Green Brick Partners Stock Analysis

GRBK Stock  USD 74.75  4.08  5.77%   
Green Brick Partners is overvalued with Real Value of 63.93 and Target Price of 52.5. The main objective of Green Brick stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Green Brick Partners is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Green Brick's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Green Brick stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Brick Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Green Stock Analysis Notes

About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Green Brick was currently reported as 33.1. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. Green Brick Partners recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.71. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1532:1000 split on the 24th of September 2014. Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas. Green Brick operates under Residential Construction classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 540 people. To learn more about Green Brick Partners call James Brickman at 469 573 6755 or check out https://greenbrickpartners.com.

Green Brick Partners Investment Alerts

Green Brick Partners generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals Is The Market Wrong About Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners Upcoming and Recent Events

26th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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26th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Green Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Green Brick's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2018-05-07
2018-03-310.20.220.0210 
2017-03-13
2016-12-310.140.160.0214 
2016-11-07
2016-09-300.110.130.0218 
View All Earnings Estimates

Green Brick Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Green Brick's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Green Brick's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Green Brick's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Green Brick's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Green Brick Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Green Brick stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Construction Idea
Construction
USA Equities from Construction industry as classified by Fama & French

Green Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Punch & Associates Inv Mgmt Inc2024-09-30
385.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
364.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
325.9 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
312.5 K
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
310.4 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
261.8 K
Lord, Abbett & Co Llc2024-09-30
248.7 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
244.5 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
234.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
4.3 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Note, although Green Brick's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Green Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 3.33 B.

Green Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.18 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.22 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.22.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.22  0.23 

Management Efficiency

Green Brick Partners has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1344 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1344 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2651 %, meaning that it created $0.2651 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Green Brick's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Green Brick manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.16 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.22 this year. At this time, Green Brick's Total Current Liabilities is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 2 B this year, although the value of Non Current Liabilities Total will most likely fall to about 196.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 29.80  40.76 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 29.77  40.77 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.07  7.42 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.81  1.65 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.07  7.42 
Price Fair Value 1.81  1.65 
Enterprise Value51.1 M48.6 M
Green Brick's management has consistently demonstrated strong leadership, driving both financial growth and operational excellence. By analyzing current market trends and future growth opportunities, we assess the stock's true value and potential for investors.
Operating Margin
0.2174
Profit Margin
0.177
Beta
1.829
Return On Assets
0.1344
Return On Equity
0.2651

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Green Brick retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), standard deviation of 2.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). Green Brick technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Green Brick Partners Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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Green Brick Partners Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Green Brick insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Green Brick's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Green Brick insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Green Brick Outstanding Bonds

Green Brick issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Green Brick Partners uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Green bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Green Brick Partners has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Green Brick Predictive Daily Indicators

Green Brick intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Green Brick stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Green Brick Corporate Filings

F3
15th of November 2024
An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing
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F4
12th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
10th of September 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
26th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
22nd of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of August 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
31st of July 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Green Brick Forecast Models

Green Brick's time-series forecasting models are one of many Green Brick's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Green Brick's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Green Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Green Brick prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Green Brick. By using and applying Green Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Green entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.22  0.23 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.21 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.31  0.17 

Current Green Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Green analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Green analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
52.5Hold4Odds
Green Brick Partners current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Green analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Green stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Green Brick Partners, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Green conference calls.
Green Analyst Advice Details

Green Stock Analysis Indicators

Green Brick Partners stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Green Brick stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Green Brick shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Green Brick stock analysis, traders can identify Green Brick position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow93.3 M
Long Term Debt349.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding45.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.3 B
Tax Provision84.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.269
Property Plant And Equipment Net14.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments199.5 M
Cash199.5 M
Accounts Payable54.3 M
Net Debt155.3 M
50 Day M A76.5398
Total Current Liabilities195.2 M
Other Operating Expenses1.4 B
Non Current Assets Total161.4 M
Forward Price Earnings8.3056
Non Currrent Assets Other44.2 M
Stock Based Compensation6.8 M
When determining whether Green Brick Partners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Green Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Brick Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. If investors know Green will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Green Brick listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.269
Earnings Share
7.71
Revenue Per Share
44.291
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.25
Return On Assets
0.1344
The market value of Green Brick Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Green that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Green Brick's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Green Brick's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Green Brick's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Green Brick's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.