Grifols Sa Adr Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GRFS Stock

USD 8.60 0.10 1.15%

Grifols SA's chance of distress is under 9% at this time. It has tiny odds of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Grifols SA's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Grifols Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Grifols balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Grifols SA Piotroski F Score and Grifols SA Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 7.7 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 10.7 B in 2024

Grifols SA ADR Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Grifols SA's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Grifols SA Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 9%

Most of Grifols SA's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Grifols SA ADR is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Grifols SA probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Grifols SA odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Grifols SA ADR financial health.

Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grifols SA. If investors know Grifols will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grifols SA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.67)

Earnings Share

0.26

Revenue Per Share

5.1545

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.122

Return On Assets

0.0287

The market value of Grifols SA ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grifols that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grifols SA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grifols SA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grifols SA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grifols SA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grifols SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grifols SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grifols SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grifols Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Grifols SA is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Grifols Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Grifols SA's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Grifols SA's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Grifols SA's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.85	-0.29	1.0	-0.04	0.85	0.62	0.98	0.38	0.99	0.94	0.64	0.93	-0.01	0.87	0.97	-0.74	0.86	0.68	-0.47	0.9	0.61	-0.58
Total Stockholder Equity	0.85		-0.36	0.83	0.28	0.97	0.65	0.88	0.45	0.82	0.75	0.58	0.71	0.35	0.93	0.73	-0.69	0.56	0.71	-0.51	0.74	0.46	-0.19
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.29	-0.36		-0.25	-0.45	-0.38	-0.04	-0.36	-0.11	-0.28	-0.29	-0.03	-0.15	-0.29	-0.33	-0.23	0.48	-0.1	-0.1	0.65	-0.09	-0.15	0.03
Net Debt	1.0	0.83	-0.25		-0.09	0.83	0.6	0.98	0.38	0.99	0.94	0.66	0.93	-0.06	0.86	0.97	-0.72	0.88	0.67	-0.43	0.91	0.6	-0.61
Retained Earnings	-0.04	0.28	-0.45	-0.09		0.22	-0.09	0.11	0.01	-0.08	-0.11	-0.33	-0.2	0.8	0.21	-0.24	-0.41	-0.41	-0.01	-0.62	-0.38	-0.21	0.5
Accounts Payable	0.85	0.97	-0.38	0.83	0.22		0.75	0.88	0.32	0.83	0.77	0.48	0.75	0.23	0.96	0.75	-0.73	0.61	0.6	-0.57	0.74	0.56	-0.3
Net Receivables	0.62	0.65	-0.04	0.6	-0.09	0.75		0.58	-0.01	0.65	0.58	0.26	0.73	0.06	0.77	0.61	-0.39	0.58	0.38	-0.32	0.59	0.46	-0.38
Good Will	0.98	0.88	-0.36	0.98	0.11	0.88	0.58		0.36	0.98	0.92	0.57	0.89	0.1	0.91	0.91	-0.81	0.79	0.64	-0.59	0.82	0.57	-0.51
Short Term Investments	0.38	0.45	-0.11	0.38	0.01	0.32	-0.01	0.36		0.31	0.49	0.69	0.1	0.18	0.23	0.3	0.0	0.07	0.33	0.08	0.4	0.35	0.07
Total Liab	0.99	0.82	-0.28	0.99	-0.08	0.83	0.65	0.98	0.31		0.94	0.61	0.96	-0.06	0.88	0.97	-0.73	0.89	0.63	-0.49	0.89	0.61	-0.63
Total Current Assets	0.94	0.75	-0.29	0.94	-0.11	0.77	0.58	0.92	0.49	0.94		0.64	0.87	-0.09	0.79	0.95	-0.61	0.81	0.45	-0.43	0.83	0.73	-0.68
Short Term Debt	0.64	0.58	-0.03	0.66	-0.33	0.48	0.26	0.57	0.69	0.61	0.64		0.47	-0.04	0.41	0.61	-0.1	0.49	0.66	0.16	0.77	0.21	-0.3
Intangible Assets	0.93	0.71	-0.15	0.93	-0.2	0.75	0.73	0.89	0.1	0.96	0.87	0.47		-0.15	0.82	0.96	-0.67	0.94	0.56	-0.41	0.86	0.61	-0.69
Common Stock	-0.01	0.35	-0.29	-0.06	0.8	0.23	0.06	0.1	0.18	-0.06	-0.09	-0.04	-0.15		0.23	-0.21	-0.15	-0.39	0.19	-0.34	-0.21	-0.31	0.64
Long Term Debt	0.87	0.93	-0.33	0.86	0.21	0.96	0.77	0.91	0.23	0.88	0.79	0.41	0.82	0.23		0.78	-0.79	0.67	0.56	-0.62	0.72	0.56	-0.35
Property Plant Equipment	0.97	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.24	0.75	0.61	0.91	0.3	0.97	0.95	0.61	0.96	-0.21	0.78		-0.64	0.95	0.57	-0.38	0.92	0.7	-0.74
Net Tangible Assets	-0.74	-0.69	0.48	-0.72	-0.41	-0.73	-0.39	-0.81	0.0	-0.73	-0.61	-0.1	-0.67	-0.15	-0.79	-0.64		-0.6	-0.47	0.81	-0.49	-0.41	0.34
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.86	0.56	-0.1	0.88	-0.41	0.61	0.58	0.79	0.07	0.89	0.81	0.49	0.94	-0.39	0.67	0.95	-0.6		0.54	-0.25	0.89	0.64	-0.81
Long Term Investments	0.68	0.71	-0.1	0.67	-0.01	0.6	0.38	0.64	0.33	0.63	0.45	0.66	0.56	0.19	0.56	0.57	-0.47	0.54		-0.1	0.75	0.03	-0.03
Short Long Term Debt	-0.47	-0.51	0.65	-0.43	-0.62	-0.57	-0.32	-0.59	0.08	-0.49	-0.43	0.16	-0.41	-0.34	-0.62	-0.38	0.81	-0.25	-0.1		-0.12	-0.28	0.15
Net Invested Capital	0.9	0.74	-0.09	0.91	-0.38	0.74	0.59	0.82	0.4	0.89	0.83	0.77	0.86	-0.21	0.72	0.92	-0.49	0.89	0.75	-0.12		0.58	-0.58
Net Working Capital	0.61	0.46	-0.15	0.6	-0.21	0.56	0.46	0.57	0.35	0.61	0.73	0.21	0.61	-0.31	0.56	0.7	-0.41	0.64	0.03	-0.28	0.58		-0.63
Capital Stock	-0.58	-0.19	0.03	-0.61	0.5	-0.3	-0.38	-0.51	0.07	-0.63	-0.68	-0.3	-0.69	0.64	-0.35	-0.74	0.34	-0.81	-0.03	0.15	-0.58	-0.63

Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Grifols SA

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Grifols SA ADR has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 79.21% lower than that of the Biotechnology sector and significantly higher than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.

Grifols Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Grifols SA's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Grifols SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grifols SA by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Grifols SA is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Grifols SA Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0402	0.0405	0.0138	0.009672	0.002765	0.002626
Asset Turnover	0.36	0.33	0.35	0.26	0.28	0.5
Net Debt	6.4B	6.3B	8.7B	9.2B	9.6B	10.1B
Total Current Liabilities	1.4B	1.3B	3.5B	2.0B	2.3B	2.4B
Non Current Liabilities Total	7.3B	7.2B	7.6B	11.1B	11.2B	11.7B
Total Assets	15.5B	15.3B	19.2B	21.5B	21.5B	22.5B
Total Current Assets	5.4B	3.2B	5.5B	4.7B	6.5B	6.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	568.9M	1.1B	597.0M	(10.9M)	208.3M	197.9M

Grifols SA ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Grifols SA's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Grifols SA's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Grifols Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0271
	Return On Asset	0.0287
	Profit Margin	0.02 %
	Operating Margin	0.20 %
	Current Valuation	15.7 B
	Shares Outstanding	257.44 M
	Shares Owned By Institutions	58.25 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	4.17 M
	Price To Earning	14.34 X
	Price To Book	1.06 X
	Price To Sales	0.99 X
	Revenue	6.59 B
	Gross Profit	2.23 B
	EBITDA	1.18 B
	Net Income	59.31 M
	Cash And Equivalents	549.09 M
	Cash Per Share	0.40 X
	Total Debt	10.12 B
	Debt To Equity	1.14 %
	Current Ratio	2.68 X
	Book Value Per Share	7.87 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	208.28 M
	Short Ratio	7.07 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.26 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.23 X
	Target Price	10.67
	Number Of Employees	23 K
	Beta	0.69
	Market Capitalization	7.13 B
	Total Asset	21.45 B
	Retained Earnings	59.31 M
	Working Capital	4.14 B
	Current Asset	3.09 B
	Current Liabilities	1.05 B
	Five Year Return	2.33 %
	Net Asset	21.45 B

About Grifols SA Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Grifols SA ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Grifols SA using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grifols SA ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.

Explore Investing Ideas

Additional Tools for Grifols Stock Analysis

When running Grifols SA's price analysis, check to measure Grifols SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grifols SA is operating at the current time. Most of Grifols SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grifols SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grifols SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grifols SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

Feedback Blog

Made with optimal in San Francisco

2024 Macroaxis LLC

Grifols Sa Adr Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Grifols SA ADR Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Grifols SA Probability Of Bankruptcy

Grifols Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Grifols Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Grifols SA Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Grifols SA ESG Sustainability

Grifols Fundamentals

About Grifols SA Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Grifols Stock Analysis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY