Heritage Global Stock Beneish M Score

HGBL Stock  USD 1.62  0.01  0.62%   
This module uses fundamental data of Heritage Global to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Heritage Global M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Heritage Global Piotroski F Score and Heritage Global Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Heritage Stock please use our How to buy in Heritage Stock guide.
  
At this time, Heritage Global's Total Debt To Capitalization is quite stable compared to the past year. Debt Equity Ratio is expected to rise to 0.14 this year, although the value of Short Term Debt will most likely fall to about 3.1 M. At this time, Heritage Global's ROIC is quite stable compared to the past year. Net Income Per Share is expected to rise to 0.36 this year, although the value of PTB Ratio will most likely fall to 1.59.
At this time, it appears that Heritage Global is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Heritage Global's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Heritage Global executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Heritage Global's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.58
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.9

Focus
Asset Quality

0.97

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.51

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.65

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.51

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.03

Focus

Heritage Global Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Heritage Global's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.8 M1.9 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue63.6 M60.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets87.3 M83.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets27.6 M26.3 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total59.7 M56.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.3 M1.4 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative13.6 M25.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities15.6 M14.7 M
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total6.8 M7.4 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt3.1 M3.3 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt10.3 M5.5 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments2.9 M2.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments22.4 M21.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.420.6491
Way Down
Pretty Stable

Heritage Global Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Heritage Global's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Heritage Global in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Heritage Global's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Heritage Global Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

488,300

At this time, Heritage Global's Depreciation And Amortization is quite stable compared to the past year.

Heritage Global Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Heritage Global. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables3.2M2.8M2.7M5.5M1.9M1.8M
Total Revenue26.2M26.2M25.8M46.9M60.5M63.6M
Total Assets21.9M44.6M50.5M67.6M83.2M87.3M
Total Current Assets6.8M27.0M23.3M23.9M26.3M27.6M
Net Debt(771K)(22.4M)(7.0M)(5.5M)(2.4M)(2.3M)
Short Term Debt980K760K3.5M4.1M3.3M3.1M
Long Term Debt438K35K1.4M871K5.5M10.3M
Operating Income3.1M6.1M3.0M11.1M14.3M15.0M
Investments(1.2M)4.5M(2.4M)(12.6M)(25.9M)(24.6M)
Gross Profit Margin0.770.830.70.710.550.42

About Heritage Global Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Heritage Global's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Heritage Global using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Heritage Global based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Heritage Global is a strong investment it is important to analyze Heritage Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Heritage Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Heritage Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Heritage Global Piotroski F Score and Heritage Global Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Heritage Stock please use our How to buy in Heritage Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Global. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Earnings Share
0.27
Revenue Per Share
1.361
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.33)
Return On Assets
0.066
The market value of Heritage Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.