First Citizens Bancshares Stock Beneish M Score

FCNCA Stock  USD 2,326  15.06  0.64%   
This module uses fundamental data of First Citizens to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. First Citizens M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out First Citizens Piotroski F Score and First Citizens Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, First Citizens' Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 3.2 B, whereas Short Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 633.5 M. At present, First Citizens' Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PTB Ratio is expected to grow to 0.98, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.77.
At this time, it appears that First Citizens BancShares is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if First Citizens' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by First Citizens executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of First Citizens' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.19
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.0

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.0

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.42

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.0

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.11

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

First Citizens Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if First Citizens' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables3.4 B3.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total RevenueB7.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets224.4 B213.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets862.6 M908 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total186.5 B177.6 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment9.8 B9.4 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative3.2 BB
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities115.7 B110.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total202.1 B192.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt633.5 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt39 B37.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income3.5 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments3.4 B4.3 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments23.7 B32.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.760.5366
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

First Citizens BancShares Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between First Citizens' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards First Citizens in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find First Citizens' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About First Citizens Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

(54.15 Million)

At present, First Citizens' Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

First Citizens Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as First Citizens. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables123.2M145.7M134.2M2.9B3.2B3.4B
Total Revenue1.7B1.9B1.8B4.5B7.6B8.0B
Total Assets39.8B50.0B58.3B109.3B213.8B224.4B
Total Current Assets1.6B4.9B18.8B518M908M862.6M
Net Debt507.2M886.1M856.6M666M3.0B3.2B
Short Term Debt754.6M664.4M684.7M1.8B1.0B633.5M
Long Term Debt311.7M593.0M1.2B6.6B37.2B39.0B
Operating Income592.0M617.9M701.7M2.8B3.3B3.5B
Investments(1.2B)(5.8B)(7.9B)1.2B2.1B2.2B

First Citizens ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, First Citizens' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to First Citizens' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About First Citizens Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze First Citizens BancShares's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of First Citizens using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Citizens BancShares based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether First Citizens BancShares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Citizens' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Citizens Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Citizens Bancshares Stock:
Check out First Citizens Piotroski F Score and First Citizens Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Citizens. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Citizens listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Dividend Share
6.56
Earnings Share
174.64
Revenue Per Share
646.115
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of First Citizens BancShares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Citizens' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Citizens' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Citizens' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Citizens' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Citizens' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Citizens is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Citizens' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.