Scotts Miracle Gro Stock Beneish M Score

SMG Stock  USD 77.86  2.04  2.69%   
This module uses fundamental data of Scotts Miracle to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Scotts Miracle M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Scotts Miracle Piotroski F Score and Scotts Miracle Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Scotts Miracle's Short Term Debt is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Scotts Miracle's current Long Term Debt is estimated to increase to about 3.1 B, while Debt To Equity is forecasted to increase to (5.42). At this time, Scotts Miracle's Stock Based Compensation To Revenue is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Scotts Miracle's current Capex To Depreciation is estimated to increase to 1.76, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.03.
At this time, it appears that Scotts Miracle Gro is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Scotts Miracle's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Scotts Miracle executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Scotts Miracle's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.3
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.38

Focus
Asset Quality

0.93

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.74

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.71

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.74

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.84

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.7

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.25

Focus

Scotts Miracle Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Scotts Miracle's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables295.7 M176.8 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue2.5 B3.6 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.2 B2.9 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets893 M980.4 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.3 B1.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment480.4 M701.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization67 M80.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative519.4 M424.7 M
Fairly Up
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities528.5 M750.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.6 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt2.3 B2.2 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt81.3 M52.6 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt3.1 B2.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.410.2394
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Scotts Miracle Gro Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Scotts Miracle's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Scotts Miracle in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Scotts Miracle's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Scotts Miracle Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

2.23 Billion

At this time, Scotts Miracle's Other Operating Expenses is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Scotts Miracle Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Scotts Miracle. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables497.1M483.4M378.8M304.2M176.8M295.7M
Total Revenue4.1B4.9B3.9B3.6B3.6B2.5B
Total Assets3.4B4.8B4.3B3.4B2.9B2.2B
Total Current Assets1.2B2.0B2.0B1.4B980.4M893.0M
Net Debt1.5B2.1B2.9B2.6B2.2B2.3B
Short Term Debt66.4M124.2M220.5M128.7M52.6M81.3M
Long Term Debt1.5B2.2B2.8B2.6B2.9B3.1B
Operating Income585.2M723M253.1M(174.4M)208.8M252.3M
Investments(3.4M)(295.4M)(25M)(65.7M)(59.1M)(56.2M)
Gross Profit Margin0.330.30.220.190.240.41

Scotts Miracle ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Scotts Miracle's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Scotts Miracle's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Scotts Miracle Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Scotts Miracle Gro's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Scotts Miracle using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Scotts Miracle Gro based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Scotts Miracle Gro is a strong investment it is important to analyze Scotts Miracle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Scotts Miracle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Scotts Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Scotts Miracle Piotroski F Score and Scotts Miracle Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Scotts Miracle. If investors know Scotts will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Scotts Miracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.961
Dividend Share
2.64
Earnings Share
(0.61)
Revenue Per Share
62.548
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
The market value of Scotts Miracle Gro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Scotts that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Scotts Miracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Scotts Miracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Scotts Miracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Scotts Miracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Scotts Miracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Scotts Miracle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Scotts Miracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.