollarama could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dollarama when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dollarama - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dollarama to buy it.
The correlation of Dollarama is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dollarama moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dollarama moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dollarama can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Dollarama Stock

Dollarama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dollarama Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dollarama with respect to the benefits of owning Dollarama security.