Sotherly Hotels Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

SOHO Stock

USD 1.01 0.04 4.12%

Sotherly Hotels' odds of distress is under 38% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial hardship in the near future. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Sotherly balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Sotherly Hotels Piotroski F Score and Sotherly Hotels Altman Z Score analysis.

To learn how to invest in Sotherly Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sotherly Hotels guide.

As of the 25th of November 2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 31.1 M, while Enterprise Value is likely to drop about 168.4 M.

Sotherly Hotels Company odds of distress Analysis

Sotherly Hotels' Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Sotherly Hotels Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 38%

Most of Sotherly Hotels' fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Sotherly Hotels is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Sotherly Hotels probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Sotherly Hotels odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Sotherly Hotels financial health.

Is Hotel & Resort REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sotherly Hotels. If investors know Sotherly will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sotherly Hotels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.19)

Earnings Share

(0.33)

Revenue Per Share

9.299

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.039

Return On Assets

0.0313

The market value of Sotherly Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sotherly that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sotherly Hotels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sotherly Hotels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sotherly Hotels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sotherly Hotels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Sotherly Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sotherly Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sotherly Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Sotherly Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Sotherly Hotels is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Sotherly Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Sotherly Hotels' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Sotherly Hotels' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Sotherly Hotels' interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Retained Earnings	Common Stock	Good Will	Treasury Stock	Intangible Assets	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.74	0.74	0.76	-0.28	0.98	0.78	-0.36	0.97	0.71	0.89	0.29	-0.58	0.8	0.54	-0.03	0.54	0.29	0.08	0.78	-0.73	-0.51	0.48	-0.51	0.27
Total Stockholder Equity	0.74		0.21	0.52	-0.29	0.61	0.44	0.16	0.59	0.62	0.59	0.07	-0.12	0.45	0.23	0.15	0.23	0.7	0.44	0.52	-0.5	-0.19	0.45	-0.21	-0.05
Accounts Payable	0.74	0.21		0.52	-0.29	0.83	0.7	-0.8	0.81	0.36	0.76	0.08	-0.9	0.79	0.73	0.17	0.72	-0.25	-0.52	0.84	-0.59	-0.73	0.24	-0.71	0.62
Long Term Debt	0.76	0.52	0.52		-0.2	0.76	0.59	-0.42	0.77	0.45	0.7	0.47	-0.35	0.44	0.33	-0.14	0.32	0.13	0.23	0.5	-0.57	-0.28	0.5	-0.37	-0.02
Short Term Investments	-0.28	-0.29	-0.29	-0.2		-0.27	-0.31	0.16	-0.27	-0.44	-0.33	0.11	0.32	-0.35	-0.38	-0.09	-0.31	-0.19	0.19	-0.41	0.23	0.3	-0.08	0.28	-0.27
