Dollarama Stock Performance

DOL Stock  CAD 183.50  1.77  0.96%   
Dollarama has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dollarama are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dollarama is likely to outperform the market. Dollarama right now shows a risk of 1.06%. Please confirm Dollarama total risk alpha, expected short fall, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Dollarama will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Dollarama are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Dollarama is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0023
Payout Ratio
0.0906
Last Split Factor
3:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.42
Dividend Date
2026-02-06
1
Consumers Are Struggling. Could Buying This Dollar-Store Stock Be a Brilliant Move - The Motley Fool
11/14/2025
2
Can Dollarama Inc. stock sustain double digit ROE - Market Trend Summary Accurate Trade Setup Notifications - newser.com
11/18/2025
3
RBC boosts price target on Dollarama stock as it breaks all-time highs - MSN
11/28/2025
4
Dollarama Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat
12/08/2025
5
Dollarama Posts Quarterly Earnings Results - MarketBeat
12/12/2025
6
Is Stronger Q3 Earnings And Dividend Move Altering The Investment Case For Dollarama - simplywall.st
12/17/2025
7
Dollarama Valuation Revisited Strong Rally Changes Market Narrative TSX 60 - Kalkine Media
12/24/2025
8
Dollarama Share Price Crosses Above 50 Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/14/2026
9
Dollarama Stock Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026 - Yahoo Finance Canada
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow313.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-224.1 M
  

Dollarama Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,083  in Dollarama on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  267.00  from holding Dollarama or generate 1.48% return on investment over 90 days. Dollarama is generating 0.0292% of daily returns assuming 1.0593% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 9% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Dollarama, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dollarama is expected to generate 2.21 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.42 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Dollarama Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Dollarama Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 183.50 90 days 183.50 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dollarama to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Dollarama probability density function shows the probability of Dollarama Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dollarama has a beta of -0.11 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dollarama are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dollarama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dollarama has an alpha of 0.0053, implying that it can generate a 0.005275 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dollarama Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dollarama

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dollarama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
182.44183.50184.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
136.57137.62201.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
180.22181.27182.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.151.411.19
Details

Dollarama Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dollarama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dollarama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dollarama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dollarama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
7.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Dollarama Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dollarama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dollarama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dollarama has accumulated 4.71 B in total debt. Dollarama has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dollarama until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dollarama's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dollarama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dollarama to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dollarama's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dollarama Stock Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026 - Yahoo Finance Canada

Dollarama Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dollarama Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dollarama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dollarama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding280.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments122.7 M

Dollarama Fundamentals Growth

Dollarama Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dollarama, and Dollarama fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dollarama Stock performance.

About Dollarama Performance

By examining Dollarama's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Dollarama's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Dollarama is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 109.86  123.94 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.19  0.22 
Return On Capital Employed 0.28  0.24 
Return On Assets 0.16  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.89  0.92 

Things to note about Dollarama performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dollarama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Dollarama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dollarama has accumulated 4.71 B in total debt. Dollarama has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dollarama until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dollarama's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dollarama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dollarama to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dollarama's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Dollarama Stock Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026 - Yahoo Finance Canada
Evaluating Dollarama's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dollarama's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Dollarama's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dollarama's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dollarama's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dollarama's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dollarama's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dollarama's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Dollarama's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dollarama's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dollarama's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Dollarama Stock

Dollarama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dollarama Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dollarama with respect to the benefits of owning Dollarama security.