Guggenheim Active Allocation Stock Beneish M Score

GUG Stock  USD 15.72  0.15  0.96%   
This module uses fundamental data of Guggenheim Active to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Guggenheim Active M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Guggenheim Active Piotroski F Score and Guggenheim Active Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The current Short and Long Term Debt Total is estimated to decrease to about 163 M. The Guggenheim Active's current Net Debt is estimated to increase to about (168.6 K).
At this time, it appears that Guggenheim Active is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Guggenheim Active's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Guggenheim Active executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Guggenheim Active's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.75
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.53

Focus
Asset Quality

N/A

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.64

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

N/A

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.64

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

N/A

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.5

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.26

Focus

Guggenheim Active Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Guggenheim Active's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables12.3 M9.7 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets610.9 M730.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets12.5 M9.9 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total597.4 M718 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization182.8 K205.6 K
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative783.4 K951.3 K
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities18.6 M17.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total163 M166.4 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities71.3 M78.6 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments597.4 M718 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile

Guggenheim Active Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Guggenheim Active's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Guggenheim Active in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Guggenheim Active's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Guggenheim Active Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Total Assets

610.92 Million

At this time, Guggenheim Active's Total Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years.

About Guggenheim Active Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guggenheim Active Allocation's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guggenheim Active using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guggenheim Active Allocation based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Guggenheim Active is a strong investment it is important to analyze Guggenheim Active's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Guggenheim Active's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Guggenheim Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Guggenheim Active Piotroski F Score and Guggenheim Active Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guggenheim Active. If investors know Guggenheim will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guggenheim Active listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
2.11
The market value of Guggenheim Active is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guggenheim that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guggenheim Active's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guggenheim Active's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guggenheim Active's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guggenheim Active's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Active's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guggenheim Active is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Active's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.