National Vision Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

EYE Stock

USD 11.66 0.11 0.95%

National Vision's likelihood of distress is under 24% at the present time. It has slight risk of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. National Vision's Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting National Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the National balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out National Vision Piotroski F Score and National Vision Altman Z Score analysis.

National Vision Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

National Vision's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current National Vision Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 24%

Most of National Vision's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, National Vision Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of National Vision probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting National Vision odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of National Vision Holdings financial health.

Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Vision. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Vision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.34)

Earnings Share

(1.04)

Revenue Per Share

27.744

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.029

Return On Assets

0.0097

The market value of National Vision Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Vision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Vision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Vision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Vision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Tangible Assets	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Total Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Deferred Long Term Liab	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.74	0.61	0.45	0.03	0.64	0.62	-0.41	0.42	-0.2	-0.45	0.57	0.48	-0.65	-0.3	0.77	0.65	-0.53	0.66	0.61	-0.55	0.55	0.89	0.82	0.52
Total Stockholder Equity	0.74		0.92	0.85	-0.09	0.91	0.89	-0.88	0.86	-0.47	-0.88	0.97	-0.02	-0.96	-0.05	0.9	0.84	-0.85	0.99	0.92	-0.79	0.92	0.85	0.76	0.71
Net Tangible Assets	0.61	0.92		0.91	0.06	0.89	0.93	-0.86	0.93	-0.68	-0.84	0.94	-0.25	-0.89	-0.01	0.89	0.88	-0.95	0.92	0.9	-0.85	0.91	0.86	0.68	0.87
Current Deferred Revenue	0.45	0.85	0.91		0.02	0.89	0.89	-0.87	0.94	-0.6	-0.85	0.9	-0.31	-0.85	0.05	0.79	0.78	-0.9	0.87	0.87	-0.86	0.83	0.67	0.54	0.79
Net Debt	0.03	-0.09	0.06	0.02		0.06	0.01	0.07	0.03	-0.21	0.04	-0.05	-0.03	0.07	0.7	-0.04	0.22	-0.14	-0.07	0.24	-0.22	0.12	0.06	-0.21	0.26
Retained Earnings	0.64	0.91	0.89	0.89	0.06		0.94	-0.8	0.93	-0.43	-0.79	0.9	-0.02	-0.84	-0.06	0.9	0.81	-0.84	0.89	0.93	-0.94	0.9	0.78	0.72	0.75
Accounts Payable	0.62	0.89	0.93	0.89	0.01	0.94		-0.73	0.92	-0.5	-0.7	0.89	-0.07	-0.82	-0.16	0.96	0.9	-0.85	0.85	0.9	-0.89	0.89	0.83	0.81	0.78
Long Term Debt	-0.41	-0.88	-0.86	-0.87	0.07	-0.8	-0.73		-0.84	0.67	0.99	-0.92	0.45	0.92	-0.2	-0.65	-0.63	0.9	-0.94	-0.81	0.75	-0.85	-0.63	-0.39	-0.75
Net Receivables	0.42	0.86	0.93	0.94	0.03	0.93	0.92	-0.84		-0.53	-0.82	0.92	-0.27	-0.84	0.02	0.81	0.81	-0.87	0.87	0.89	-0.85	0.92	0.67	0.58	0.74
Good Will	-0.2	-0.47	-0.68	-0.6	-0.21	-0.43	-0.5	0.67	-0.53		0.66	-0.51	0.74	0.53	-0.22	-0.39	-0.41	0.84	-0.54	-0.46	0.61	-0.54	-0.55	-0.1	-0.89
Long Term Debt Total	-0.45	-0.88	-0.84	-0.85	0.04	-0.79	-0.7	0.99	-0.82	0.66		-0.9	0.41	0.92	-0.21	-0.63	-0.61	0.89	-0.94	-0.8	0.74	-0.83	-0.63	-0.36	-0.74
Capital Surpluse	0.57	0.97	0.94	0.9	-0.05	0.9	0.89	-0.92	0.92	-0.51	-0.9		-0.18	-0.95	0.07	0.86	0.86	-0.87	0.98	0.94	-0.78	0.94	0.76	0.66	0.71
Total Liab	0.48	-0.02	-0.25	-0.31	-0.03	-0.02	-0.07	0.45	-0.27	0.74	0.41	-0.18		0.15	-0.36	0.13	0.05	0.43	-0.16	-0.05	0.19	-0.18	0.1	0.42	-0.43
Long Term Investments	-0.65	-0.96	-0.89	-0.85	0.07	-0.84	-0.82	0.92	-0.84	0.53	0.92	-0.95	0.15		-0.07	-0.79	-0.76	0.87	-0.98	-0.88	0.72	-0.91	-0.78	-0.61	-0.69
Short Long Term Debt	-0.3	-0.05	-0.01	0.05	0.7	-0.06	-0.16	-0.2	0.02	-0.22	-0.21	0.07	-0.36	-0.07		-0.25	0.07	-0.11	0.05	0.21	0.0	0.15	-0.22	-0.5	0.06
Total Current Assets	0.77	0.9	0.89	0.79	-0.04	0.9	0.96	-0.65	0.81	-0.39	-0.63	0.86	0.13	-0.79	-0.25		0.92	-0.77	0.83	0.87	-0.82	0.83	0.91	0.93	0.72
Short Term Debt	0.65	0.84	0.88	0.78	0.22	0.81	0.9	-0.63	0.81	-0.41	-0.61	0.86	0.05	-0.76	0.07	0.92		-0.76	0.8	0.92	-0.73	0.84	0.82	0.78	0.69
Intangible Assets	-0.53	-0.85	-0.95	-0.9	-0.14	-0.84	-0.85	0.9	-0.87	0.84	0.89	-0.87	0.43	0.87	-0.11	-0.77	-0.76		-0.88	-0.84	0.88	-0.86	-0.8	-0.51	-0.95
Common Stock	0.66	0.99	0.92	0.87	-0.07	0.89	0.85	-0.94	0.87	-0.54	-0.94	0.98	-0.16	-0.98	0.05	0.83	0.8	-0.88		0.91	-0.78	0.92	0.8	0.65	0.73
Property Plant Equipment	0.61	0.92	0.9	0.87	0.24	0.93	0.9	-0.81	0.89	-0.46	-0.8	0.94	-0.05	-0.88	0.21	0.87	0.92	-0.84	0.91		-0.85	0.94	0.77	0.66	0.73
Treasury Stock	-0.55	-0.79	-0.85	-0.86	-0.22	-0.94	-0.89	0.75	-0.85	0.61	0.74	-0.78	0.19	0.72	0.0	-0.82	-0.73	0.88	-0.78	-0.85		-0.82	-0.75	-0.59	-0.88
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.55	0.92	0.91	0.83	0.12	0.9	0.89	-0.85	0.92	-0.54	-0.83	0.94	-0.18	-0.91	0.15	0.83	0.84	-0.86	0.92	0.94	-0.82		0.76	0.62	0.73
Net Invested Capital	0.89	0.85	0.86	0.67	0.06	0.78	0.83	-0.63	0.67	-0.55	-0.63	0.76	0.1	-0.78	-0.22	0.91	0.82	-0.8	0.8	0.77	-0.75	0.76		0.84	0.8
Net Working Capital	0.82	0.76	0.68	0.54	-0.21	0.72	0.81	-0.39	0.58	-0.1	-0.36	0.66	0.42	-0.61	-0.5	0.93	0.78	-0.51	0.65	0.66	-0.59	0.62	0.84		0.47
Capital Stock	0.52	0.71	0.87	0.79	0.26	0.75	0.78	-0.75	0.74	-0.89	-0.74	0.71	-0.43	-0.69	0.06	0.72	0.69	-0.95	0.73	0.73	-0.88	0.73	0.8	0.47

