Green Brick Partners Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GRBK Stock  USD 70.67  2.01  2.93%   
Green Brick's odds of distress is below 1% at the moment. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial straits in the next two years. Odds of financial distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate Green Brick's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Green balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Green Brick Piotroski F Score and Green Brick Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is expected to rise to about 464.2 M this year, although Enterprise Value will most likely fall to about 48.6 M.

Green Brick Partners Company odds of financial distress Analysis

Green Brick's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Green Brick Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Green Brick's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Green Brick Partners is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Green Brick probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Green Brick odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Green Brick Partners financial health.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Brick listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.269
Earnings Share
7.71
Revenue Per Share
44.291
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.25
Return On Assets
0.1344
The market value of Green Brick Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Brick's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Brick's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Brick's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Brick's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Green Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Green Brick is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Green Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Green Brick's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Green Brick's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Green Brick's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Green Brick Partners has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 97.58% lower than that of the Household Durables sector and 97.89% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Green Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Green Brick's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Green Brick could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Green Brick by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Green Brick is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Green Brick Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.0670.110.130.180.150.16
Asset Turnover0.80.90.991.060.930.89
Net Debt208.3M203.0M261.0M294.8M155.3M164.9M
Total Current Liabilities54.7M67.1M170.9M189.6M195.2M204.9M
Non Current Liabilities Total284.4M272.4M340.4M354.0M355.4M196.5M
Total Assets875.5M988.8M1.4B1.7B1.9B2.0B
Total Current Assets796.0M883.5M1.3B1.5B1.7B1.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities(22.1M)35.1M(92.4M)90.7M213.3M224.0M

Green Brick ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Green Brick's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Green Brick's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Green Fundamentals

About Green Brick Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Green Brick Partners's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Green Brick using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Green Brick Partners based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Green Brick Partners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Green Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock:
Check out Green Brick Piotroski F Score and Green Brick Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Brick listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.269
Earnings Share
7.71
Revenue Per Share
44.291
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.25
Return On Assets
0.1344
The market value of Green Brick Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Brick's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Brick's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Brick's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Brick's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.