Green Plains Renewable Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GPRE Stock

USD 11.09 0.21 1.93%

Green Plains' risk of distress is under 28% at the present time. It has slight likelihood of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Green Plains' Probability of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Green Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Green balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Green Plains Piotroski F Score and Green Plains Altman Z Score analysis.

As of November 22, 2024, Market Cap is expected to decline to about 66.7 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is expected to decline to about 47.3 M

Green Plains Renewable Company probability of distress Analysis

Green Plains' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Green Plains Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 28%

Most of Green Plains' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Green Plains Renewable is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Green Plains probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Green Plains odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Green Plains Renewable financial health.

Is Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Plains listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.977

Earnings Share

(0.31)

Revenue Per Share

41.372

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.26)

Return On Assets

(0.01)

The market value of Green Plains Renewable is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Plains' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Plains' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Plains' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Plains' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Short Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Treasury Stock	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Long Term Investments	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.95	0.7	0.31	0.87	0.1	0.95	0.95	0.75	0.76	0.81	0.89	0.68	0.92	0.6	0.56	0.63	0.4	0.46	0.05	-0.3	0.58	-0.09	0.23	-0.11	0.18
Total Stockholder Equity	0.95		0.54	0.2	0.86	0.12	0.82	0.94	0.86	0.77	0.63	0.81	0.58	0.88	0.35	0.3	0.81	0.18	0.62	-0.13	-0.42	0.51	-0.27	0.3	-0.16	0.32
Net Debt	0.7	0.54		0.3	0.49	-0.04	0.76	0.61	0.28	0.63	0.65	0.56	0.72	0.57	0.79	0.75	0.29	0.55	0.2	-0.03	-0.06	0.87	-0.04	0.01	0.05	-0.05
Retained Earnings	0.31	0.2	0.3		0.09	0.12	0.42	0.39	-0.23	-0.07	0.19	0.42	0.63	0.02	0.45	0.55	-0.19	0.2	-0.54	0.61	0.26	0.37	0.62	-0.28	0.62	-0.81
Accounts Payable	0.87	0.86	0.49	0.09		-0.14	0.79	0.76	0.79	0.68	0.72	0.8	0.38	0.9	0.39	0.35	0.59	0.29	0.52	-0.04	-0.31	0.32	-0.21	0.11	-0.16	0.3
Short Term Investments	0.1	0.12	-0.04	0.12	-0.14		0.08	0.22	0.07	-0.03	0.2	0.16	-0.12	-0.03	0.07	0.12	0.09	0.31	0.1	0.21	0.06	-0.13	0.25	0.67	-0.13	0.07
Total Liab	0.95	0.82	0.76	0.42	0.79	0.08		0.87	0.57	0.63	0.9	0.92	0.71	0.85	0.75	0.72	0.39	0.53	0.23	0.24	-0.12	0.57	0.12	0.15	-0.03	0.01
Total Current Assets	0.95	0.94	0.61	0.39	0.76	0.22	0.87		0.68	0.7	0.66	0.84	0.72	0.78	0.46	0.43	0.68	0.29	0.41	0.0	-0.2	0.6	-0.05	0.38	-0.13	0.13
Common Stock	0.75	0.86	0.28	-0.23	0.79	0.07	0.57	0.68		0.66	0.5	0.58	0.21	0.88	0.05	0.0	0.8	0.02	0.84	-0.34	-0.56	0.18	-0.5	0.32	-0.39	0.65
Current Deferred Revenue	0.76	0.77	0.63	-0.07	0.68	-0.03	0.63	0.7	0.66		0.57	0.51	0.41	0.76	0.43	0.33	0.75	0.28	0.62	-0.3	-0.37	0.53	-0.41	0.24	-0.31	0.44
Long Term Debt	0.81	0.63	0.65	0.19	0.72	0.2	0.9	0.66	0.5	0.57		0.81	0.37	0.81	0.79	0.75	0.25	0.75	0.24	0.35	0.01	0.28	0.22	0.28	-0.19	0.17
Net Receivables	0.89	0.81	0.56	0.42	0.8	0.16	0.92	0.84	0.58	0.51	0.81		0.61	0.79	0.62	0.58	0.43	0.41	0.2	0.29	-0.1	0.42	0.14	0.18	0.14	0.03
Short Term Debt	0.68	0.58	0.72	0.63	0.38	-0.12	0.71	0.72	0.21	0.41	0.37	0.61		0.42	0.53	0.5	0.27	0.09	-0.06	0.01	-0.08	0.85	0.06	-0.11	0.29	-0.34
Property Plant Equipment	0.92	0.88	0.57	0.02	0.9	-0.03	0.85	0.78	0.88	0.76	0.81	0.79	0.42		0.48	0.42	0.64	0.36	0.62	-0.03	-0.36	0.35	-0.22	0.19	-0.25	0.43
Good Will	0.6	0.35	0.79	0.45	0.39	0.07	0.75	0.46	0.05	0.43	0.79	0.62	0.53	0.48		0.98	0.01	0.81	-0.1	0.5	0.17	0.53	0.38	-0.04	0.17	-0.22
Intangible Assets	0.56	0.3	0.75	0.55	0.35	0.12	0.72	0.43	0.0	0.33	0.75	0.58	0.5	0.42	0.98		-0.08	0.82	-0.17	0.58	0.19	0.48	0.47	-0.09	0.21	-0.33
Net Tangible Assets	0.63	0.81	0.29	-0.19	0.59	0.09	0.39	0.68	0.8	0.75	0.25	0.43	0.27	0.64	0.01	-0.08		-0.02	0.85	-0.45	-0.42	0.38	-0.53	0.42	-0.35	0.66
Long Term Debt Total	0.4	0.18	0.55	0.2	0.29	0.31	0.53	0.29	0.02	0.28	0.75	0.41	0.09	0.36	0.81	0.82	-0.02		0.04	0.51	0.39	0.19	0.51	0.3	-0.12	0.03
Capital Surpluse	0.46	0.62	0.2	-0.54	0.52	0.1	0.23	0.41	0.84	0.62	0.24	0.2	-0.06	0.62	-0.1	-0.17	0.85	0.04		-0.57	-0.52	0.16	-0.66	0.43	-0.54	0.86
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.05	-0.13	-0.03	0.61	-0.04	0.21	0.24	0.0	-0.34	-0.3	0.35	0.29	0.01	-0.03	0.5	0.58	-0.45	0.51	-0.57		0.42	-0.23	0.81	-0.15	0.33	-0.53
Treasury Stock	-0.3	-0.42	-0.06	0.26	-0.31	0.06	-0.12	-0.2	-0.56	-0.37	0.01	-0.1	-0.08	-0.36	0.17	0.19	-0.42	0.39	-0.52	0.42		-0.13	0.8	0.19	0.16	-0.27
Short Long Term Debt	0.58	0.51	0.87	0.37	0.32	-0.13	0.57	0.6	0.18	0.53	0.28	0.42	0.85	0.35	0.53	0.48	0.38	0.19	0.16	-0.23	-0.13		-0.18	-0.05	0.17	-0.15
Net Invested Capital	-0.09	-0.27	-0.04	0.62	-0.21	0.25	0.12	-0.05	-0.5	-0.41	0.22	0.14	0.06	-0.22	0.38	0.47	-0.53	0.51	-0.66	0.81	0.8	-0.18		0.04	0.35	-0.56
Net Working Capital	0.23	0.3	0.01	-0.28	0.11	0.67	0.15	0.38	0.32	0.24	0.28	0.18	-0.11	0.19	-0.04	-0.09	0.42	0.3	0.43	-0.15	0.19	-0.05	0.04		-0.59	0.55
Long Term Investments	-0.11	-0.16	0.05	0.62	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.13	-0.39	-0.31	-0.19	0.14	0.29	-0.25	0.17	0.21	-0.35	-0.12	-0.54	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.35	-0.59		-0.68
Capital Stock	0.18	0.32	-0.05	-0.81	0.3	0.07	0.01	0.13	0.65	0.44	0.17	0.03	-0.34	0.43	-0.22	-0.33	0.66	0.03	0.86	-0.53	-0.27	-0.15	-0.56	0.55	-0.68

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0893)	(0.0701)	(0.0208)	(0.0487)	(0.0482)	(0.0457)
Asset Turnover	1.74	1.42	1.22	1.31	1.73	1.7
Gross Profit Margin	0.0134	0.058	0.0715	0.0376	0.05	0.0674
Net Debt	373.3M	356.8M	363.1M	266.3M	326.9M	328.5M
Total Current Liabilities	541.8M	452.6M	471.8M	486.9M	385.0M	430.2M
Non Current Liabilities Total	291.1M	349.7M	585.9M	575.1M	564.3M	505.9M
Total Assets	1.7B	1.6B	2.2B	2.1B	1.9B	1.6B
Total Current Assets	667.9M	642.4M	1.1B	928.8M	732.7M	707.9M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(9.5M)	98.9M	4.2M	69.7M	56.3M	37.9M

	Return On Equity	-0.0152
	Return On Asset	-0.0059
	Profit Margin	(0.01) %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	1.09 B
	Shares Outstanding	64.65 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.95 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	97.05 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	6.3 M
	Price To Earning	43.67 X
	Price To Book	0.76 X
	Price To Sales	0.27 X
	Revenue	3.3 B
	Gross Profit	112.68 M
	EBITDA	53.6 M
	Net Income	(76.3 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	533.12 M
	Cash Per Share	9.18 X
	Total Debt	676.51 M
	Debt To Equity	0.90 %
	Current Ratio	1.79 X
	Book Value Per Share	14.31 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	56.35 M
	Short Ratio	6.78 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.31) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(4.01) X
	Target Price	20.69
	Number Of Employees	921
	Beta	1.53
	Market Capitalization	703.41 M
	Total Asset	1.94 B
	Retained Earnings	(235.8 M)
	Working Capital	347.77 M
	Current Asset	912.58 M
	Current Liabilities	438.67 M
	Five Year Return	2.59 %
	Net Asset	1.94 B

Green Plains Renewable Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Green Plains Renewable Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Green Plains Probability Of Bankruptcy

Green Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Green Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Green Plains Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Green Plains ESG Sustainability

Green Fundamentals

About Green Plains Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY