Irsa Inversiones Y Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

IRS Stock

USD 14.27 0.23 1.64%

IRSA Inversiones' odds of distress is below 50% at this time. It has small probability of experiencing financial hardship in the next few years. IRSA Inversiones' Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting IRSA Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the IRSA balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out IRSA Inversiones Piotroski F Score and IRSA Inversiones Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to gain to about 5.2 T in 2025. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 5.5 T in 2025

IRSA Inversiones Y Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

IRSA Inversiones' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current IRSA Inversiones Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 40%

Most of IRSA Inversiones' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, IRSA Inversiones Y is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of IRSA Inversiones probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting IRSA Inversiones odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of IRSA Inversiones Y financial health.

Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of IRSA Inversiones. If investors know IRSA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about IRSA Inversiones listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.32)

Dividend Share

126.117

Earnings Share

(4.73)

Revenue Per Share

4.8 K

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.14)

The market value of IRSA Inversiones Y is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IRSA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IRSA Inversiones' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IRSA Inversiones' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IRSA Inversiones' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IRSA Inversiones' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between IRSA Inversiones' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IRSA Inversiones is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IRSA Inversiones' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

IRSA Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for IRSA Inversiones is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of IRSA Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since IRSA Inversiones' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of IRSA Inversiones' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of IRSA Inversiones' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Property Plant Equipment	Good Will	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Treasury Stock	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Cash And Equivalents	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.99	0.89	0.97	0.86	0.87	0.99	0.91	0.99	0.99	0.07	-0.46	0.48	0.99	-0.06	0.18	0.98	0.99	0.9	0.3	0.09	0.9	1.0	-0.22	-0.65	0.98
Total Stockholder Equity	0.99		0.81	0.99	0.86	0.86	0.95	0.83	0.96	0.96	0.09	-0.54	0.34	0.97	-0.15	0.02	0.95	0.96	0.93	0.21	-0.06	0.92	0.99	-0.36	-0.74	1.0
Net Debt	0.89	0.81		0.79	0.75	0.77	0.95	0.99	0.92	0.92	0.0	-0.17	0.8	0.9	0.2	0.59	0.95	0.91	0.71	0.51	0.51	0.71	0.87	0.2	-0.3	0.8
