Good Times Restaurants Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

GTIM Stock

USD 2.67 0.03 1.14%

Good Times' threat of distress is under 34% at the moment. It has slight chance of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Good Times' Odds of distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Good Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Good balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Good Times Piotroski F Score and Good Times Altman Z Score analysis.

Good Times Restaurants Company odds of distress Analysis

Good Times' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Good Times Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 34%

Most of Good Times' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Good Times Restaurants is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Good Times probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Good Times odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Good Times Restaurants financial health.

Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Good Times. If investors know Good will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Good Times listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.714

Earnings Share

0.1

Revenue Per Share

12.523

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.065

Return On Assets

0.0104

The market value of Good Times Restaurants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Good that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Good Times' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Good Times' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Good Times' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Good Times' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Good Times' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Good Times is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Good Times' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Good Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Good Times is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Good Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Good Times' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Good Times' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Good Times' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Intangible Assets	Net Debt	Short Term Debt	Net Receivables	Long Term Debt	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Tangible Assets	Total Permanent Equity	Good Will	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Treasury Stock	Accumulated Depreciation	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.67	-0.5	0.56	0.92	0.38	0.8	0.87	0.81	0.24	0.2	0.76	0.9	0.7	0.34	0.85	0.32	0.88	0.82	0.09	0.56	-0.91	-0.5	0.87	-0.81	-0.71	0.79
Total Stockholder Equity	0.67		-0.23	0.76	0.45	0.34	0.85	0.23	0.19	0.19	0.08	0.77	0.63	0.41	0.87	0.69	0.81	0.47	0.87	0.46	0.68	-0.4	-0.36	0.39	-0.26	-0.35	0.39
Retained Earnings	-0.5	-0.23		-0.37	-0.54	-0.66	-0.53	-0.4	-0.53	-0.21	-0.61	-0.62	-0.2	0.1	-0.29	-0.47	-0.3	-0.43	-0.56	-0.3	-0.5	0.52	-0.2	-0.39	0.3	0.11	-0.12
Accounts Payable	0.56	0.76	-0.37		0.46	0.17	0.72	0.2	0.26	0.34	0.6	0.65	0.38	0.15	0.74	0.62	0.79	0.53	0.74	0.71	0.56	-0.33	-0.3	0.34	0.0	-0.52	0.34
Total Liab	0.92	0.45	-0.54	0.46		0.36	0.64	0.91	0.83	0.4	0.31	0.62	0.81	0.63	0.13	0.78	0.13	0.88	0.66	0.08	0.42	-0.92	-0.41	0.8	-0.79	-0.68	0.72
