Packaging Corp Of Stock Beneish M Score

PKG Stock  USD 247.28  0.89  0.36%   
This module uses fundamental data of Packaging Corp to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Packaging Corp M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Packaging Corp Piotroski F Score and Packaging Corp Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Packaging Corp's Net Debt To EBITDA is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Packaging Corp's current Debt To Equity is estimated to increase to 1.13, while Net Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 1.4 B. At this time, Packaging Corp's Free Cash Flow Yield is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Packaging Corp's current Operating Cash Flow Per Share is estimated to increase to 15.30, while PTB Ratio is projected to decrease to 2.62.
At this time, it appears that Packaging Corp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Packaging Corp's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Packaging Corp executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Packaging Corp's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-5.09
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.95

Focus
Asset Quality

-5.56

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.14

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.1

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.14

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.87

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.57

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.4

Focus

Packaging Corp Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Packaging Corp's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables559.4 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue4.4 B7.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets4.5 B8.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets3.4 B3.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets TotalB5.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment5.1 B4.8 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization276.8 M517.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative378.2 M583.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.3 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.1 B3.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.4 B2.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt588.8 M560.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.7 B2.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.1 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities658.2 M1.3 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments63.8 M64.1 M
Slightly Down
Pretty Stable
Gross Profit Margin0.240.2177
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Packaging Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Packaging Corp's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Packaging Corp in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Packaging Corp's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Packaging Corp Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.76 Billion

At this time, Packaging Corp's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Packaging Corp Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Packaging Corp. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables872.1M837.5M1.1B1.1B1.0B559.4M
Total Revenue7.0B6.7B7.7B8.5B7.8B4.4B
Total Assets7.2B7.4B7.8B8.0B8.7B4.5B
Total Current Assets2.5B2.8B2.7B2.5B3.3B3.4B
Net Debt2.1B1.8B2.1B2.5B2.5B1.4B
Short Term Debt64.1M141M137.6M148.2M560.8M588.8M
Long Term Debt2.5B2.5B2.5B2.5B2.5B1.7B
Operating Income658.3M371.5M843.6M978.4M1.1B1.1B
Investments(146.1M)(3.1M)(500K)(7.4M)(582.9M)(612.0M)

Packaging Corp ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Packaging Corp's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Packaging Corp's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Packaging Corp Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Packaging Corp of's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Packaging Corp using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Packaging Corp of based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Packaging Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Packaging Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Packaging Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Packaging Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Packaging Corp Piotroski F Score and Packaging Corp Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Packaging Corp. If investors know Packaging will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Packaging Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.3
Dividend Share
5
Earnings Share
8.57
Revenue Per Share
91.752
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.127
The market value of Packaging Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Packaging that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Packaging Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Packaging Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Packaging Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Packaging Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Packaging Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Packaging Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Packaging Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.