Harmony Gold Mining Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

HMY Stock

USD 9.20 0.43 4.47%

Harmony Gold's risk of distress is below 2% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crunch in the next two years. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Harmony balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Harmony Gold Piotroski F Score and Harmony Gold Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to rise to about 6 B in 2024, whereas Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 3.1 B in 2024.

Harmony Gold Mining Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Harmony Gold's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Harmony Gold Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 2%

Most of Harmony Gold's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Harmony Gold Mining is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Harmony Gold probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Harmony Gold odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Harmony Gold Mining financial health.

Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harmony Gold. If investors know Harmony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harmony Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.13)

Dividend Share

2.41

Earnings Share

0.75

Revenue Per Share

99.088

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.152

The market value of Harmony Gold Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harmony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harmony Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harmony Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harmony Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harmony Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Harmony Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harmony Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harmony Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harmony Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Harmony Gold is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Harmony Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Harmony Gold's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Harmony Gold's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Harmony Gold's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Net Debt	Long Term Debt	Short Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Good Will	Intangible Assets	Short Term Investments	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Debt Total	Net Invested Capital	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.93	-0.12	0.28	0.63	0.84	0.69	0.59	-0.01	0.43	-0.04	0.53	0.19	-0.01	-0.82	-0.81	0.6	0.21	0.0	0.32	0.57	0.39	0.46	0.53
Total Stockholder Equity	0.93		0.09	0.07	0.56	0.58	0.53	0.64	-0.12	0.15	0.09	0.36	0.1	0.26	-0.83	-0.83	0.45	0.01	0.11	0.05	0.5	0.13	0.23	0.38
Retained Earnings	-0.12	0.09		-0.5	0.31	-0.42	0.09	-0.37	-0.76	-0.32	0.02	-0.19	0.03	0.27	0.29	0.27	-0.23	-0.66	0.12	-0.17	0.43	-0.18	-0.14	0.25
Accounts Payable	0.28	0.07	-0.5		0.2	0.51	0.34	-0.09	0.17	0.46	-0.33	0.4	0.03	-0.31	-0.28	-0.25	0.27	0.38	-0.21	0.29	-0.02	0.47	0.63	0.25
Net Receivables	0.63	0.56	0.31	0.2		0.56	0.78	0.2	-0.26	0.56	-0.13	0.55	0.28	-0.11	-0.46	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-0.08	0.46	0.68	0.39	0.33	0.66
Total Liab	0.84	0.58	-0.42	0.51	0.56		0.75	0.37	0.17	0.73	-0.22	0.65	0.26	-0.41	-0.6	-0.56	0.65	0.45	-0.15	0.62	0.52	0.68	0.67	0.62
Total Current Assets	0.69	0.53	0.09	0.34	0.78	0.75		0.14	-0.43	0.69	-0.2	0.7	0.34	-0.4	-0.49	-0.45	0.57	0.27	-0.15	0.5	0.67	0.74	0.76	0.9
Common Stock	0.59	0.64	-0.37	-0.09	0.2	0.37	0.14		0.32	0.03	0.46	0.16	0.01	0.24	-0.72	-0.73	0.38	0.36	0.22	-0.08	0.01	-0.1	-0.17	-0.08
Net Debt	-0.01	-0.12	-0.76	0.17	-0.26	0.17	-0.43	0.32		0.12	0.0	-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	0.38	-0.01	0.14	-0.47	-0.28	-0.38	-0.56
Long Term Debt	0.43	0.15	-0.32	0.46	0.56	0.73	0.69	0.03	0.12		-0.45	0.79	0.1	-0.61	-0.34	-0.31	0.44	0.57	-0.33	0.8	0.43	0.62	0.49	0.66
Short Term Debt	-0.04	0.09	0.02	-0.33	-0.13	-0.22	-0.2	0.46	0.0	-0.45		-0.33	-0.34	0.09	-0.07	-0.09	0.27	-0.11	0.85	-0.38	-0.18	-0.24	-0.29	-0.29
Property Plant Equipment	0.53	0.36	-0.19	0.4	0.55	0.65	0.7	0.16	-0.06	0.79	-0.33		0.01	-0.64	-0.45	-0.42	0.64	0.57	-0.4	0.3	0.59	0.41	0.5	0.71
Current Deferred Revenue	0.19	0.1	0.03	0.03	0.28	0.26	0.34	0.01	-0.11	0.1	-0.34	0.01		0.1	0.01	0.02	-0.04	0.16	-0.45	0.22	0.15	0.21	0.29	0.23
Good Will	-0.01	0.26	0.27	-0.31	-0.11	-0.41	-0.4	0.24	0.03	-0.61	0.09	-0.64	0.1		-0.21	-0.24	-0.6	-0.45	0.1	-0.35	-0.41	-0.48	-0.52	-0.57
Intangible Assets	-0.82	-0.83	0.29	-0.28	-0.46	-0.6	-0.49	-0.72	-0.18	-0.34	-0.07	-0.45	0.01	-0.21		1.0	-0.39	-0.32	-0.06	-0.1	-0.12	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19
Short Term Investments	-0.81	-0.83	0.27	-0.25	-0.44	-0.56	-0.45	-0.73	-0.18	-0.31	-0.09	-0.42	0.02	-0.24	1.0		-0.37	-0.29	-0.08	-0.08	-0.1	-0.13	-0.15	-0.16
Net Tangible Assets	0.6	0.45	-0.23	0.27	0.39	0.65	0.57	0.38	-0.03	0.44	0.27	0.64	-0.04	-0.6	-0.39	-0.37		0.55	0.19	0.19	0.55	0.35	0.46	0.57
Long Term Investments	0.21	0.01	-0.66	0.38	0.12	0.45	0.27	0.36	0.38	0.57	-0.11	0.57	0.16	-0.45	-0.32	-0.29	0.55		-0.35	0.25	-0.03	0.25	0.16	0.16
Short Long Term Debt	0.0	0.11	0.12	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-0.15	0.22	-0.01	-0.33	0.85	-0.4	-0.45	0.1	-0.06	-0.08	0.19	-0.35		-0.12	-0.13	-0.16	-0.18	-0.2
Long Term Debt Total	0.32	0.05	-0.17	0.29	0.46	0.62	0.5	-0.08	0.14	0.8	-0.38	0.3	0.22	-0.35	-0.1	-0.08	0.19	0.25	-0.12		0.36	0.61	0.35	0.5
Net Invested Capital	0.57	0.5	0.43	-0.02	0.68	0.52	0.67	0.01	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	0.59	0.15	-0.41	-0.12	-0.1	0.55	-0.03	-0.13	0.36		0.37	0.45	0.85
Cash And Equivalents	0.39	0.13	-0.18	0.47	0.39	0.68	0.74	-0.1	-0.28	0.62	-0.24	0.41	0.21	-0.48	-0.16	-0.13	0.35	0.25	-0.16	0.61	0.37		0.81	0.66
Net Working Capital	0.46	0.23	-0.14	0.63	0.33	0.67	0.76	-0.17	-0.38	0.49	-0.29	0.5	0.29	-0.52	-0.18	-0.15	0.46	0.16	-0.18	0.35	0.45	0.81		0.74
Capital Stock	0.53	0.38	0.25	0.25	0.66	0.62	0.9	-0.08	-0.56	0.66	-0.29	0.71	0.23	-0.57	-0.19	-0.16	0.57	0.16	-0.2	0.5	0.85	0.66	0.74

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Harmony Gold

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Harmony Gold Mining has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 2.0%. This is 95.49% lower than that of the Metals & Mining sector and 95.73% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 94.98% higher than that of the company.

Harmony Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Harmony Gold's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Harmony Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harmony Gold by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Harmony Gold is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Harmony Gold Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0196)	0.1	(0.0225)	0.0842	0.14	0.15
Asset Turnover	0.65	0.84	0.91	0.86	1.02	1.07
Gross Profit Margin	(0.0732)	0.11	0.15	0.0168	0.23	0.24
Net Debt	1.4B	542M	757M	3.3B	(2.4B)	(2.3B)
Total Current Liabilities	7.6B	5.8B	5.0B	6.9B	7.4B	7.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total	13.8B	12.1B	11.7B	15.5B	12.2B	8.2B
Total Assets	44.7B	49.5B	46.8B	57.2B	60.5B	36.6B
Total Current Assets	10.2B	8.6B	7.5B	8.7B	11.5B	12.1B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	2.5B	9.2B	6.9B	9.9B	15.7B	16.4B

Harmony Gold ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Harmony Gold's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Harmony Gold's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Harmony Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.23
	Return On Asset	0.15
	Profit Margin	0.14 %
	Operating Margin	0.23 %
	Current Valuation	6.03 B
	Shares Outstanding	622.07 M
	Shares Owned By Institutions	27.83 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	6.83 M
	Price To Earning	8.21 X
	Price To Book	2.66 X
	Price To Sales	0.10 X
	Revenue	61.38 B
	Gross Profit	13.79 B
	EBITDA	17.21 B
	Net Income	11.77 B
	Cash And Equivalents	2.87 B
	Cash Per Share	3.97 X
	Total Debt	2.29 B
	Debt To Equity	0.11 %
	Current Ratio	1.51 X
	Book Value Per Share	65.77 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	15.65 B
	Short Ratio	1.87 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.75 X
	Target Price	10.23
	Number Of Employees	34.72 K
	Beta	1.25
	Market Capitalization	6.16 B
	Total Asset	60.46 B
	Retained Earnings	2.24 B
	Working Capital	1.81 B
	Current Asset	3.47 B
	Current Liabilities	2.03 B
	Annual Yield	0.02 %
	Net Asset	60.46 B
	Last Dividend Paid	2.41

About Harmony Gold Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Harmony Gold Mining's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Harmony Gold using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harmony Gold Mining based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Harmony Stock Analysis

When running Harmony Gold's price analysis, check to measure Harmony Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harmony Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Harmony Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harmony Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harmony Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harmony Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Harmony Gold Mining Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Harmony Gold Mining Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Harmony Gold Probability Of Bankruptcy

Harmony Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Harmony Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Harmony Gold Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Harmony Gold ESG Sustainability

Harmony Fundamentals

About Harmony Gold Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Harmony Stock Analysis

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