New Oriental Education Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

EDU Stock

USD 57.71 0.99 1.75%

New Oriental's odds of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial straits in the next two years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate New Oriental's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the New balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out New Oriental Piotroski F Score and New Oriental Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 13.9 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 13.1 B in 2024

New Oriental Education Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

New Oriental's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current New Oriental Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of New Oriental's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, New Oriental Education is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of New Oriental probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting New Oriental odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of New Oriental Education financial health.

Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New Oriental. If investors know New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New Oriental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.489

Earnings Share

2.3

Revenue Per Share

28.125

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.305

Return On Assets

0.0381

The market value of New Oriental Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New Oriental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New Oriental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New Oriental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New Oriental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between New Oriental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New Oriental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New Oriental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

New Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for New Oriental is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of New Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since New Oriental's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of New Oriental's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of New Oriental's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Debt	Long Term Investments	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Deferred Long Term Liab	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.17	0.98	0.99	0.81	0.72	0.26	0.99	0.8	0.65	0.8	0.95	0.32	0.89	-0.21	0.8	0.76	0.93	0.68	0.84	0.94	0.85	0.85	0.66
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.06	0.94	0.99	0.75	0.72	0.21	0.98	0.78	0.69	0.73	0.92	0.39	0.89	-0.22	0.83	0.76	0.94	0.68	0.89	0.95	0.86	0.9	0.69
Net Debt	0.17	0.06		0.29	0.06	0.23	-0.3	0.58	0.18	-0.22	-0.25	0.65	-0.01	-0.5	-0.1	0.39	-0.21	-0.03	0.13	-0.19	-0.05	0.23	-0.17	0.13	-0.16
Total Liab	0.98	0.94	0.29		0.95	0.85	0.68	0.34	0.97	0.78	0.58	0.86	0.95	0.23	0.85	-0.17	0.74	0.73	0.88	0.64	0.75	0.9	0.8	0.78	0.6
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.99	0.06	0.95		0.77	0.76	0.2	0.99	0.8	0.69	0.72	0.96	0.34	0.9	-0.28	0.8	0.77	0.92	0.69	0.87	0.93	0.87	0.87	0.71
Retained Earnings	0.81	0.75	0.23	0.85	0.77		0.39	0.52	0.79	0.63	0.57	0.83	0.82	0.2	0.65	0.14	0.7	0.68	0.75	0.65	0.4	0.67	0.63	0.52	0.26
Accounts Payable	0.72	0.72	-0.3	0.68	0.76	0.39		-0.35	0.69	0.85	0.62	0.24	0.81	0.42	0.83	-0.77	0.66	0.57	0.61	0.67	0.78	0.6	0.78	0.54	0.88
Long Term Debt	0.26	0.21	0.58	0.34	0.2	0.52	-0.35		0.29	-0.11	0.07	0.63	0.18	-0.33	-0.14	0.69	-0.01	0.08	0.23	-0.04	-0.11	0.28	-0.02	0.21	-0.32
Short Term Investments	0.99	0.98	0.18	0.97	0.99	0.79	0.69	0.29		0.73	0.64	0.78	0.94	0.23	0.85	-0.22	0.74	0.76	0.92	0.66	0.85	0.94	0.82	0.88	0.67
Intangible Assets	0.8	0.78	-0.22	0.78	0.8	0.63	0.85	-0.11	0.73		0.56	0.46	0.87	0.68	0.92	-0.41	0.85	0.59	0.71	0.65	0.7	0.69	0.88	0.56	0.64
Common Stock	0.65	0.69	-0.25	0.58	0.69	0.57	0.62	0.07	0.64	0.56		0.34	0.67	0.3	0.6	-0.34	0.59	0.55	0.61	0.62	0.59	0.54	0.62	0.53	0.62
Property Plant Equipment	0.8	0.73	0.65	0.86	0.72	0.83	0.24	0.63	0.78	0.46	0.34		0.66	0.06	0.56	0.27	0.54	0.54	0.77	0.37	0.48	0.79	0.53	0.65	0.25
Current Deferred Revenue	0.95	0.92	-0.01	0.95	0.96	0.82	0.81	0.18	0.94	0.87	0.67	0.66		0.32	0.88	-0.34	0.79	0.77	0.83	0.74	0.75	0.82	0.85	0.71	0.67
Net Receivables	0.32	0.39	-0.5	0.23	0.34	0.2	0.42	-0.33	0.23	0.68	0.3	0.06	0.32		0.56	-0.08	0.72	0.29	0.41	0.27	0.43	0.35	0.58	0.32	0.27
Good Will	0.89	0.89	-0.1	0.85	0.9	0.65	0.83	-0.14	0.85	0.92	0.6	0.56	0.88	0.56		-0.45	0.85	0.68	0.83	0.68	0.84	0.81	0.9	0.73	0.73
Short Term Debt	-0.21	-0.22	0.39	-0.17	-0.28	0.14	-0.77	0.69	-0.22	-0.41	-0.34	0.27	-0.34	-0.08	-0.45		-0.12	-0.16	-0.12	-0.36	-0.46	-0.13	-0.39	-0.15	-0.78
Long Term Investments	0.8	0.83	-0.21	0.74	0.8	0.7	0.66	-0.01	0.74	0.85	0.59	0.54	0.79	0.72	0.85	-0.12		0.7	0.82	0.75	0.7	0.74	0.82	0.66	0.51
Treasury Stock	0.76	0.76	-0.03	0.73	0.77	0.68	0.57	0.08	0.76	0.59	0.55	0.54	0.77	0.29	0.68	-0.16	0.7		0.7	0.48	0.6	0.64	0.61	0.57	0.46
Net Tangible Assets	0.93	0.94	0.13	0.88	0.92	0.75	0.61	0.23	0.92	0.71	0.61	0.77	0.83	0.41	0.83	-0.12	0.82	0.7		0.63	0.86	0.96	0.89	0.93	0.68
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.68	0.68	-0.19	0.64	0.69	0.65	0.67	-0.04	0.66	0.65	0.62	0.37	0.74	0.27	0.68	-0.36	0.75	0.48	0.63		0.55	0.53	0.63	0.48	0.57
Capital Surpluse	0.84	0.89	-0.05	0.75	0.87	0.4	0.78	-0.11	0.85	0.7	0.59	0.48	0.75	0.43	0.84	-0.46	0.7	0.6	0.86	0.55		0.9	0.83	0.92	0.86
Net Invested Capital	0.94	0.95	0.23	0.9	0.93	0.67	0.6	0.28	0.94	0.69	0.54	0.79	0.82	0.35	0.81	-0.13	0.74	0.64	0.96	0.53	0.9		0.85	0.96	0.67
Cash And Equivalents	0.85	0.86	-0.17	0.8	0.87	0.63	0.78	-0.02	0.82	0.88	0.62	0.53	0.85	0.58	0.9	-0.39	0.82	0.61	0.89	0.63	0.83	0.85		0.81	0.77
Net Working Capital	0.85	0.9	0.13	0.78	0.87	0.52	0.54	0.21	0.88	0.56	0.53	0.65	0.71	0.32	0.73	-0.15	0.66	0.57	0.93	0.48	0.92	0.96	0.81		0.69
Capital Stock	0.66	0.69	-0.16	0.6	0.71	0.26	0.88	-0.32	0.67	0.64	0.62	0.25	0.67	0.27	0.73	-0.78	0.51	0.46	0.68	0.57	0.86	0.67	0.77	0.69

