Fedex Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FDX Stock

USD 295.16 7.13 2.48%

FedEx's odds of distress is under 8% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the FedEx balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out FedEx Piotroski F Score and FedEx Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy FedEx Stock please use our How to Invest in FedEx guide.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 60.4 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 89.9 B in 2024

FedEx Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

FedEx's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 8%

Most of FedEx's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, FedEx is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of FedEx probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting FedEx odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of FedEx financial health.

Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FedEx. If investors know FedEx will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FedEx listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.13)

Dividend Share

5.28

Earnings Share

16.2

Revenue Per Share

355.699

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.139

The market value of FedEx is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FedEx that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FedEx's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FedEx's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FedEx's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FedEx's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between FedEx's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FedEx is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FedEx's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for FedEx is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of FedEx Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since FedEx's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of FedEx's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of FedEx's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Accounts Payable	Current Deferred Revenue	Common Stock	Good Will	Long Term Debt	Treasury Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Accumulated Depreciation	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.93	0.95	0.95	0.96	0.99	0.97	0.9	-0.35	0.8	0.88	0.57	0.69	0.92	-0.88	0.96	0.68	0.86	0.91	0.53	-0.97	-0.75	0.92	0.74	0.56	-0.47
Total Stockholder Equity	0.93		0.8	0.99	0.89	0.89	0.95	0.84	-0.33	0.7	0.76	0.71	0.58	0.76	-0.74	0.9	0.55	0.69	0.84	0.52	-0.88	-0.59	0.84	0.67	0.41	-0.53
Net Debt	0.95	0.8		0.85	0.89	0.98	0.87	0.9	-0.37	0.74	0.91	0.34	0.64	0.95	-0.89	0.92	0.74	0.89	0.88	0.53	-0.97	-0.75	0.94	0.74	0.61	-0.45
Retained Earnings	0.95	0.99	0.85		0.89	0.91	0.93	0.86	-0.34	0.7	0.81	0.67	0.6	0.81	-0.81	0.91	0.58	0.73	0.87	0.51	-0.91	-0.63	0.86	0.67	0.39	-0.59
Net Receivables	0.96	0.89	0.89	0.89		0.95	0.97	0.78	-0.32	0.89	0.81	0.66	0.82	0.93	-0.88	0.94	0.6	0.88	0.85	0.42	-0.9	-0.78	0.81	0.59	0.54	-0.3
Total Liab	0.99	0.89	0.98	0.91	0.95		0.95	0.89	-0.35	0.81	0.89	0.51	0.71	0.95	-0.9	0.96	0.7	0.89	0.9	0.52	-0.97	-0.78	0.92	0.74	0.6	-0.44
Total Current Assets	0.97	0.95	0.87	0.93	0.97	0.95		0.84	-0.34	0.85	0.8	0.69	0.72	0.87	-0.82	0.95	0.61	0.82	0.86	0.5	-0.91	-0.73	0.84	0.69	0.58	-0.36
Short Term Debt	0.9	0.84	0.9	0.86	0.78	0.89	0.84		-0.31	0.6	0.87	0.27	0.4	0.77	-0.72	0.93	0.59	0.69	0.84	0.67	-0.93	-0.53	0.98	0.87	0.61	-0.54
Intangible Assets	-0.35	-0.33	-0.37	-0.34	-0.32	-0.35	-0.34	-0.31		-0.26	-0.35	-0.07	-0.21	-0.39	0.42	-0.34	-0.24	-0.36	-0.35	-0.4	0.4	0.32	-0.35	-0.26	-0.17	0.21
Accounts Payable	0.8	0.7	0.74	0.7	0.89	0.81	0.85	0.6	-0.26		0.61	0.64	0.9	0.82	-0.82	0.78	0.55	0.89	0.8	0.26	-0.76	-0.74	0.66	0.53	0.4	0.11
Current Deferred Revenue	0.88	0.76	0.91	0.81	0.81	0.89	0.8	0.87	-0.35	0.61		0.3	0.47	0.82	-0.77	0.86	0.56	0.76	0.83	0.74	-0.91	-0.58	0.9	0.66	0.57	-0.5
Common Stock	0.57	0.71	0.34	0.67	0.66	0.51	0.69	0.27	-0.07	0.64	0.3		0.62	0.43	-0.46	0.49	0.3	0.46	0.54	0.12	-0.41	-0.45	0.3	0.23	0.08	-0.12
Good Will	0.69	0.58	0.64	0.6	0.82	0.71	0.72	0.4	-0.21	0.9	0.47	0.62		0.82	-0.82	0.64	0.49	0.88	0.71	-0.06	-0.63	-0.82	0.48	0.28	0.17	0.05
Long Term Debt	0.92	0.76	0.95	0.81	0.93	0.95	0.87	0.77	-0.39	0.82	0.82	0.43	0.82		-0.96	0.88	0.68	0.95	0.85	0.32	-0.91	-0.87	0.82	0.57	0.48	-0.36
Treasury Stock	-0.88	-0.74	-0.89	-0.81	-0.88	-0.9	-0.82	-0.72	0.42	-0.82	-0.77	-0.46	-0.82	-0.96		-0.83	-0.57	-0.93	-0.85	-0.3	0.9	0.87	-0.77	-0.52	-0.31	0.32
Property Plant Equipment	0.96	0.9	0.92	0.91	0.94	0.96	0.95	0.93	-0.34	0.78	0.86	0.49	0.64	0.88	-0.83		0.57	0.81	0.87	0.56	-0.94	-0.7	0.92	0.77	0.64	-0.46
Net Tangible Assets	0.68	0.55	0.74	0.58	0.6	0.7	0.61	0.59	-0.24	0.55	0.56	0.3	0.49	0.68	-0.57	0.57		0.72	0.69	0.22	-0.64	-0.46	0.68	0.6	0.41	-0.23
Long Term Debt Total	0.86	0.69	0.89	0.73	0.88	0.89	0.82	0.69	-0.36	0.89	0.76	0.46	0.88	0.95	-0.93	0.81	0.72		0.9	0.28	-0.85	-0.84	0.78	0.59	0.41	-0.16
Capital Surpluse	0.91	0.84	0.88	0.87	0.85	0.9	0.86	0.84	-0.35	0.8	0.83	0.54	0.71	0.85	-0.85	0.87	0.69	0.9		0.48	-0.9	-0.7	0.9	0.77	0.37	-0.35
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.53	0.52	0.53	0.51	0.42	0.52	0.5	0.67	-0.4	0.26	0.74	0.12	-0.06	0.32	-0.3	0.56	0.22	0.28	0.48		-0.59	-0.1	0.66	0.6	0.59	-0.3
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.97	-0.88	-0.97	-0.91	-0.9	-0.97	-0.91	-0.93	0.4	-0.76	-0.91	-0.41	-0.63	-0.91	0.9	-0.94	-0.64	-0.85	-0.9	-0.59		0.72	-0.96	-0.74	-0.52	0.46
Short Long Term Debt	-0.75	-0.59	-0.75	-0.63	-0.78	-0.78	-0.73	-0.53	0.32	-0.74	-0.58	-0.45	-0.82	-0.87	0.87	-0.7	-0.46	-0.84	-0.7	-0.1	0.72		-0.58	-0.42	-0.34	0.26
Net Invested Capital	0.92	0.84	0.94	0.86	0.81	0.92	0.84	0.98	-0.35	0.66	0.9	0.3	0.48	0.82	-0.77	0.92	0.68	0.78	0.9	0.66	-0.96	-0.58		0.86	0.58	-0.48
Cash And Equivalents	0.74	0.67	0.74	0.67	0.59	0.74	0.69	0.87	-0.26	0.53	0.66	0.23	0.28	0.57	-0.52	0.77	0.6	0.59	0.77	0.6	-0.74	-0.42	0.86		0.68	-0.35
Net Working Capital	0.56	0.41	0.61	0.39	0.54	0.6	0.58	0.61	-0.17	0.4	0.57	0.08	0.17	0.48	-0.31	0.64	0.41	0.41	0.37	0.59	-0.52	-0.34	0.58	0.68		-0.18
Capital Stock	-0.47	-0.53	-0.45	-0.59	-0.3	-0.44	-0.36	-0.54	0.21	0.11	-0.5	-0.12	0.05	-0.36	0.32	-0.46	-0.23	-0.16	-0.35	-0.3	0.46	0.26	-0.48	-0.35	-0.18