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	914.1M	667.2M	667.5M	773.4M	773.6M	782.8M
Total Current Liabilities	273.2M	328.7M	343.8M	344.3M	397.7M	302.9M
Non Current Liabilities Total	983.1M	1.1B	1.0B	1.0B	1.1B	1.0B
Total Assets	2.0B	2.3B	2.3B	2.3B	1.2B	2.0B
Total Current Assets	234.6M	566.7M	514.6M	473.8M	396.7M	346.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	165.1M	235.0M	258.9M	119.2M	173.0M	151.6M

	Return On Equity	-0.0975
	Return On Asset	0.0097
	Profit Margin	(0.01) %
	Operating Margin	0.01 %
	Current Valuation	1.67 B
	Shares Outstanding	78.75 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	1.99 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	98.01 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	5.18 M
	Price To Earning	88.95 X
	Price To Book	1.09 X
	Price To Sales	0.42 X
	Revenue	2.13 B
	Gross Profit	1.08 B
	EBITDA	53.12 M
	Net Income	(65.9 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	258.58 M
	Cash Per Share	3.28 X
	Total Debt	923.46 M
	Debt To Equity	1.11 %
	Current Ratio	1.36 X
	Book Value Per Share	10.68 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	173.03 M
	Short Ratio	4.61 X
	Earnings Per Share	(1.04) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(2.09) X
	Target Price	13.7
	Number Of Employees	14 K
	Beta	1.42
	Market Capitalization	918.22 M
	Total Asset	1.21 B
	Retained Earnings	254.62 M
	Working Capital	(1.03 M)
	Current Asset	524.19 M
	Current Liabilities	349.87 M
	Net Asset	1.21 B

National Vision Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

National Vision Holdings Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current National Vision Probability Of Bankruptcy

National Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

National Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

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