Orion Digital Corp Stock Current Valuation
| ORIO Stock | 1.53 0.05 3.16% |
Valuation analysis of Orion Digital Corp helps investors to measure Orion Digital's intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. At this time, Orion Digital's Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 17th of February 2026, Enterprise Value Multiple is likely to grow to 20.80, while Enterprise Value is likely to drop about 113.8 M. Fundamental drivers impacting Orion Digital's valuation include:
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Orion Digital's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Orion Digital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Orion Digital's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Orion Digital is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Orion Stock. However, Orion Digital's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 1.53 | Real 1.44 | Hype 1.58 |
The intrinsic value of Orion Digital's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Orion Digital's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Orion Digital Corp helps investors to forecast how Orion stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Orion Digital more accurately as focusing exclusively on Orion Digital's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Orion Current Valuation Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Orion Digital is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Orion Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Current Valuation. Since Orion Digital's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Orion Digital's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Orion Digital's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Orion Digital 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Orion Digital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Orion Digital.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Orion Digital on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Orion Digital Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Orion Digital over 90 days. Orion Digital is related to or competes with Oracle CDR, Palantir CDR, PALO ALTO, Adobe, BTQ Technologies, VERSES AI. Orion Digital is entity of Canada. It is traded as Stock on TO exchange. More
Orion Digital Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Orion Digital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Orion Digital Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.04 |
Orion Digital Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Orion Digital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Orion Digital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Orion Digital historical prices to predict the future Orion Digital's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.84) |
Orion Digital February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.83) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,842) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.64 | |||
| Variance | 13.25 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.07) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.22) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.84) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.42 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.75) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.04 | |||
| Skewness | 0.0365 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.20) |
Orion Digital Corp Backtested Returns
Orion Digital Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0185, which implies the firm had a -0.0185 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Orion Digital Corp exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Orion Digital's Variance of 13.25, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,842) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.25, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Orion Digital's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Orion Digital is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Orion Digital Corp has a negative expected return of -0.0676%. Please make sure to check Orion Digital's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Orion Digital Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.21 |
Weak predictability
Orion Digital Corp has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Orion Digital time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Orion Digital Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current Orion Digital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.21 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.04 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.01 |
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
| Competition |
In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Orion Digital Corp has a Current Valuation of 81.81 M. This is 99.58% lower than that of the Technology sector and 99.93% lower than that of the Software - Infrastructure industry. The current valuation for all Canada stocks is 99.51% higher than that of the company.
Orion Current Valuation Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Orion Digital's direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Orion Digital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orion Digital by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Orion Digital is rated below average in current valuation category among its peers.
Orion Digital Current Valuation Drivers
We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Orion Digital from analyzing Orion Digital's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Orion Digital's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Orion Digital's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Market Cap | 256.7M | 415.4M | 810.2M | 60.4M | 54.3M | 51.6M | |
| Enterprise Value | 384.4M | 494.6M | 829.7M | 133.1M | 119.8M | 113.8M |
Orion Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0415 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.18 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.29) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 81.81 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 23.78 M | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.56 K | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.43 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.81 X | ||||
| Revenue | 71.15 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 26.66 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 7.12 M | ||||
| Net Income | (13.68 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.53 M | ||||
| Total Debt | 85.62 M | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 3.26 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.27 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 0.05 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.31 X | ||||
| Target Price | 3.5 | ||||
| Beta | 3.38 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 33.05 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 189.65 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (345.51 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 35.81 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 189.65 M |
About Orion Digital Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Orion Digital Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Orion Digital using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Orion Digital Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Orion Digital
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Orion Digital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Orion Digital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Orion Stock
| 0.64 | RY | Royal Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | TD-PFI | Toronto Dominion Bank Earnings Call Next Week | PairCorr |
| 0.35 | BNP | BNP Paribas CDR | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | MS | Morgan Stanley CDR | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Orion Digital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Orion Digital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Orion Digital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Orion Digital Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Orion Digital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Orion Digital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Orion Digital Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Orion Digital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Orion Digital Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.