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict FedEx

Based on the latest financial disclosure, FedEx has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 8.0%. This is 81.21% lower than that of the Air Freight & Logistics sector and significantly higher than that of the Industrials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 79.91% higher than that of the company.

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses FedEx's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of FedEx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FedEx by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

FedEx is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

FedEx Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0175	0.0632	0.0445	0.0456	0.0498	0.0343
Net Debt	31.2B	29.4B	30.3B	31.5B	31.2B	32.8B
Total Current Liabilities	10.3B	13.7B	14.3B	13.6B	13.4B	14.0B
Non Current Liabilities Total	44.9B	44.9B	46.8B	47.5B	46.1B	48.4B
Total Assets	73.5B	82.8B	86.0B	87.1B	87.0B	91.4B
Total Current Assets	16.4B	20.6B	20.4B	18.6B	18.2B	19.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	5.6B	5.1B	10.1B	9.8B	8.8B	8.3B

FedEx ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, FedEx's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to FedEx's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

FedEx Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.15
	Return On Asset	0.0473
	Profit Margin	0.05 %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	103.94 B
	Shares Outstanding	244.32 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	8.21 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	79.31 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	4.16 M
	Price To Earning	15.53 X
	Price To Book	2.65 X
	Price To Sales	0.82 X
	Revenue	87.69 B
	Gross Profit	24.4 B
	EBITDA	11.25 B
	Net Income	4.33 B
	Cash And Equivalents	6.86 B
	Cash Per Share	26.32 X
	Total Debt	37.72 B
	Debt To Equity	1.50 %
	Current Ratio	1.42 X
	Book Value Per Share	111.23 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	8.31 B
	Short Ratio	3.07 X
	Earnings Per Share	16.20 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.18 X
	Target Price	310.12
	Number Of Employees	306 K
	Beta	1.18
	Market Capitalization	72.11 B
	Total Asset	87.01 B
	Retained Earnings	38.65 B
	Working Capital	4.85 B
	Current Asset	11.99 B
	Current Liabilities	8.01 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Five Year Return	1.28 %
	Net Asset	87.01 B
	Last Dividend Paid	5.28

About FedEx Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze FedEx's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of FedEx using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of FedEx based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for FedEx Stock Analysis

When running FedEx's price analysis, check to measure FedEx's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FedEx is operating at the current time. Most of FedEx's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FedEx's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FedEx's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FedEx to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Fedex Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FedEx Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

FedEx Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

FedEx Main Bankruptcy Drivers

FedEx ESG Sustainability

FedEx Fundamentals

About FedEx Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for FedEx Stock Analysis

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