Retained Earnings	0.97	0.99	0.79		0.82	0.82	0.94	0.82	0.95	0.96	0.01	-0.56	0.31	0.96	-0.13	0.02	0.94	0.96	0.9	0.19	-0.09	0.88	0.98	-0.36	-0.73	0.99
Accounts Payable	0.86	0.86	0.75	0.82		1.0	0.84	0.78	0.82	0.8	0.51	-0.18	0.39	0.84	0.0	0.15	0.83	0.82	0.95	0.35	0.1	0.95	0.84	-0.23	-0.56	0.82
Net Receivables	0.87	0.86	0.77	0.82	1.0		0.85	0.79	0.84	0.8	0.52	-0.17	0.42	0.85	-0.01	0.18	0.84	0.83	0.95	0.36	0.12	0.95	0.84	-0.19	-0.56	0.82
Total Liab	0.99	0.95	0.95	0.94	0.84	0.85		0.95	0.99	0.99	0.05	-0.37	0.58	0.99	0.02	0.31	0.99	0.99	0.86	0.37	0.22	0.86	0.98	-0.09	-0.56	0.95
Total Current Assets	0.91	0.83	0.99	0.82	0.78	0.79	0.95		0.93	0.93	0.02	-0.18	0.77	0.91	0.16	0.56	0.96	0.93	0.73	0.47	0.47	0.73	0.89	0.2	-0.32	0.82
Short Term Debt	0.99	0.96	0.92	0.95	0.82	0.84	0.99	0.93		0.98	0.05	-0.38	0.51	0.97	0.0	0.25	0.99	1.0	0.87	0.33	0.14	0.87	0.98	-0.13	-0.63	0.96
Intangible Assets	0.99	0.96	0.92	0.96	0.8	0.8	0.99	0.93	0.98		-0.07	-0.45	0.52	0.98	0.02	0.25	0.99	0.98	0.83	0.31	0.14	0.82	0.99	-0.15	-0.58	0.97
Common Stock	0.07	0.09	0.0	0.01	0.51	0.52	0.05	0.02	0.05	-0.07		0.35	-0.07	0.03	-0.11	-0.11	0.02	0.04	0.44	0.17	-0.03	0.46	0.03	-0.15	-0.23	0.03
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.46	-0.54	-0.17	-0.56	-0.18	-0.17	-0.37	-0.18	-0.38	-0.45	0.35		0.14	-0.46	0.56	0.49	-0.38	-0.4	-0.37	0.38	0.41	-0.35	-0.52	0.5	0.46	-0.57
Long Term Debt	0.48	0.34	0.8	0.31	0.39	0.42	0.58	0.77	0.51	0.52	-0.07	0.14		0.54	0.35	0.88	0.58	0.5	0.26	0.59	0.91	0.26	0.44	0.61	0.27	0.33
Short Term Investments	0.99	0.97	0.9	0.96	0.84	0.85	0.99	0.91	0.97	0.98	0.03	-0.46	0.54		-0.05	0.22	0.97	0.98	0.88	0.32	0.16	0.88	0.99	-0.2	-0.6	0.97
Property Plant Equipment	-0.06	-0.15	0.2	-0.13	0.0	-0.01	0.02	0.16	0.0	0.02	-0.11	0.56	0.35	-0.05		0.58	0.05	-0.01	-0.17	0.55	0.42	-0.18	-0.09	0.4	0.32	-0.14
Good Will	0.18	0.02	0.59	0.02	0.15	0.18	0.31	0.56	0.25	0.25	-0.11	0.49	0.88	0.22	0.58		0.32	0.23	-0.05	0.6	0.91	-0.04	0.14	0.8	0.49	0.01
Long Term Investments	0.98	0.95	0.95	0.94	0.83	0.84	0.99	0.96	0.99	0.99	0.02	-0.38	0.58	0.97	0.05	0.32		0.98	0.85	0.35	0.21	0.84	0.98	-0.06	-0.53	0.94
Short Long Term Debt	0.99	0.96	0.91	0.96	0.82	0.83	0.99	0.93	1.0	0.98	0.04	-0.4	0.5	0.98	-0.01	0.23	0.98		0.87	0.31	0.12	0.87	0.98	-0.15	-0.64	0.96
Net Tangible Assets	0.9	0.93	0.71	0.9	0.95	0.95	0.86	0.73	0.87	0.83	0.44	-0.37	0.26	0.88	-0.17	-0.05	0.85	0.87		0.25	-0.09	1.0	0.89	-0.41	-0.75	0.9
Treasury Stock	0.3	0.21	0.51	0.19	0.35	0.36	0.37	0.47	0.33	0.31	0.17	0.38	0.59	0.32	0.55	0.6	0.35	0.31	0.25		0.55	0.25	0.23	0.25	0.01	0.19
Long Term Debt Total	0.09	-0.06	0.51	-0.09	0.1	0.12	0.22	0.47	0.14	0.14	-0.03	0.41	0.91	0.16	0.42	0.91	0.21	0.12	-0.09	0.55		-0.07	0.05	0.8	0.59	-0.07
Capital Surpluse	0.9	0.92	0.71	0.88	0.95	0.95	0.86	0.73	0.87	0.82	0.46	-0.35	0.26	0.88	-0.18	-0.04	0.84	0.87	1.0	0.25	-0.07		0.88	-0.4	-0.76	0.89
Net Invested Capital	1.0	0.99	0.87	0.98	0.84	0.84	0.98	0.89	0.98	0.99	0.03	-0.52	0.44	0.99	-0.09	0.14	0.98	0.98	0.89	0.23	0.05	0.88		-0.23	-0.64	0.99
Cash And Equivalents	-0.22	-0.36	0.2	-0.36	-0.23	-0.19	-0.09	0.2	-0.13	-0.15	-0.15	0.5	0.61	-0.2	0.4	0.8	-0.06	-0.15	-0.41	0.25	0.8	-0.4	-0.23		0.77	-0.36
Net Working Capital	-0.65	-0.74	-0.3	-0.73	-0.56	-0.56	-0.56	-0.32	-0.63	-0.58	-0.23	0.46	0.27	-0.6	0.32	0.49	-0.53	-0.64	-0.75	0.01	0.59	-0.76	-0.64	0.77		-0.73
Capital Stock	0.98	1.0	0.8	0.99	0.82	0.82	0.95	0.82	0.96	0.97	0.03	-0.57	0.33	0.97	-0.14	0.01	0.94	0.96	0.9	0.19	-0.07	0.89	0.99	-0.36	-0.73

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict IRSA Inversiones

Based on the latest financial disclosure, IRSA Inversiones Y has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 40.0%. This is 6.06% lower than that of the Real Estate Management & Development sector and 24.4% lower than that of the Real Estate industry. This indicator is about the same for all United States stocks average (which is currently at 39.83).

IRSA Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses IRSA Inversiones' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of IRSA Inversiones could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IRSA Inversiones by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

IRSA Inversiones is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

IRSA Inversiones Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.13)	0.0927	0.0847	(0.013)	(0.0117)	(0.0111)
Gross Profit Margin	0.29	0.35	0.49	0.62	0.67	0.77
Net Debt	61.1B	63.2B	102.2B	349.4B	401.8B	421.9B
Total Current Liabilities	22.1B	86.4B	71.3B	273.0B	314.0B	329.7B
Non Current Liabilities Total	117.9B	116.6B	253.1B	1.1T	1.3T	1.3T
Total Assets	222.8B	372.8B	711.6B	2.2T	2.6T	2.7T
Total Current Assets	13.9B	42.4B	70.2B	227.7B	261.9B	275.0B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.5B	12.7B	36.5B	103.5B	119.0B	125.0B

IRSA Inversiones ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, IRSA Inversiones' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to IRSA Inversiones' managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

IRSA Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	-0.37
	Return On Asset	0.049
	Profit Margin	(1.04) %
	Operating Margin	0.37 %
	Current Valuation	1.34 B
	Shares Outstanding	71.65 M
	Shares Owned By Institutions	12.68 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	128.45 K
	Price To Earning	1.41 X
	Price To Book	0.97 X
	Price To Sales	0 X
	Revenue	328.55 B
	Gross Profit	240.86 B
	EBITDA	(33.23 B)
	Net Income	(33.8 B)
	Cash And Equivalents	8.73 B
	Cash Per Share	158.16 X
	Total Debt	377.7 B
	Debt To Equity	0.45 %
	Current Ratio	0.28 X
	Book Value Per Share	1,565 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	103.5 B
	Short Ratio	0.65 X
	Earnings Per Share	(4.73) X
	Target Price	15.0
	Beta	0.94
	Market Capitalization	1.12 B
	Total Asset	2.24 T
	Retained Earnings	320.17 B
	Working Capital	(47.19 B)
	Current Asset	42.76 B
	Current Liabilities	43.6 B
	Annual Yield	0.11 %
	Net Asset	2.24 T
	Last Dividend Paid	126.12

About IRSA Inversiones Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze IRSA Inversiones Y's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of IRSA Inversiones using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of IRSA Inversiones Y based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for IRSA Stock Analysis

When running IRSA Inversiones' price analysis, check to measure IRSA Inversiones' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IRSA Inversiones is operating at the current time. Most of IRSA Inversiones' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IRSA Inversiones' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IRSA Inversiones' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IRSA Inversiones to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Irsa Inversiones Y Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

IRSA Inversiones Y Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current IRSA Inversiones Probability Of Bankruptcy

IRSA Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

IRSA Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

IRSA Inversiones Main Bankruptcy Drivers

IRSA Inversiones ESG Sustainability

IRSA Fundamentals

About IRSA Inversiones Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for IRSA Stock Analysis

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