Total Current Assets	0.38	0.34	-0.66	0.17	0.36		0.47	0.17	0.32	-0.09	0.08	0.61	0.14	-0.05	0.38	0.1	0.23	0.1	0.53	-0.07	0.59	-0.29	0.22	0.23	-0.27	0.1	0.0
Intangible Assets	0.8	0.85	-0.53	0.72	0.64	0.47		0.46	0.47	0.2	0.36	0.93	0.64	0.33	0.74	0.8	0.75	0.64	0.98	0.46	0.63	-0.64	-0.11	0.57	-0.4	-0.41	0.44
Net Debt	0.87	0.23	-0.4	0.2	0.91	0.17	0.46		0.92	0.21	0.13	0.44	0.81	0.73	-0.16	0.68	-0.15	0.85	0.47	-0.22	0.23	-0.93	-0.47	0.87	-0.91	-0.73	0.81
Short Term Debt	0.81	0.19	-0.53	0.26	0.83	0.32	0.47	0.92		0.12	0.26	0.46	0.64	0.58	-0.11	0.54	-0.08	0.77	0.47	-0.23	0.23	-0.85	-0.4	0.89	-0.82	-0.72	0.75
Net Receivables	0.24	0.19	-0.21	0.34	0.4	-0.09	0.2	0.21	0.12		0.25	0.1	0.26	0.17	0.1	0.38	0.2	0.31	0.18	0.39	-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	0.1	-0.06	-0.23	0.17
Long Term Debt	0.2	0.08	-0.61	0.6	0.31	0.08	0.36	0.13	0.26	0.25		0.34	-0.04	-0.33	0.26	0.35	0.44	0.41	0.34	0.71	0.2	-0.24	0.19	0.18	0.15	-0.18	0.02
Common Stock	0.76	0.77	-0.62	0.65	0.62	0.61	0.93	0.44	0.46	0.1	0.34		0.6	0.3	0.66	0.72	0.62	0.6	0.97	0.41	0.75	-0.65	0.01	0.56	-0.38	-0.38	0.43
Property Plant Equipment	0.9	0.63	-0.2	0.38	0.81	0.14	0.64	0.81	0.64	0.26	-0.04	0.6		0.85	0.21	0.8	0.17	0.87	0.66	0.03	0.42	-0.87	-0.56	0.83	-0.83	-0.66	0.82
Current Deferred Revenue	0.7	0.41	0.1	0.15	0.63	-0.05	0.33	0.73	0.58	0.17	-0.33	0.3	0.85		-0.07	0.53	-0.12	0.67	0.36	-0.27	0.23	-0.68	-0.7	0.73	-0.8	-0.73	0.84
Net Tangible Assets	0.34	0.87	-0.29	0.74	0.13	0.38	0.74	-0.16	-0.11	0.1	0.26	0.66	0.21	-0.07		0.46	0.96	0.14	0.75	0.66	0.62	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	0.14	0.01	-0.03
Total Permanent Equity	0.85	0.69	-0.47	0.62	0.78	0.1	0.8	0.68	0.54	0.38	0.35	0.72	0.8	0.53	0.46		0.5	0.81	0.8	0.44	0.49	-0.78	-0.38	0.63	-0.57	-0.58	0.62
Good Will	0.32	0.81	-0.3	0.79	0.13	0.23	0.75	-0.15	-0.08	0.2	0.44	0.62	0.17	-0.12	0.96	0.5		0.2	0.72	0.78	0.5	-0.06	-0.01	0.05	0.2	-0.04	-0.02
Long Term Debt Total	0.88	0.47	-0.43	0.53	0.88	0.1	0.64	0.85	0.77	0.31	0.41	0.6	0.87	0.67	0.14	0.81	0.2		0.65	0.25	0.38	-0.93	-0.45	0.9	-0.73	-0.74	0.8
Capital Surpluse	0.82	0.87	-0.56	0.74	0.66	0.53	0.98	0.47	0.47	0.18	0.34	0.97	0.66	0.36	0.75	0.8	0.72	0.65		0.45	0.72	-0.65	-0.14	0.57	-0.41	-0.43	0.48
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.09	0.46	-0.3	0.71	0.08	-0.07	0.46	-0.22	-0.23	0.39	0.71	0.41	0.03	-0.27	0.66	0.44	0.78	0.25	0.45		0.3	-0.01	0.15	-0.07	0.39	0.01	-0.11
Treasury Stock	0.56	0.68	-0.5	0.56	0.42	0.59	0.63	0.23	0.23	-0.23	0.2	0.75	0.42	0.23	0.62	0.49	0.5	0.38	0.72	0.3		-0.4	-0.13	0.36	-0.26	-0.26	0.27
Accumulated Depreciation	-0.91	-0.4	0.52	-0.33	-0.92	-0.29	-0.64	-0.93	-0.85	-0.23	-0.24	-0.65	-0.87	-0.68	-0.05	-0.78	-0.06	-0.93	-0.65	-0.01	-0.4		0.3	-0.91	0.85	0.68	-0.74
Long Term Investments	-0.5	-0.36	-0.2	-0.3	-0.41	0.22	-0.11	-0.47	-0.4	-0.16	0.19	0.01	-0.56	-0.7	-0.04	-0.38	-0.01	-0.45	-0.14	0.15	-0.13	0.3		-0.48	0.52	0.59	-0.73
Short Long Term Debt	0.87	0.39	-0.39	0.34	0.8	0.23	0.57	0.87	0.89	0.1	0.18	0.56	0.83	0.73	0.03	0.63	0.05	0.9	0.57	-0.07	0.36	-0.91	-0.48		-0.84	-0.75	0.86
Net Invested Capital	-0.81	-0.26	0.3	0.0	-0.79	-0.27	-0.4	-0.91	-0.82	-0.06	0.15	-0.38	-0.83	-0.8	0.14	-0.57	0.2	-0.73	-0.41	0.39	-0.26	0.85	0.52	-0.84		0.54	-0.78
Net Working Capital	-0.71	-0.35	0.11	-0.52	-0.68	0.1	-0.41	-0.73	-0.72	-0.23	-0.18	-0.38	-0.66	-0.73	0.01	-0.58	-0.04	-0.74	-0.43	0.01	-0.26	0.68	0.59	-0.75	0.54		-0.81
Capital Stock	0.79	0.39	-0.12	0.34	0.72	0.0	0.44	0.81	0.75	0.17	0.02	0.43	0.82	0.84	-0.03	0.62	-0.02	0.8	0.48	-0.11	0.27	-0.74	-0.73	0.86	-0.78	-0.81

