Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity Fund Chance Of Distress

SAOCX Fund  USD 19.18  0.22  1.13%   
Guggenheim Alpha's odds of distress is under 22% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crisis in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
  

Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis

Guggenheim Alpha's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Guggenheim Alpha Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 22%  
Most of Guggenheim Alpha's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Guggenheim Alpha probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Guggenheim Alpha odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Alpha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guggenheim Alpha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Alpha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 22.0%. This is much higher than that of the Guggenheim Investments family and significantly higher than that of the Long-Short Equity category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Chance Of Distress

Less than 21

 
High
 
Low
Low
Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity has less than 21 (%) percent chance of experiencing financial distress in the next two years of operations. The calculation of odds of distress for Guggenheim Alpha mutual fund is tightly coupled with the Probability of Bankruptcy. It complements the equity performance score by supplying investors with insight into company financials without requiring them to know too much about all of the complex accounting and financial indicators surrounding the entity.
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Guggenheim Fundamentals

About Guggenheim Alpha Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Guggenheim Alpha using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guggenheim Alpha Opportunity based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Alpha financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Alpha security.
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