Four Seasons Education Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

FEDU Stock  USD 10.80  0.48  4.26%   
Four Seasons' odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial hardship in the next few years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Four Seasons' chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Four balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Four Seasons Piotroski F Score and Four Seasons Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to drop to about 159.5 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 28.6 M in 2024

Four Seasons Education Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Four Seasons' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Four Seasons Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 45%  
Most of Four Seasons' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Four Seasons Education is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Four Seasons probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Four Seasons odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Four Seasons Education financial health.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Four Seasons. If investors know Four will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Four Seasons listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Earnings Share
0.29
Revenue Per Share
59.272
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.118
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Four Seasons Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Four that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Four Seasons' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Four Seasons' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Four Seasons' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Four Seasons' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Four Seasons' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Four Seasons is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Four Seasons' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Four Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Four Seasons is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Four Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Four Seasons' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Four Seasons' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Four Seasons' interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Four Seasons Education has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 45.0%. This is 24.38% higher than that of the Diversified Consumer Services sector and 37.91% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 12.98% lower than that of the firm.

Four Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Four Seasons' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Four Seasons could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Four Seasons by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Four Seasons is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Four Seasons ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Four Seasons' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Four Seasons' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Four Fundamentals

About Four Seasons Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Four Seasons Education's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Four Seasons using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Four Seasons Education based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Four Stock Analysis

When running Four Seasons' price analysis, check to measure Four Seasons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Four Seasons is operating at the current time. Most of Four Seasons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Four Seasons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Four Seasons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Four Seasons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.