Travel Leisure Co Stock Beneish M Score

TNL Stock  USD 54.96  0.80  1.48%   
This module uses fundamental data of Travel Leisure to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Travel Leisure M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Travel Leisure Piotroski F Score and Travel Leisure Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Travel Leisure's Debt Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. At this time, Travel Leisure's Net Income Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Days Of Inventory On Hand is expected to rise to 225.50 this year, although Book Value Per Share is projected to rise to (11.69).
At this time, it appears that Travel Leisure is a possible manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Travel Leisure's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Travel Leisure executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Travel Leisure's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-0.96
Beneish M Score - Possible Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.51

Focus
Asset Quality

4.88

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.94

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.15

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.94

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.83

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.13

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.67

Focus

Travel Leisure Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Travel Leisure's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables1.7 B2.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue4.2 B3.8 B
Moderately Up
Pretty Stable
Total Assets9.2 B6.7 B
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets3.2 B5.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.9 BB
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.1 B592.2 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization106.4 M112 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative482.2 M454 M
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.3 B1.2 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total6.4 B6.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt4.7 B5.5 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt366.8 M442 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt4.9 B5.6 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income668 M720 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities675.9 M350 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments50.2 M32 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments18.1 M19 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.560.4856
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

Travel Leisure Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Travel Leisure's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Travel Leisure in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Travel Leisure's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Travel Leisure Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

3.47 Billion

At this time, Travel Leisure's Other Operating Expenses is quite stable compared to the past year.

Travel Leisure Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Travel Leisure. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables3.4B2.7B2.5B2.6B2.9B1.7B
Total Revenue4.0B2.2B3.1B3.6B3.8B4.2B
Total Assets7.5B7.6B6.6B6.8B6.7B9.2B
Total Current Assets5.4B5.6B4.5B4.8B5.5B3.2B
Net Debt5.4B5.4B5.1B5.2B5.5B4.7B
Short Term Debt557M439M431M629M442M366.8M
Long Term Debt5.6B6.4B5.3B5.6B5.6B4.9B
Operating Income812M95M618M653M720M668.0M
Investments(66M)(65M)(93M)(50M)(62M)(65.1M)

Travel Leisure ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Travel Leisure's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Travel Leisure's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Travel Leisure Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Travel Leisure Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Travel Leisure using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Travel Leisure Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Travel Leisure is a strong investment it is important to analyze Travel Leisure's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Travel Leisure's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Travel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Travel Leisure. If investors know Travel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Travel Leisure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
1.95
Earnings Share
5.41
Revenue Per Share
53.892
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.007
The market value of Travel Leisure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Travel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Travel Leisure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Travel Leisure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Travel Leisure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Travel Leisure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Travel Leisure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travel Leisure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travel Leisure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.