Total Liab	0.98	0.61	0.83	0.76	-0.27		0.81	-0.48	1.0	0.67	0.9	0.31	-0.68	0.83	0.61	-0.06	0.6	0.15	-0.05	0.8	-0.75	-0.57	0.43	-0.57	0.36
Property Plant Equipment	0.78	0.44	0.7	0.59	-0.31	0.81		-0.35	0.83	0.67	0.63	0.26	-0.65	0.7	0.69	-0.2	0.67	0.12	-0.11	0.78	-0.71	-0.66	0.36	-0.58	0.45
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.36	0.16	-0.8	-0.42	0.16	-0.48	-0.35		-0.47	0.11	-0.45	-0.12	0.62	-0.31	-0.4	-0.15	-0.4	0.59	0.48	-0.43	0.15	0.44	-0.28	0.58	-0.26
Net Debt	0.97	0.59	0.81	0.77	-0.27	1.0	0.83	-0.47		0.69	0.89	0.35	-0.67	0.82	0.6	-0.13	0.58	0.16	-0.02	0.78	-0.77	-0.56	0.42	-0.55	0.35
Net Receivables	0.71	0.62	0.36	0.45	-0.44	0.67	0.67	0.11	0.69		0.63	0.32	-0.36	0.72	0.38	-0.19	0.37	0.62	0.16	0.58	-0.67	-0.31	0.17	-0.11	0.3
Total Current Assets	0.89	0.59	0.76	0.7	-0.33	0.9	0.63	-0.45	0.89	0.63		0.35	-0.69	0.78	0.56	0.17	0.54	0.25	-0.1	0.8	-0.78	-0.51	0.25	-0.44	0.39
Short Term Debt	0.29	0.07	0.08	0.47	0.11	0.31	0.26	-0.12	0.35	0.32	0.35		0.08	0.11	-0.32	-0.6	-0.35	0.13	0.36	-0.08	-0.25	0.37	0.01	0.34	-0.29
Retained Earnings	-0.58	-0.12	-0.9	-0.35	0.32	-0.68	-0.65	0.62	-0.67	-0.36	-0.69	0.08		-0.8	-0.88	-0.26	-0.88	0.2	0.72	-0.87	0.68	0.85	0.07	0.69	-0.87
Common Stock	0.8	0.45	0.79	0.44	-0.35	0.83	0.7	-0.31	0.82	0.72	0.78	0.11	-0.8		0.66	0.06	0.66	0.19	-0.38	0.85	-0.76	-0.6	0.01	-0.44	0.71
Good Will	0.54	0.23	0.73	0.33	-0.38	0.61	0.69	-0.4	0.6	0.38	0.56	-0.32	-0.88	0.66		0.31	0.99	-0.04	-0.54	0.84	-0.62	-0.98	0.14	-0.76	0.8
Treasury Stock	-0.03	0.15	0.17	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.2	-0.15	-0.13	-0.19	0.17	-0.6	-0.26	0.06	0.31		0.35	0.06	-0.31	0.34	0.03	-0.38	0.07	-0.26	0.26
Intangible Assets	0.54	0.23	0.72	0.32	-0.31	0.6	0.67	-0.4	0.58	0.37	0.54	-0.35	-0.88	0.66	0.99	0.35		-0.04	-0.54	0.84	-0.61	-0.99	0.14	-0.76	0.8
Net Tangible Assets	0.29	0.7	-0.25	0.13	-0.19	0.15	0.12	0.59	0.16	0.62	0.25	0.13	0.2	0.19	-0.04	0.06	-0.04		0.58	0.16	-0.25	0.08	0.15	0.41	-0.11
Long Term Debt Total	0.08	0.44	-0.52	0.23	0.19	-0.05	-0.11	0.48	-0.02	0.16	-0.1	0.36	0.72	-0.38	-0.54	-0.31	-0.54	0.58		-0.39	0.16	0.52	0.51	0.45	-0.81
Capital Surpluse	0.78	0.52	0.84	0.5	-0.41	0.8	0.78	-0.43	0.78	0.58	0.8	-0.08	-0.87	0.85	0.84	0.34	0.84	0.16	-0.39		-0.8	-0.81	0.18	-0.67	0.72
Long Term Investments	-0.73	-0.5	-0.59	-0.57	0.23	-0.75	-0.71	0.15	-0.77	-0.67	-0.78	-0.25	0.68	-0.76	-0.62	0.03	-0.61	-0.25	0.16	-0.8		0.54	0.06	0.46	-0.59
Short Long Term Debt	-0.51	-0.19	-0.73	-0.28	0.3	-0.57	-0.66	0.44	-0.56	-0.31	-0.51	0.37	0.85	-0.6	-0.98	-0.38	-0.99	0.08	0.52	-0.81	0.54		-0.23	0.77	-0.75
Net Invested Capital	0.48	0.45	0.24	0.5	-0.08	0.43	0.36	-0.28	0.42	0.17	0.25	0.01	0.07	0.01	0.14	0.07	0.14	0.15	0.51	0.18	0.06	-0.23		-0.33	-0.41
Net Working Capital	-0.51	-0.21	-0.71	-0.37	0.28	-0.57	-0.58	0.58	-0.55	-0.11	-0.44	0.34	0.69	-0.44	-0.76	-0.26	-0.76	0.41	0.45	-0.67	0.46	0.77	-0.33		-0.46
Capital Stock	0.27	-0.05	0.62	-0.02	-0.27	0.36	0.45	-0.26	0.35	0.3	0.39	-0.29	-0.87	0.71	0.8	0.26	0.8	-0.11	-0.81	0.72	-0.59	-0.75	-0.41	-0.46

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Sotherly Hotels

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Sotherly Hotels has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 38.0%. This is 11.15% lower than that of the Diversified REITs sector and significantly higher than that of the Real Estate industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 4.59% higher than that of the company.

Sotherly Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Sotherly Hotels' direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Sotherly Hotels could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sotherly Hotels by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Sotherly Hotels is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Sotherly Hotels Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.002413	(0.11)	(0.0654)	0.0616	0.01	0.0105
Net Debt	334.9M	361.7M	364.7M	301.1M	291.3M	220.8M
Total Current Liabilities	24.4M	40.4M	40.1M	28.2M	25.4M	21.5M
Non Current Liabilities Total	361.4M	388.9M	379.5M	325.3M	320.1M	238.1M
Total Assets	487.2M	473.0M	436.1M	405.0M	393.4M	279.8M
Total Current Assets	38.5M	45.2M	60.2M	39.9M	38.5M	36.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	22.5M	(11.3M)	2.3M	6.7M	21.4M	22.5M

Sotherly Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0322
	Return On Asset	0.0313
	Profit Margin	0.01 %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	347.78 M
	Shares Outstanding	19.85 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	14.27 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	29.38 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	85.51 K
	Price To Earning	(236.80) X
	Price To Book	0.44 X
	Price To Sales	0.23 X
	Revenue	173.84 M
	Gross Profit	46.46 M
	EBITDA	37.48 M
	Net Income	3.81 M
	Cash And Equivalents	23.97 M
	Cash Per Share	1.33 X
	Total Debt	317.53 M
	Debt To Equity	7.56 %
	Current Ratio	0.78 X
	Book Value Per Share	2.31 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	21.4 M
	Short Ratio	0.70 X
	Earnings Per Share	(0.33) X
	Target Price	1.5
	Beta	1.69
	Market Capitalization	38.89 M
	Total Asset	393.44 M
	Retained Earnings	(125.02 M)
	Working Capital	13.12 M
	Five Year Return	7.88 %
	Net Asset	393.44 M

About Sotherly Hotels Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Sotherly Hotels's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Sotherly Hotels using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sotherly Hotels based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Sotherly Hotels

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Sotherly Hotels position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Sotherly Hotels will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Sotherly Stock

0.48	BRX	Brixmor Property	Pair Corr
0.42	RLJ	RLJ Lodging Trust	Pair Corr
0.39	ADC	Agree Realty	Pair Corr
0.37	SKT	Tanger Factory Outlet	Pair Corr
0.36	AHT	Ashford Hospitality Trust	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Sotherly Hotels could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Sotherly Hotels when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Sotherly Hotels - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Sotherly Hotels to buy it.

The correlation of Sotherly Hotels is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Sotherly Hotels moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Sotherly Hotels moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Sotherly Hotels can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

When determining whether Sotherly Hotels offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sotherly Hotels' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sotherly Hotels Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sotherly Hotels Stock:

How To Invest In Sotherly

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Is Sotherly Stock a good investment?

Details

What is Sotherly Hotels' Net Worth?

Details

Largest Hotel & Resort REITs Companies

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Largest Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Companies

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Check out Sotherly Hotels Piotroski F Score and Sotherly Hotels Altman Z Score analysis.

To learn how to invest in Sotherly Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sotherly Hotels guide.

You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.19)

Earnings Share

(0.33)

Revenue Per Share

9.299

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.039

Return On Assets

0.0313

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Sotherly Hotels Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Sotherly Hotels Company odds of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Sotherly Hotels Probability Of Bankruptcy

Sotherly Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Sotherly Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Sotherly Hotels Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Sotherly Fundamentals

About Sotherly Hotels Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with Sotherly Hotels

Moving against Sotherly Stock

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