Lincoln Electric Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

LECO Stock  USD 208.51  5.32  2.62%   
This module uses fundamental data of Lincoln Electric to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Lincoln Electric M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Lincoln Electric Piotroski F Score and Lincoln Electric Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Lincoln Electric's Interest Debt Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Debt To Assets is likely to grow to 0.34, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 2.3 M. At this time, Lincoln Electric's Operating Cash Flow Per Share is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of November 2024, Capex To Depreciation is likely to grow to 1.29, while Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is likely to drop 0.
At this time, it appears that Lincoln Electric Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Lincoln Electric's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Lincoln Electric executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Lincoln Electric's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.04
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.99

Focus
Asset Quality

0.71

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.09

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.02

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.09

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.05

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.55

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.52

Focus

Lincoln Electric Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Lincoln Electric's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables315.8 M580.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue2.3 B4.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.8 B3.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets967.1 M1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.8 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment462.1 M626.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization60.5 M86.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative451.9 M758.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities414 M754.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt2.3 M2.4 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income753.7 M717.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities700.9 M667.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments2.5 M2.7 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.360.3523
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable

Lincoln Electric Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Lincoln Electric's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Lincoln Electric in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Lincoln Electric's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Lincoln Electric Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Accumulated Depreciation

(655.48 Million)

Lincoln Electric reported last year Accumulated Depreciation of (624.26 Million)

Lincoln Electric Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Lincoln Electric. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables374.6M373.5M429.1M541.5M580.6M315.8M
Total Revenue3.0B2.7B3.2B3.8B4.2B2.3B
Total Assets2.4B2.3B2.6B3.2B3.4B1.8B
Total Current Assets1.1B1.1B1.3B1.6B1.7B967.1M
Net Debt547.7M460.9M576.9M1.0B766.1M804.4M
Short Term Debt35.0M14.2M62.9M103.9M2.4M2.3M
Long Term Debt712.3M715.5M717.1M1.1B1.1B1.2B
Operating Income370.9M282.1M357.0M612.3M717.8M753.7M
Investments(192.8M)(49.2M)(205.4M)(504.7M)(74.7M)(78.5M)

Lincoln Electric ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Lincoln Electric's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Lincoln Electric's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Lincoln Electric Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Lincoln Electric Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Lincoln Electric using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lincoln Electric Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Lincoln Electric

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Lincoln Electric position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Lincoln Electric will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Lincoln Stock

  0.72CVR Chicago Rivet MachinePairCorr
  0.83KMT KennametalPairCorr
  0.67RBC RBC BearingsPairCorr

Moving against Lincoln Stock

  0.48SWK Stanley Black DeckerPairCorr
  0.31EML EasternPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Lincoln Electric could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Lincoln Electric when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Lincoln Electric - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Lincoln Electric Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Lincoln Electric is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Lincoln Electric moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Lincoln Electric Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Lincoln Electric can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Lincoln Electric Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lincoln Electric's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lincoln Electric Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lincoln Electric Holdings Stock:
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lincoln Electric. If investors know Lincoln will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lincoln Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Dividend Share
2.84
Earnings Share
8.37
Revenue Per Share
71.184
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Lincoln Electric Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lincoln that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lincoln Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lincoln Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lincoln Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lincoln Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lincoln Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lincoln Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lincoln Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.