Kirklands Stock Beneish M Score

KIRK Stock  USD 1.65  0.06  3.77%   
This module uses fundamental data of Kirklands to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Kirklands M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Kirklands Piotroski F Score and Kirklands Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Kirklands Stock please use our How to buy in Kirklands Stock guide.
  
At this time, Kirklands' Long Term Debt is quite stable compared to the past year. Net Debt is expected to rise to about 178.5 M this year, although the value of Debt To Equity will most likely fall to 1.88. At this time, Kirklands' Capex To Depreciation is quite stable compared to the past year. EV To Sales is expected to rise to 0.60 this year, although the value of PB Ratio will most likely fall to 2.66.
At this time, it appears that Kirklands is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Kirklands' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Kirklands executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Kirklands' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-0.13
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.48

Focus
Asset Quality

3.49

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.06

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

4.65

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.06

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.74

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.09

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.98

Focus

Kirklands Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Kirklands' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Revenue508.8 M468.7 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets233.6 M250.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets129.1 M85.5 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Non Current Assets Total114.8 M165.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment210.9 M200.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization17.4 M12 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Selling General Administrative94.8 M82.2 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities76.6 M109.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total77.9 M138.3 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Debt84 M80 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.40.086
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Kirklands Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Kirklands' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Kirklands in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Kirklands' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Kirklands Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Accumulated Depreciation

(210.75 Million)

The company's current value of Accumulated Depreciation is estimated at (210.75 Million)

Kirklands Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Kirklands. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables1M(8.3M)4.7M1.5M3.3M1.7M
Total Revenue603.9M543.5M558.2M498.8M468.7M508.8M
Total Assets422.4M389.4M331.2M274.2M250.6M233.6M
Total Current Assets131.5M170.7M149.6M94.3M85.5M129.1M
Net Debt218.8M96.1M127.3M165.9M170.0M178.5M
Operating Income(33.8M)26.6M25.3M(40.7M)(22.5M)(21.4M)
Investments(15.7M)(8.5M)(7.1M)(8.1M)(4.6M)(4.9M)

About Kirklands Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Kirklands's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Kirklands using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kirklands based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Kirklands is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Kirklands Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Kirklands Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Kirklands Stock:
Check out Kirklands Piotroski F Score and Kirklands Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Kirklands Stock please use our How to buy in Kirklands Stock guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Homefurnishing Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kirklands. If investors know Kirklands will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kirklands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.34)
Earnings Share
(1.49)
Revenue Per Share
35.488
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Kirklands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kirklands that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kirklands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kirklands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kirklands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kirklands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kirklands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kirklands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kirklands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.