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict New Oriental

Based on the latest financial disclosure, New Oriental Education has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.24% lower than that of the Diversified Consumer Services sector and 96.94% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

New Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses New Oriental's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of New Oriental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Oriental by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

New Oriental is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

New Oriental Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.063	0.0228	(0.19)	0.0277	0.0411	0.0806
Asset Turnover	0.55	0.42	0.51	0.47	0.57	0.66
Net Debt	665.0M	550.1M	(468.2M)	(1.2B)	(727.0M)	(690.7M)
Total Current Liabilities	2.5B	3.5B	1.7B	2.3B	3.0B	3.2B
Non Current Liabilities Total	1.2B	1.7B	531.0M	326.7M	481.8M	265.6M
Total Assets	6.6B	10.2B	6.0B	6.4B	7.5B	7.9B
Total Current Assets	3.8B	6.6B	4.5B	4.4B	5.4B	5.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	804.5M	1.1B	(1.3B)	971.0M	1.1B	1.2B

New Oriental ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, New Oriental's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to New Oriental's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

New Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0954
	Return On Asset	0.0381
	Profit Margin	0.08 %
	Operating Margin	0.20 %
	Current Valuation	4.94 B
	Shares Outstanding	163.53 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.08 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	99.50 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	6.18 M
	Price To Earning	113.17 X
	Price To Book	2.34 X
	Price To Sales	2.00 X
	Revenue	4.31 B
	Gross Profit	1.35 B
	EBITDA	457.25 M
	Net Income	325.22 M
	Cash And Equivalents	1.66 B
	Cash Per Share	24.99 X
	Total Debt	662.33 M
	Debt To Equity	0.15 %
	Current Ratio	2.59 X
	Book Value Per Share	24.07 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	1.12 B
	Short Ratio	2.81 X
	Earnings Per Share	2.30 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.94 X
	Target Price	86.24
	Number Of Employees	67.94 K
	Beta	0.49
	Market Capitalization	9.28 B
	Total Asset	7.53 B
	Retained Earnings	1.51 B
	Working Capital	2.39 B
	Current Asset	1.87 B
	Current Liabilities	918.19 M
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Net Asset	7.53 B

About New Oriental Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze New Oriental Education's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of New Oriental using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of New Oriental Education based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When running New Oriental's price analysis, check to measure New Oriental's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Oriental is operating at the current time. Most of New Oriental's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Oriental's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Oriental's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Oriental to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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New Oriental Education Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

New Oriental Education Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current New Oriental Probability Of Bankruptcy

New Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

New Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

New Oriental Main Bankruptcy Drivers

New Oriental ESG Sustainability

New Fundamentals

About New Oriental Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for New Stock Analysis

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