Mueller Water Products Stock Beneish M Score

MWA Stock  USD 25.37  0.08  0.31%   
This module uses fundamental data of Mueller Water to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Mueller Water M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Mueller Water Piotroski F Score and Mueller Water Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Mueller Water's Long Term Debt is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 498.5 M, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to about 143.3 M. At present, Mueller Water's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Operating Cash Flow Per Share is expected to grow to 1.85, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that Mueller Water Products is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Mueller Water's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Mueller Water executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Mueller Water's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.75
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.09

Focus
Asset Quality

1.54

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.99

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.71

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.99

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.7

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.82

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.92

Focus

Mueller Water Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Mueller Water's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables167.3 M188 M
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue964.8 M1.2 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.3 B1.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets553.7 M772.6 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total779.8 M699.8 M
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment185.3 M301.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization53.8 M56.2 M
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative227 M282 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities217.8 M296.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total667 M511 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt143.3 M150.8 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt3.7 M5.7 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt484.8 M403.8 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income219.4 M209 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities288.4 M274.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.220.31
Way Down
Pretty Stable

Mueller Water Products Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Mueller Water's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Mueller Water in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Mueller Water's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Mueller Water Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Operating Income

219.4 Million

At present, Mueller Water's Operating Income is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Mueller Water Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Mueller Water. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables212.2M228M221.8M208.9M188.0M167.3M
Total Revenue1.1B1.2B1.3B1.3B1.2B964.8M
Total Assets1.5B1.5B1.5B1.6B1.5B1.3B
Total Current Assets653.7M680M706.8M858.4M772.6M553.7M
Net Debt219.4M300.4M311.8M167.6M150.8M143.3M
Long Term Debt445.9M446.1M446.7M448.7M403.8M484.8M
Operating Income131.7M111.6M127.4M181.7M209.0M219.4M
Investments(81.7M)(54.9M)(42.1M)(47.2M)(42.5M)(44.6M)

Mueller Water ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Mueller Water's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Mueller Water's managers, analysts, and investors.
53.9%
Environmental
55.6%
Governance
Social

About Mueller Water Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Mueller Water Products's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Mueller Water using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mueller Water Products based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Mueller Water Products offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mueller Water's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mueller Water Products Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mueller Water Products Stock:
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mueller Water. If investors know Mueller will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mueller Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.444
Dividend Share
0.259
Earnings Share
0.87
Revenue Per Share
8.736
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.187
The market value of Mueller Water Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mueller that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mueller Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mueller Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mueller Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mueller Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mueller Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mueller Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mueller Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.