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Good Times

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Good Times Restaurants has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 34.0%. This is 17.85% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 3.53% higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 14.64% higher than that of the company.

Good Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Good Times' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Good Times could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Good Times by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Good Times is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Good Times Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Net Debt	64.1M	45.8M	42.1M	44.7M	51.4M	54.0M
Total Current Liabilities	18.6M	12.9M	12.9M	14.9M	17.1M	18.0M
Non Current Liabilities Total	66.1M	49.9M	45.7M	43.2M	49.7M	52.2M
Total Assets	99.7M	93.7M	86.4M	91.1M	104.8M	110.0M
Total Current Assets	13.5M	11.4M	11.9M	6.6M	7.6M	4.8M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	8.4M	9.1M	5.3M	8.0M	9.2M	9.6M

Good Times ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Good Times' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Good Times' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Good Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0434
	Return On Asset	0.0104
	Profit Margin	0.01 %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	70.18 M
	Shares Outstanding	10.75 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	25.06 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	11.93 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	39.66 K
	Price To Earning	2.54 X
	Price To Book	0.88 X
	Price To Sales	0.20 X
	Revenue	138.12 M
	Gross Profit	16.67 M
	EBITDA	4.71 M
	Net Income	11.67 M
	Cash And Equivalents	9.7 M
	Cash Per Share	0.79 X
	Total Debt	48.87 M
	Debt To Equity	1.77 %
	Current Ratio	0.97 X
	Book Value Per Share	3.00 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	7.96 M
	Short Ratio	3.78 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.10 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(0.53) X
	Target Price	5.0
	Number Of Employees	2.25 K
	Beta	1.87
	Market Capitalization	28.39 M
	Total Asset	91.09 M
	Retained Earnings	(19.23 M)
	Working Capital	(8.3 M)
	Current Asset	7.79 M
	Current Liabilities	5.12 M
	Net Asset	91.09 M

About Good Times Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Good Times Restaurants's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Good Times using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Good Times Restaurants based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Good Times Restaurants is a strong investment it is important to analyze Good Times' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Good Times' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Good Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In Good

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Is Good Stock a good investment?

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What is Good Times' Net Worth?

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Largest Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure Companies

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Largest Consumer Services Companies

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Check out Good Times Piotroski F Score and Good Times Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.714

Earnings Share

0.1

Revenue Per Share

12.523

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.065

Return On Assets

0.0104

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Good Times Restaurants Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Good Times Restaurants Company odds of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Good Times Probability Of Bankruptcy

Good Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Good Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Good Times Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Good Times ESG Sustainability

Good Fundamentals

About Good Times Fundamental Analysis

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

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