National Vision Holdings Stock Analysis

EYE Stock  USD 11.63  0.16  1.39%   
National Vision Holdings is undervalued with Real Value of 12.54 and Target Price of 13.6. The main objective of National Vision stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what National Vision Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of National Vision's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The National Vision stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and National Vision's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Vision Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

National Stock Analysis Notes

About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. National Vision Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.04. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. National Vision Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Duluth, Georgia. National Vision operates under Specialty Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 13735 people. To learn more about National Vision Holdings call Reade Fahs at 770 822 3600 or check out https://www.nationalvision.com.

National Vision Quarterly Total Revenue

451.51 Million

National Vision Holdings Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. National Vision's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding National Vision Holdings or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.13 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (65.9 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.15 B.
National Vision has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why National Vision is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again - Yahoo Finance

National Vision Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
9th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

National Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact National Vision's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-11-10
2022-09-300.130.150.0215 
2018-08-14
2018-06-300.190.210.0210 
2023-05-11
2023-03-310.280.310.0310 
View All Earnings Estimates

National Vision Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

National Vision's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates National Vision's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of National Vision's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect National Vision's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

National Vision Thematic Classifications

In addition to having National Vision stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Marketing Idea
Marketing
Marketing services and PR
Drugs Idea
Drugs
Drug manufacturing and delivery
Stores Idea
Stores
All types of stores and shopping markets

National Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
1.3 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Engine Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
1.1 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
1.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
938.7 K
Verition Fund Managegment, Llc2024-09-30
837 K
Emerald Advisers, Llc2024-09-30
805.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
772 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
717.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
14.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
10.2 M
Note, although National Vision's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

National Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 902.47 M.

National Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of (0.01) %, which means that it does not effectively control expenditures or properly executes on its pricing strategies. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.01 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.01 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.04  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.04 

Management Efficiency

At present, National Vision's Return On Capital Employed is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. At present, National Vision's Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Intangible Assets is expected to grow to about 238.1 M, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 1.8 B. National Vision's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National Vision manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 10.16  7.65 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(1.71)(1.80)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 21.59  20.27 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.95  4.15 
Enterprise Value Multiple 21.59  20.27 
Price Fair Value 3.95  4.15 
Enterprise Value3.2 BB
The strategic vision of National Vision Holdings management plays a critical role in its financial performance. By evaluating this vision, we provide insights into the stock's growth potential.
Operating Margin
0.0109
Profit Margin
(0.01)
Beta
1.417
Return On Assets
0.0097
Return On Equity
(0.1)

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of January, National Vision secures the Downside Deviation of 2.49, risk adjusted performance of 0.0997, and Mean Deviation of 2.08. National Vision Holdings technical analysis lets you operate historical price patterns with an objective to determine a pattern that forecasts the direction of the firm's future prices. Please verify National Vision Holdings variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if National Vision Holdings is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 11.63 per share. Given that National Vision Holdings has jensen alpha of 0.2334, we recommend you to check National Vision's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

National Vision Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. National Vision middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for National Vision Holdings. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

National Vision Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National Vision insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National Vision's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National Vision insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

National Vision Outstanding Bonds

National Vision issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National Vision Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National Vision Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

National Vision Predictive Daily Indicators

National Vision intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National Vision stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

National Vision Corporate Filings

8K
16th of January 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
12th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
4th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
31st of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
18th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify

National Vision Forecast Models

National Vision's time-series forecasting models are one of many National Vision's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National Vision's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About National Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National Vision prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National Vision. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.48  0.43 

Current National Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
13.6Buy11Odds
National Vision Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Vision Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Analyst Advice Details

National Stock Analysis Indicators

National Vision Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National Vision stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National Vision shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National Vision stock analysis, traders can identify National Vision position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow230.6 M
Long Term Debt450.8 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.3 M
Total Stockholder Equity829.4 M
Tax Provision4.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.337
Property Plant And Equipment Net769.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments149.9 M
Cash149.9 M
Accounts Payable67.6 M
Net Debt773.6 M
50 Day M A11.2191
Total Current Liabilities397.7 M
Other Operating Expenses2.2 B
Non Current Assets Total1.8 B
Forward Price Earnings19.4932
Non Currrent Assets Other27.2 M
Stock Based Compensation20.2 M

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Vision's price analysis, check to measure National Vision's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Vision is operating at the current time. Most of National Vision's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Vision's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Vision's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Vision to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas