Tal Education Group Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

IZZ Stock   9.55  0.20  2.14%   
TAL Education's likelihood of distress is over 50% at this time. It has a moderate risk of going through some financial distress in the next 2 years. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate TAL Education's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the TAL balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in TAL Education Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
  

TAL Education Group Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

TAL Education's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Z-Score

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Current TAL Education Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 56%  
Most of TAL Education's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, TAL Education Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of TAL Education probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting TAL Education odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of TAL Education Group financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TAL Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TAL Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TAL Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition
Based on the latest financial disclosure, TAL Education Group has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 56%. This is much higher than that of the sector and significantly higher than that of the Probability Of Bankruptcy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Germany stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.

TAL Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses TAL Education's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of TAL Education could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TAL Education by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
TAL Education is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

TAL Fundamentals

About TAL Education Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze TAL Education Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of TAL Education using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of TAL Education Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for TAL Stock Analysis

When running TAL Education's price analysis, check to measure TAL Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TAL Education is operating at the current time. Most of TAL Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TAL Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TAL Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TAL Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.